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RacingAlpha

16:30 York

Azets Handicap (GBBPlus Race)

1m2½f · Flat · Class 4 · Good To Firm · 9 runners · £12,885 · Friday, 10 July 2026

Result

Race report

AI top pick placed 2nd
  1. 1st
    Dark Moon Rising (IRE)
    Tom Eaves·Kevin Ryan
    18/1·19.00
    SP
  2. 2nd
    Kahin (IRE)AI top pick · 61.1
    Cieren Fallon·William Haggas·beaten 3.75 lengths
    5/2·3.50
    SP
  3. 3rd
    Great Bedwyn (GB)
    Joe Leavy·Richard Hannon·beaten .5 lengths
    13/2·7.50
    SP
Race time
2m 8.54s

Race time recorded.

In-running (Dark Moon Rising (IRE))

settled at the back early - driven along and made ground over 2f out - hit the front and opened up a big advantage over 1f out - widened the gap inside the final furlong - was allowed to idle near the line and won with plenty in hand

Settled · 1pt level stake = 2.50 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →

Furlong's verdict

Reading the form…

AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.

Each-way58.8/100 rating
Frankies Dream
6.00Bet365
Place portion settles at 2.00 · 1/5 odds · 3 places

Top-half AI rating in the EW price sweet spot. Each-way splits stake: half on the win, half on the place portion.

Pundit corner

Racing Post · third-party
Pundit pick: Great Bedwyn

Great Bedwyn is our selection, sitting clear at the top of our figures after two runner-up efforts in his last five starts. He has form over today's trip and going and, despite a 40-day break since his latest run, rates the one to beat. Prince Of The Seas, Dark Moon Rising and Stoneacre Donny all loom as dangers on our figures, with Dark Moon Rising's stable being out of form the query against him. Confidence in Great Bedwyn is moderate given how tightly this race reads on paper.

Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.

Why the model rates this top

Kahin

Cieren Fallon · William Haggas · 3yo

Top-rated of 10
score 61.1 · +2.3 clear of next best (58.8)
Scores compare runners within this race only

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

  • Freshness10% weight
    100very strong
    15d since last run (race-fit window)
  • Form20% weight
    74strong
    Last 6: 7-4-2-1
  • Ratings50% weight
    55average
    OR 82
  • Trainer20% weight
    45below average
    William Haggas: 10/57 winners last 14d (18%)
MarketBest price 4.10 (Betfair Exchange) · market favourite.

v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Draw bias — York 1m2½f

full course data →

Strong: low (inside) favoured (IV 1.38).

Low (1–4)
IV 1.38
Mid (5–7)
IV 0.71
High (8–10)
IV 0.87

Today: Kahin (draw 3) and Frankies Dream (draw 2) get the bias; Stoneacre Donny (draw 7) is in the least-favoured band.

IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 83 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.

Runners · sorted by finishing position

PosNo.HorseFormORAISP
14
J: Tom Eaves · T: Kevin Ryan · draw 9
7yo · G · bp
852450
8144.5
18/1·19.00
SP
27
J: Cieren Fallon · T: William Haggas · draw 3
3yo · C · b
7421
8261.1
5/2·3.50
SP
32
J: Joe Leavy · T: Richard Hannon · draw 1
6yo · G · b
62828
8548.4
13/2·7.50
SP
46
J: Hector Crouch · T: William Knight · draw 5
5yo · G · brp
54348
7351.4
25/1·26.00
SP
59
J: Duran Fentiman · T: Tim Easterby · draw 8
3yo · F · b
731512
7854.5
18/1·19.00
SP
610
3yo · G · b
41411
7052.9
22/1·23.00
SP
73
J: Paul Mulrennan · T: Jennie Candlish · draw 2
4yo · G · brh
03323
8358.8
5/1·6.00
SP
85
5yo · G · ch
03272
7848.2
28/1·29.00
SP
98
J: David Allan · T: Tim Easterby · draw 7
3yo · G · b
33232
8154.9
15/8F·2.88
SP
J: Daniel Tudhope · T: David O'Meara · draw 6
4yo · G · bt
58673
8748.8

OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest

Frequently asked questions

Who won the 16:30 York on 10 July 2026?

Dark Moon Rising (IRE) won the 16:30 York at SP 19.00. Ridden by Tom Eaves. Trained by Kevin Ryan.

Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 16:30 York?

No — the AI top pick (Kahin) finished 2.

What were the placings in the 16:30 York?

Top finishers: 1. Dark Moon Rising (IRE) (19.00), 2. Kahin (IRE) (3.50), 3. Great Bedwyn (GB) (7.50).

What was the winning time for the 16:30 York?

The winning time was 2m 8.54s.

Best price shown is the highest decimal price across bookmakers we track. Odds update every few minutes; settle at SP if unavailable. 18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.org