Who won the 16:23 Ascot on 10 July 2026?
Hoseki (IRE) won the 16:23 Ascot at SP 2.62. Ridden by Luke Morris. Trained by William Haggas.
16:23 Ascot
Newmark EBF Fillies' Handicap (GBBPlus Race)
1m4f · Flat · Class 3 · Good To Firm · 7 runners · £25,770 · Friday, 10 July 2026
Result
AI top pick placed 2ndRace report
- 1stHoseki (IRE)Luke Morris·William Haggas13/8F·2.62SP
- 2ndNochebuena (GB)AI top pick · 62.5Harry Vigors·Ralph Beckett·beaten 0.1 lengths15/8·2.88SP
- 3rdDojin (GB)Robert Havlin·S Woods·beaten 2.5 lengths18/1·19.00SP
Race time
2m 34.22s
Race time recorded.
In-running (Hoseki (IRE))
“Settled at the back early - moved across to the far flank and began closing from over 2f out - ran on well inside the final furlong - found extra under pressure before drifting left and making contact with the second - went in front in the final strides”
Settled · 1pt level stake = 1.88 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →
Furlong's verdict
Reading the form…
AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.
Other selections
Head-to-head dashboard →Each-way59.0/100 rating
Folk Pageant
6.50Bet365
Place portion settles at 2.10 · 1/5 odds · 3 places
Top-half AI rating in the EW price sweet spot. Each-way splits stake: half on the win, half on the place portion.
Pundit corner
Racing Post · third-partyPundit pick: Brielle
Brielle is our selection, preferred to the higher-rated Incensed for her progressive profile. She has won twice in her last five starts, including two starts back, and already boasts both the trip and today's good to firm ground among her proven assets. Incensed, Dojin and Folk Pageant all pose danger — Incensed particularly, sitting on the biggest figure here despite going without a win in that spell — but Brielle's overall shape makes her the pick at medium confidence.
Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.
Why the model rates this top
Nochebuena
Harry Vigors(5) · Ralph Beckett · 3yo
Top-rated of 9
score 62.5 · +0.4 clear of next best (62.2)
Scores compare runners within this race only
The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.
- Freshness10% weight100very strong26d since last run (race-fit window)
- Form20% weight84very strongLast 6: 4-2-1
- Ratings50% weight55averageOR 82
- Trainer20% weight43below averageRalph Beckett: 8/47 winners last 14d (17%)
MarketBest price 4.30 (Betfair Exchange) · 2nd in the market of 9.
v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.
Draw bias — Ascot 1m4f
full course data →Moderate: middle favoured (IV 1.18).
Low (1–3)
IV 0.75
Mid (4–6)
IV 1.18
High (7–9)
IV 1.11
Today: Hoseki (draw 5) and Dojin (draw 6) get the bias; Nochebuena (draw 2) is in the least-favoured band.
IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 78 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.
Runners · sorted by finishing position
| Pos | No. | Horse | Form | OR | AI | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | J: Luke Morris · T: William Haggas · draw 5 3yo · F · b | 3411 | 83 | 62.2 | 13/8F·2.62 SP |
| 2 | 8 | J: Harry Vigors(5) · T: Ralph Beckett · draw 2 3yo · F · b | 421 | 82 | 62.5 | 15/8·2.88 SP |
| 3 | 4 | J: Robert Havlin · T: S Woods · draw 6 4yo · F · ch | 13112 | 83 | 62.1 | 18/1·19.00 SP |
| 4 | 9 | J: Tom Kiely-Marshall(5) · T: David Simcock · draw 9 4yo · F · b | 13173 | 70 | 50.6 | 28/1·29.00 SP |
| 5 | 3 | J: Rob Hornby · T: Amanda Perrett · draw 7 5yo · M · b | 29238 | 93 | 49.2 | 11/2·6.50 SP |
| 6 | 6 | J: Jack Callan(3) · T: Charlie Johnston · draw 1 3yo · F · b | 191110 | 90 | 59.0 | 5/1·6.00 SP |
| 7 | 5 | J: Callum Hutchinson · T: Ian Williams · draw 3 4yo · F · b | 31694 | 78 | 45.6 | 50/1·51.00 SP |
| — | — | J: Jamie Spencer · T: David O'Meara · draw 4 4yo · F · bt | 14016 | 94 | 56.5 | — |
| — | — | J: Ray Dawson · T: Roger Varian · draw 8 4yo · F · b | 15485 | 96 | 56.5 | — |
OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest
Frequently asked questions
Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 16:23 Ascot?
No — the AI top pick (Nochebuena) finished 2.
What were the placings in the 16:23 Ascot?
Top finishers: 1. Hoseki (IRE) (2.62), 2. Nochebuena (GB) (2.88), 3. Dojin (GB) (19.00).
What was the winning time for the 16:23 Ascot?
The winning time was 2m 34.22s.
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