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RacingAlpha

17:15 Chester

Excell Supply EBF Restricted Novice Stakes (GBB Race)

6f · Flat · Class 4 · Good · 12 runners · £7,731 · Friday, 10 July 2026

Result

Race report

AI top pick finished 12th
  1. 1st
    Towelontheterrace (IRE)
    Jason Hart·Jennie Candlish
    10/1·11.00
    SP
  2. 2nd
    Regency Royal (GER)
    P J McDonald·Andrew Balding·beaten 1.75 lengths
    3/1·4.00
    SP
  3. 3rd
    Eighth Immortal (IRE)
    Rossa Ryan·Jack Jones·beaten .75 lengths
    11/10F·2.10
    SP
Race time
1m 12.85s

Race time recorded.

In-running (Towelontheterrace (IRE))

pulled hard early - set the pace throughout under pressure from a rival - pushed along over 2f out and a length to the good entering the final furlong - stayed on strongly to the line

AI top-rated Havana Cohiba (score 35.0) finished 12th.
Settled · 1pt level stake = 100.00 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →

Furlong's verdict

Reading the form…

AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.

Each-way32.6/100 rating
Maximus Meridius
7.00Bet365
Place portion settles at 2.20 · 1/5 odds · 3 places

Top-half AI rating in the EW price sweet spot. Each-way splits stake: half on the win, half on the place portion.

Why the model rates this top

Havana Cohiba

Andrew Mullen · Christopher Kellett · 2yo

Top-rated of 13
score 35.0 · +2.4 clear of next best (32.6)
Scores compare runners within this race only

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

  • Trainer20% weight
    100small sample (n=2)
    Christopher Kellett: 1/2 winners last 14d (50%) — too few recent runs to judge the yard
  • Form20% weight
    50average
    Last 6: first run
  • Freshness10% weight
    50average
    no recent-run data
  • Ratings50% weight
    0weak
    no Racing Post ratings on file
MarketBest price 51.00 (Bet365) · 12th in the market of 13.

v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Draw bias — Chester 6f

full course data →

Strong: low (inside) favoured (IV 1.38).

Low (1–5)
IV 1.38
Mid (6–9)
IV 0.89
High (10–13)
IV 0.69

Today: Sydney Carton (draw 5) and Regency Royal (draw 2) get the bias; Maximus Meridius (draw 12) is in the least-favoured band.

IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 88 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.

Runners · sorted by finishing position

PosNo.HorseFormORAISP
15
J: Jason Hart · T: Jennie Candlish · draw 8
2yo · C · b
3
25.0
10/1·11.00
SP
23
J: P J McDonald · T: Andrew Balding · draw 2
2yo · C · b
22.5
3/1·4.00
SP
32
J: Rossa Ryan · T: Jack Jones · draw 7
2yo · C · ch
2
25.6
11/10F·2.10
SP
49
J: Jonny Peate · T: Ivan Furtado · draw 10
2yo · G · ch
62
28.2
14/1·15.00
SP
510
J: Shane Gray · T: Lemos De Souza · draw 4
2yo · C · b
20
13.7
16/1·17.00
SP
613
J: Zak Wheatley · T: Craig Lidster · draw 1
2yo · F · ch
5
14.5
9/1·10.00
SP
74
J: Harry Davies · T: James Owen · draw 5
2yo · C · bh
30
23.0
16/1·17.00
SP
81
J: Ross Coakley · T: Michael Bell · draw 3
2yo · C · b
7
21.0
12/1·13.00
SP
911
J: David Probert · T: Hugo Palmer · draw 11
2yo · F · b
7
17.5
40/1·41.00
SP
106
2yo · G · b
05
19.0
50/1·51.00
SP
118
J: Aiden Brookes · T: Philip Kirby · draw 13
2yo · C · gr
15.0
150/1·151.00
SP
127
2yo · C · gr
35.0
100/1·101.00
SP
J: Rowan Scott · T: David Loughnane · draw 12
2yo · G · b
2
32.6

OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest

Frequently asked questions

Who won the 17:15 Chester on 10 July 2026?

Towelontheterrace (IRE) won the 17:15 Chester at SP 11.00. Ridden by Jason Hart. Trained by Jennie Candlish.

Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 17:15 Chester?

No — the AI top pick (Havana Cohiba) finished 12.

What were the placings in the 17:15 Chester?

Top finishers: 1. Towelontheterrace (IRE) (11.00), 2. Regency Royal (GER) (4.00), 3. Eighth Immortal (IRE) (2.10).

What was the winning time for the 17:15 Chester?

The winning time was 1m 12.85s.

Best price shown is the highest decimal price across bookmakers we track. Odds update every few minutes; settle at SP if unavailable. 18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.org