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16:55 York

John Smith's Silver Cup Stakes (Group 3)

1m6f · Flat · Class 1 · Good To Firm · 6 runners · £56,710 · Saturday, 11 July 2026

Result

Race report

AI top pick wonat SP 2/1·3.00
  1. 1st
    Mount Atlas (GB)AI top pick · 69.5
    P J McDonald·Andrew Balding
    2/1·3.00
    SP
  2. 2nd
    Tabletalk (IRE)
    Rossa Ryan·Tom Clover·beaten 0.2 lengths
    15/8F·2.88
    SP
  3. 3rd
    Arabian Force (IRE)
    Jason Hart·William Haggas·beaten 1.75 lengths
    9/4·3.25
    SP
Race time
3m 3.60s

Race time recorded.

In-running (Mount Atlas (GB))

Raced among the pack - made ground into fourth 3f out - came under a drive and continued to make progress - up to second 1f out - driven and finished powerfully to close on the front-runner in the final 110yds - and got there by a whisker in the final strides

Settled · 1pt level stake = 2.00 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →

Furlong's verdict

Reading the form…

AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.

Pundit corner

Racing Post · third-party
Pundit pick: Mount Atlas

Mount Atlas is the selection, preferred to the top-rated Tabletalk on a more progressive profile even though he sits second on our figures. He has been freakishly consistent without getting his head in front, and that upward trajectory is the case for taking him on over this test at York. Tabletalk, Epic Poet and Arabian Force are the obvious dangers on the figures, and this is only a low-confidence verdict given how tightly matched the principals are.

Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.

Why the model rates this top

Mount Atlas

P J McDonald · Andrew Balding · 5yo

Top-rated of 6
score 69.5 · +1.0 clear of next best (68.5)
Scores compare runners within this race only

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

  • Freshness10% weight
    100very strong
    28d since last run (race-fit window)
  • Ratings50% weight
    74strong
    OR 111
  • Form20% weight
    68strong
    Last 6: 2-4-2-2-3
  • Trainer20% weight
    45below average
    Andrew Balding: 11/60 winners last 14d (18%)
MarketBest price 2.98 (Betfair Exchange) · market favourite.

v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Draw bias — York 1m6f

full course data →

Sample too small to call at this course and trip.

Low (1–2)
IV 1.16
Mid (3–4)
IV 0.57
High (5–6)
IV 1.21

IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 35 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.

Runners · sorted by finishing position

PosNo.HorseFormORAISP
14
J: P J McDonald · T: Andrew Balding · draw 3
5yo · G · b
24223
11169.5
2/1·3.00
SP
25
J: Rossa Ryan · T: Tom Clover · draw 2
5yo · G · b
32252
11368.0
15/8F·2.88
SP
31
J: Jason Hart · T: William Haggas · draw 6
4yo · C · chtFT T
23323
10968.5
9/4·3.25
SP
46
J: William Pyle · T: Jennie Candlish · draw 4
5yo · M · b
4
26.0
125/1·126.00
SP
53
J: Daniel Tudhope · T: David O'Meara · draw 5
7yo · G · b
255346
11063.4
8/1·9.00
SP
62
J: Rob Hornby · T: Michael Bell · draw 1
6yo · G · bt
51157
10258.7
100/1·101.00
SP

OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest

Frequently asked questions

Who won the 16:55 York on 11 July 2026?

Mount Atlas (GB) won the 16:55 York at SP 3.00. Ridden by P J McDonald. Trained by Andrew Balding.

Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 16:55 York?

Yes — the AI top-rated horse, Mount Atlas, won the race (AI score 69.5).

What were the placings in the 16:55 York?

Top finishers: 1. Mount Atlas (GB) (3.00), 2. Tabletalk (IRE) (2.88), 3. Arabian Force (IRE) (3.25).

What was the winning time for the 16:55 York?

The winning time was 3m 3.60s.

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