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RacingAlpha

15:18 Chester

Tom Jones Live At Chester Racecourse Handicap (Div 2)

7½f · Flat · Class 4 · Good · 9 runners · £7,731 · Saturday, 11 July 2026

Result

Race report

AI top pick finished 4th
  1. 1st
    Crazee Icon (GB)
    Jason Watson·Andrew Balding
    85/40F·3.12
    SP
  2. 2nd
    Sujet (GB)
    Zak Wheatley·Declan Carroll·beaten 1 length
    8/1·9.00
    SP
  3. 3rd
    Calyxoh (IRE)
    Donagh Murphy·Patrick Morris·beaten 2.75 lengths
    66/1·67.00
    SP
Race time
1m 32.12s

Race time recorded.

In-running (Crazee Icon (GB))

raced in mid-division - driven into third 2f out - went to the front 1f out - ran on strongly to win

AI top-rated Start Me Up (score 59.6) finished 4th.
Settled · 1pt level stake = 2.50 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →

Furlong's verdict

Reading the form…

AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.

Each-way52.9/100 rating
Thankfully
13.00SmarketsSBK

Top-half AI rating in the EW price sweet spot. Each-way splits stake: half on the win, half on the place portion.

Pundit corner

Racing Post · third-party
Pundit pick: Start Me Up

Start Me Up is the selection, preferred over the top-rated on a progressive profile rather than pure figures. Sujet, Calyxoh and Knights Gold all rate among the leading figures and represent the biggest dangers, with Sujet in particular hard to ignore on his placed form. Confidence in the selection is low given how tightly this field is bunched on figures, but Start Me Up's improving profile edges it.

Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.

Why the model rates this top

Start Me Up

Jack Callan(3) · Richard Spencer · 3yo

Top-rated of 9
score 59.6 · +3.4 clear of next best (56.2)
Scores compare runners within this race only

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

  • Freshness10% weight
    100very strong
    14d since last run (race-fit window)
  • Form20% weight
    68strong
    Last 6: 0-7-5-1-1
  • Ratings50% weight
    56average
    OR 84
  • Trainer20% weight
    40below average
    Richard Spencer: 3/19 winners last 14d (16%)
MarketBest price 3.50 (Betfair Exchange) · market favourite.

v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Draw bias — Chester 7½f

full course data →

Moderate: low (inside) favoured (IV 1.11).

Low (1–3)
IV 1.11
Mid (4–6)
IV 0.75
High (7–9)
IV 1.11

Today: Knights Gold (draw 3) and Lexington Jet (draw 1) get the bias; Start Me Up (draw 6) is in the least-favoured band.

IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 84 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.

Runners · sorted by finishing position

PosNo.HorseFormORAISP
19
J: Jason Watson · T: Andrew Balding · draw 4
3yo · F · b
25251
7556.2
85/40F·3.12
SP
21
J: Zak Wheatley · T: Declan Carroll · draw 2
4yo · G · bbFT B
72000
8744.8
8/1·9.00
SP
37
J: Donagh Murphy(7) · T: Patrick Morris · draw 5
4yo · G · bp
09097
7546.0
66/1·67.00
SP
46
J: Jack Callan(3) · T: Richard Spencer · draw 6
3yo · G · bp
07511
8459.6
5/2·3.50
SP
53
4yo · G · bp
905933
8049.6
11/2·6.50
SP
64
J: Edward Greatrex · T: Ian Williams · draw 8
4yo · G · b
51300
7844.5
50/1·51.00
SP
75
J: Sean D Bowen · T: Jennie Candlish · draw 9
4yo · G · btp
330417
7650.9
28/1·29.00
SP
88
J: Pat Cosgrave · T: K. R. Burke · draw 7
3yo · F · b
35150
8052.9
11/1·12.00
SP
92
J: Harry Davies · T: David Loughnane · draw 1
4yo · G · chb
710160
8447.3
11/2·6.50
SP

OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest

Frequently asked questions

Who won the 15:18 Chester on 11 July 2026?

Crazee Icon (GB) won the 15:18 Chester at SP 3.12. Ridden by Jason Watson. Trained by Andrew Balding.

Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 15:18 Chester?

No — the AI top pick (Start Me Up) finished 4.

What were the placings in the 15:18 Chester?

Top finishers: 1. Crazee Icon (GB) (3.12), 2. Sujet (GB) (9.00), 3. Calyxoh (IRE) (67.00).

What was the winning time for the 15:18 Chester?

The winning time was 1m 32.12s.

Best price shown is the highest decimal price across bookmakers we track. Odds update every few minutes; settle at SP if unavailable. 18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.org