Who won the 16:45 Ascot on 11 July 2026?
Rosa Inglesa (GB) won the 16:45 Ascot at SP 3.25. Ridden by Kaiya Fraser. Trained by Charlie Fellowes.
16:45 Ascot
Racing To Zero Fillies' Handicap (Str)
1m · Flat · Class 3 · Good To Firm · 9 runners · £16,200 · Saturday, 11 July 2026
Result
AI top pick finished 8thRace report
- 1stRosa Inglesa (GB)Kaiya Fraser·Charlie Fellowes9/4F·3.25SP
- 2ndHot And Cold (GB)Luke Morris·Sir Mark Prescott Bt·beaten 0.2 lengths4/1·5.00SP
- 3rdBlingy's Sister (IRE)David Probert·Hugo Palmer·beaten 0.3 lengths11/2·6.50SP
Race time
1m 37.92s
Race time recorded.
In-running (Rosa Inglesa (GB))
“dropped in behind - travelling comfortably 2f out - driven along and made progress over 1f out - closing on the front-runner shortly after - stayed on to hit the front in the final 110yds and battled on to the line”
AI top-rated Celestra (score 62.3) finished 8th.
Settled · 1pt level stake = 18.00 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →
Furlong's verdict
Reading the form…
AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.
Other selections
Head-to-head dashboard →Each-way62.3/100 rating
Celestra
12.00SmarketsSBK
Top-half AI rating in the EW price sweet spot. Each-way splits stake: half on the win, half on the place portion.
Pundit corner
Racing Post · third-partyPundit pick: Blingy's Sister
Blingy's Sister is our selection, topping a big field of ten in this Class 3 over today's 8f on a clear figure of 98. Rosa Inglesa and Sprightly Dance both rate close behind and look the principal dangers, with Nanino Niyati also capable of running into contention. Confidence in the selection is medium, but the merit case makes Blingy's Sister the one to beat in a wide-open renewal.
Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.
Why the model rates this top
Celestra
Benoit de la Sayette · John & Thady Gosden · 3yo
Top-rated of 10
score 62.3 · +1.2 clear of next best (61.0)
Scores compare runners within this race only
The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.
- Freshness10% weight100very strong23d since last run (race-fit window)
- Form20% weight81very strongLast 6: 2-2-2-3-1
- Ratings50% weight53averageOR 80
- Trainer20% weight48below averageJohn & Thady Gosden: 7/36 winners last 14d (19%)
MarketBest price 12.00 (SmarketsSBK) · 6th in the market of 10.
v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.
Draw bias — Ascot 1m
full course data →Moderate: high (outside) favoured (IV 1.16).
Low (1–4)
IV 0.87
Mid (5–7)
IV 0.98
High (8–10)
IV 1.16
Today: Rosa Inglesa (draw 10) and Sprightly Dance (draw 8) get the bias; Celestra (draw 1) is in the least-favoured band.
IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 130 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.
Runners · sorted by finishing position
| Pos | No. | Horse | Form | OR | AI | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | J: Kaiya Fraser · T: Charlie Fellowes · draw 10 3yo · F · b | 16313 | 86 | 54.3 | 9/4F·3.25 SP |
| 2 | 10 | J: Luke Morris · T: Sir Mark Prescott Bt · draw 7 3yo · F · br | 5611 | 79 | 55.2 | 4/1·5.00 SP |
| 3 | 5 | J: David Probert · T: Hugo Palmer · draw 9 3yo · F · ch | 23504 | 88 | 50.7 | 11/2·6.50 SP |
| 4 | 1 | J: Callum Rodriguez · T: Owen Burrows · draw 6 4yo · F · b | 13841 | 88 | 56.7 | 11/2·6.50 SP |
| 5 | 7 | J: Cieren Fallon · T: William Haggas · draw 3 3yo · F · b | 21023 | 83 | 61.0 | 5/1·6.00 SP |
| 6 | 3 | J: Rhys Clutterbuck · T: Ralph Beckett · draw 4 4yo · F · b | 12397 | 83 | 48.8 | 22/1·23.00 SP |
| 7 | 4 | J: George Wood · T: Jane Chapple-Hyam · draw 5 3yo · F · ch | 20410 | 89 | 51.8 | 14/1·15.00 SP |
| 8 | 9 | J: Benoit de la Sayette · T: John & Thady Gosden · draw 1 3yo · F · bp | 22231 | 80 | 62.3 | 18/1·19.00 SP |
| 9 | 8 | J: David Egan · T: Denis Coakley · draw 2 4yo · F · ch | 63386 | 71 | 34.3 | 28/1·29.00 SP |
| — | — | J: Jack Mitchell · T: Roger Varian · draw 8 4yo · F · bh | 2143 | 85 | 53.4 | — |
OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest
Frequently asked questions
Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 16:45 Ascot?
No — the AI top pick (Celestra) finished 8.
What were the placings in the 16:45 Ascot?
Top finishers: 1. Rosa Inglesa (GB) (3.25), 2. Hot And Cold (GB) (5.00), 3. Blingy's Sister (IRE) (6.50).
What was the winning time for the 16:45 Ascot?
The winning time was 1m 37.92s.
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