15:12 York

John Smith's City Walls Stakes (Listed)

5f · Flat · Class 1 · Good To Firm · 13 runners · £39,697 · Saturday, 11 July 2026

Result

Race report

AI top pick wonat SP 12/1·13.00

1st
Redorange (GB)AI top pick · 63.4
P J McDonald·Clive Cox
12/1·13.00
SP
2nd
Aspect Island (GB)
Joanna Mason·James Owen·beaten 0.3 lengths
7/1·8.00
SP
3rd
Jm Jungle (IRE)
Jason Hart·John & Sean Quinn·beaten 0.1 lengths
9/1·10.00
SP

Race time

57.28s

Race time recorded.

In-running (Redorange (GB))

“Went down the middle of the track - towards the back early - came under a drive and moved left to make ground over 2f out - closed on the front-runner approaching the final furlong - went to the front over 110yds out and kept going”

Settled · 1pt level stake = 12.00 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →

Furlong's verdict

Reading the form…

AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.

Other selections

Head-to-head dashboard →

Each-way63.4/100 rating

Redorange

9.40Betfair Exchange

Top-half AI rating in the EW price sweet spot. Each-way splits stake: half on the win, half on the place portion.

Pundit corner

Racing Post · third-party

Pundit pick: Washington Heights

Washington Heights isn't the highest-rated on our figures, but the reason he's preferred is a progressive profile — recent form, fitness and conditions all pointing the right way. Starlust holds an edge on pure figures and cannot be ignored, while Jm Jungle and American Affair also warrant respect as leading dangers. On balance, and with only medium confidence, Washington Heights is our selection.

Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.

Why the model rates this top

Redorange

P J McDonald · Clive Cox · 4yo

Top-rated of 15

score 63.4 · +2.0 clear of next best (61.4)

Scores compare runners within this race only

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

Freshness10% weight
85very strong
42d since last run (fresh)
Ratings50% weight
71strong
OR 107
Trainer20% weight
50average
Clive Cox: 4/20 winners last 14d (20%)
Form20% weight
46below average
Last 6: 8-7-8-1-4

MarketBest price 9.40 (Betfair Exchange) · 4th in the market of 15.

v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Draw bias — York 5f

full course data →

Strong: low (inside) favoured (IV 1.37).

Low (1–5)

IV 1.37

Mid (6–10)

IV 0.90

High (11–15)

IV 0.69

Today: Aspect Island (draw 2) and Dickensian (draw 3) get the bias; Redorange (draw 13) is in the least-favoured band.

IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 137 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.

Runners · sorted by finishing position

Pos	No.	Horse	Form	Wt	OR	RPR	TS	AI	SP
1	5	Redorange J: P J McDonald · T: Clive Cox · draw 13 4yo · G · bt	87814	9-01	107	—	—	63.4	12/1·13.00 SP
2	9	Aspect Island J: Joanna Mason · T: James Owen · draw 2 3yo · C · chpFT P	37300	8-10	105	—	—	57.1	7/1·8.00 SP
3	3	Jm Jungle J: Jason Hart · T: John & Sean Quinn · draw 10 6yo · G · b	60490	9-01	107	—	—	50.5	9/1·10.00 SP
4	6	Starlust J: Rossa Ryan · T: Ralph Beckett · draw 1 5yo · H · b/brvFT V	7460	9-01	106	—	—	55.6	4/1F·5.00 SP
5	7	Azure Angel J: Daniel Tudhope · T: Edward Bethell · draw 5 6yo · M · chtb	16150	8-13	99	—	—	55.0	14/1·15.00 SP
6	2	American Affair J: Paul Mulrennan · T: Jim Goldie · draw 15 6yo · G · b	51020	9-01	109	—	—	59.6	11/2·6.50 SP
7	8	Dickensian J: Shane Gray · T: Kevin Ryan · draw 3 3yo · C · b	33310	8-13	103	—	—	56.0	14/1·15.00 SP
8	1	Washington Heights J: Tom Eaves · T: Kevin Ryan · draw 7 6yo · G · b	00081	9-04	104	—	—	59.9	9/1·10.00 SP
9	14	Naana's Shadow J: Andrew Mullen · T: Katie Scott · draw 12 3yo · F · gr	61311	8-05	91	—	—	57.7	16/1·17.00 SP
10	13	Miss Attitude J: Rob Hornby · T: Jack Channon · draw 9 6yo · M · btp	07458	8-10	103	—	—	53.8	9/1·10.00 SP
11	15	Revival Power J: James Sullivan · T: Tim Easterby · draw 8 3yo · F · ch	11570	8-05	99	—	—	55.5	50/1·51.00 SP
12	10	Heavenly Heather J: Barry McHugh · T: Tracy Waggott · draw 4 5yo · M · ch	525426	8-10	104	—	—	53.9	13/2·7.50 SP
13	12	Military Code J: Connor Planas · T: Charlie Appleby · draw 11 3yo · C · b	02727	8-10	104	—	—	61.0	40/1·41.00 SP
—	—	Lexington Blitz J: Lewis Edmunds · T: Robert Cowell · draw 14 4yo · G · bp	19313	9-01	98	—	—	61.4	—
—	—	Luna A Inbhir Nis J: Ray Dawson · T: Katie Scott · draw 6 4yo · F · b	50362	8-10	101	—	—	53.2	—

OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest

Frequently asked questions

Who won the 15:12 York on 11 July 2026?

Redorange (GB) won the 15:12 York at SP 13.00. Ridden by P J McDonald. Trained by Clive Cox.

Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 15:12 York?

Yes — the AI top-rated horse, Redorange, won the race (AI score 63.4).

What were the placings in the 15:12 York?

Top finishers: 1. Redorange (GB) (13.00), 2. Aspect Island (GB) (8.00), 3. Jm Jungle (IRE) (10.00).

What was the winning time for the 15:12 York?

The winning time was 57.28s.

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