17:20 Ascot

Thames Hospice Trunks Across The Thames Handicap

7f · Flat · Class 4 · Good To Firm · 17 runners · £13,085 · Saturday, 11 July 2026

Result

Race report

AI top pick finished 6th

1st
Lunario (IRE)
George Wood·Luke Dace
33/1·34.00
SP
2nd
Havana Blue (GB)
Ryan Sexton·Julie Camacho·beaten 0.3 lengths
7/1·8.00
SP
3rd
Luansobe (GB)
Kaiya Fraser·Charlie Fellowes·beaten 0.2 lengths
11/1·12.00
SP

Race time

1m 24.86s

Race time recorded.

In-running (Lunario (IRE))

“travelled alone early - up with the pack 3f out - pushed along and overtaken 2f out - closing on the pacesetter into the furlong marker - fought back to hit the front and stayed on well to the line”

AI top-rated Arantes Nascimento (score 52.1) finished 6th.

Settled · 1pt level stake = 10.00 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →

Furlong's verdict

Reading the form…

AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.

Other selections

Head-to-head dashboard →

Each-way52.1/100 rating

Arantes Nascimento

7.50SmarketsSBK

Top-half AI rating in the EW price sweet spot. Each-way splits stake: half on the win, half on the place portion.

Pundit corner

Racing Post · third-party

Pundit pick: Arantes Nascimento

Documenting heads our figures on 86, with Havana Blue, Cancan In The Rain and Arantes Nascimento all rated 84 behind him — but Arantes Nascimento is our selection. His progressive profile, with places in five of his last six starts, wins us over even though the very best figures lie elsewhere. Documenting himself is markedly on the up after his latest second, while Havana Blue and Cancan In The Rain both arrive with solid recent form of their own, and all three loom as the main dangers. Confidence in the selection is moderate on a competitive-looking renewal.

Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.

Why the model rates this top

Arantes Nascimento

Kieren Fox · Michael Attwater · 5yo

Top-rated of 18

score 52.1 · +1.0 clear of next best (51.2)

Scores compare runners within this race only

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

Freshness10% weight
85very strong
32d since last run (fresh)
Form20% weight
73strong
Last 6: 2-2-7-1-2-2
Ratings50% weight
50average
OR 75
Trainer20% weight
20weak
Michael Attwater: 1/13 winners last 14d (8%)

MarketBest price 7.50 (SmarketsSBK) · market favourite.

v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Draw bias — Ascot 7f

full course data →

Moderate: high (outside) favoured (IV 1.16).

Low (1–6)

IV 0.87

Mid (7–12)

IV 0.98

High (13–18)

IV 1.16

Today: Enola Grey (draw 17) and Red Hat Eagle (draw 13) get the bias; Arantes Nascimento (draw 3) is in the least-favoured band.

IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 130 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.

Runners · sorted by finishing position

Pos	No.	Horse	Form	Wt	OR	RPR	TS	AI	SP
1	14	Lunario J: George Wood · T: Luke Dace · draw 18 6yo · G · grtv	89700	9-05	69	—	—	32.4	33/1·34.00 SP
2	3	Havana Blue J: Ryan Sexton · T: Julie Camacho · draw 2 6yo · G · gr	54654	9-13	77	—	—	51.2	7/1·8.00 SP
3	13	Luansobe J: Kaiya Fraser · T: Charlie Fellowes · draw 5 3yo · C · ch	2010	9-07	79	—	—	48.9	11/1·12.00 SP
4	4	Cancan In The Rain J: Jake Dickson(7) · T: Gihan Arnolda · draw 12 6yo · G · bv	21144	9-13	77	—	—	48.8	11/4F·3.75 SP
5	1	Winston's Warrior J: Harry Vigors(5) · T: Charles Hills · draw 6 4yo · G · b	51318	10-02	80	—	—	47.6	12/1·13.00 SP
6	8	Arantes Nascimento J: Kieren Fox · T: Michael Attwater · draw 3 5yo · G · b	227122	9-11	75	—	—	52.1	10/1·11.00 SP
7	10	Red Hat Eagle J: Cieren Fallon · T: William Knight · draw 13 6yo · G · bp	57554	9-09	73	—	—	45.9	12/1·13.00 SP
8	6	Enola Grey J: Sam James · T: Gemma Tutty · draw 17 6yo · M · gr	15566	9-12	76	—	—	47.6	11/1·12.00 SP
9	15	Sponsor J: David Probert · T: Brian Meehan · draw 8 3yo · G · bt	94300	9-05	77	—	—	39.4	22/1·23.00 SP
10	7	Documenting J: Jack Mitchell · T: Kevin & Lauren Frost · draw 9 13yo · G · b	95702	9-11	75	—	—	41.7	17/2·9.50 SP
11	9	North View J: Gina Mangan · T: Stuart Williams · draw 4 5yo · G · bp	874076	9-10	74	—	—	38.2	14/1·15.00 SP
12	2	Port Road J: Christian Howarth(3) · T: Simon Dow · draw 11 5yo · G · gr	91618	10-01	79	—	—	44.4	40/1·41.00 SP
13	16	Ararat J: Taylor Fisher · T: Rachel Cook & John Bridger · draw 7 6yo · G · b	647643	9-04	68	—	—	40.5	28/1·29.00 SP
14	5	Daring Legend J: Luke Morris · T: Mark Pattinson · draw 14 5yo · G · b	02005	9-12	76	—	—	37.9	40/1·41.00 SP
15	12	Beauty By My Side J: Benoit de la Sayette · T: Joseph Parr · draw 15 4yo · F · b	10600	9-07	71	—	—	32.3	50/1·51.00 SP
16	17	Oceti J: Sean Levey · T: Richard Hannon · draw 1 3yo · C · b	6806	9-02	74	—	—	45.6	16/1·17.00 SP
17	18	Northcliff J: Callum Rodriguez · T: Ross Burdon · draw 10 6yo · G · ch	008146	9-02	66	—	—	44.9	11/2·6.50 SP
—	—	Be Frank J: David Egan · T: Ian Williams · draw 16 6yo · G · bp	65456	9-08	72	—	—	42.3	—

OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest

Frequently asked questions

Who won the 17:20 Ascot on 11 July 2026?

Lunario (IRE) won the 17:20 Ascot at SP 34.00. Ridden by George Wood. Trained by Luke Dace.

Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 17:20 Ascot?

No — the AI top pick (Arantes Nascimento) finished 6.

What were the placings in the 17:20 Ascot?

Top finishers: 1. Lunario (IRE) (34.00), 2. Havana Blue (GB) (8.00), 3. Luansobe (GB) (12.00).

What was the winning time for the 17:20 Ascot?

The winning time was 1m 24.86s.

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