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RacingAlpha

13:35 Chester

Excell Supply Maiden Fillies' Stakes (GBB Race)

7f · Flat · Class 4 · Good · 7 runners · £7,731 · Saturday, 11 July 2026

Result

Race report

AI top pick finished 5th
  1. 1st
    Dream Vega (IRE)
    Ashley Lewis·Ed Walker
    10/11F·1.91
    SP
  2. 2nd
    Secret Oath (IRE)
    Edward Greatrex·Charlie Appleby·beaten 3.75 lengths
    7/1·8.00
    SP
  3. 3rd
    Mint (GB)
    Ebrahim Nader·Daniel & Claire Kubler·beaten 0.1 lengths
    3/1·4.00
    SP
Race time
1m 25.72s

Race time recorded.

In-running (Dream Vega (IRE))

Raced close to the pace - driven into second 2f out and went to the front in the final furlong - ran on strongly to score

AI top-rated Venetian Sky (score 55.4) finished 5th.
Settled · 1pt level stake = 5.00 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →

Furlong's verdict

Reading the form…

AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.

Each-way55.4/100 rating
Venetian Sky
6.00Bet365
Place portion settles at 2.00 · 1/5 odds · 3 places

Top-half AI rating in the EW price sweet spot. Each-way splits stake: half on the win, half on the place portion.

Why the model rates this top

Venetian Sky

Harry Davies · William Haggas · 3yo

Top-rated of 8
score 55.4 · +14.6 clear of next best (40.8)
Scores compare runners within this race only

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

  • Freshness10% weight
    100very strong
    27d since last run (race-fit window)
  • Trainer20% weight
    60average
    William Haggas: 7/29 winners last 14d (24%)
  • Ratings50% weight
    49below average
    OR 74 — highest combined rating in the field
  • Form20% weight
    44below average
    Last 6: 0-3-4-4
MarketBest price 6.00 (Bet365) · 3rd in the market of 8.

v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Draw bias — Chester 7f

full course data →

Moderate: low (inside) favoured (IV 1.11).

Low (1–3)
IV 1.11
Mid (4–6)
IV 0.75
High (7–9)
IV 1.11

Today: Dream Vega (draw 2) and Secret Oath (draw 1) get the bias; Golden Mabel (draw 4) is in the least-favoured band.

IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 84 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.

Runners · sorted by finishing position

PosNo.HorseFormORAISP
12
J: Ashley Lewis(5) · T: Ed Walker · draw 2
3yo · F · b
42
35.4
10/11F·1.91
SP
26
J: Edward Greatrex · T: Charlie Appleby · draw 1
2yo · F · b
24
30.2
7/1·8.00
SP
34
3yo · F · b
22.0
3/1·4.00
SP
45
J: David Allan · T: Donald McCain · draw 6
3yo · F · b
54
26.5
80/1·81.00
SP
58
J: Harry Davies · T: William Haggas · draw 7
3yo · F · ch
0344
7455.4
5/1·6.00
SP
63
3yo · F · b
88578
6031.6
200/1·201.00
SP
79
J: Jason Watson · T: Andrew Balding · draw 5
3yo · F · b
25.5
10/1·11.00
SP
3yo · F · b
38262
7040.8
J: Dylan Hogan · T: Julie Camacho · draw 9
3yo · F · b
24.5

OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest

Frequently asked questions

Who won the 13:35 Chester on 11 July 2026?

Dream Vega (IRE) won the 13:35 Chester at SP 1.91. Ridden by Ashley Lewis. Trained by Ed Walker.

Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 13:35 Chester?

No — the AI top pick (Venetian Sky) finished 5.

What were the placings in the 13:35 Chester?

Top finishers: 1. Dream Vega (IRE) (1.91), 2. Secret Oath (IRE) (8.00), 3. Mint (GB) (4.00).

What was the winning time for the 13:35 Chester?

The winning time was 1m 25.72s.

Best price shown is the highest decimal price across bookmakers we track. Odds update every few minutes; settle at SP if unavailable. 18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.org