Who won the 16:20 York on 11 July 2026?
Cruden (GB) won the 16:20 York at SP 4.00. Ridden by Rossa Ryan. Trained by Dan Horsford.
16:20 York
John Smith's Stayers' Handicap (GBBPlus Race)
2m½f · Flat · Class 4 · Good To Firm · 9 runners · £12,885 · Saturday, 11 July 2026
Result
AI top pick wonat SP 3/1F·4.00Race report
- 1stCruden (GB)AI top pick · 66.3Rossa Ryan·Dan Horsford3/1F·4.00SP
- 2ndFurhaan (GB)Lauren Young·Jim Goldie·beaten 3.75 lengths20/1·21.00SP
- 3rdTrojan Sun (GB)Paul Mulrennan·Jim Goldie·beaten 0.3 lengths10/1·11.00SP
Race time
3m 36.17s
Race time recorded.
In-running (Cruden (GB))
“Handy in the pack - made ground over 3f out - close to the pacesetters - came under a drive to move to the head of affairs over 1f out - driven out and kept finding more to pull well clear in the final 110yds”
Settled · 1pt level stake = 3.00 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →
Furlong's verdict
Reading the form…
AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.
Other selections
Head-to-head dashboard →Each-way52.3/100 rating
Treasure Islands
10.00SmarketsSBK
Top-half AI rating in the EW price sweet spot. Each-way splits stake: half on the win, half on the place portion.
Pundit corner
Racing Post · third-partyPundit pick: Rock N Roll Pinkie
Rock N Roll Pinkie is our selection and tops our figures for this Class 4 over 16f at York, with the trip and today's ground already proven. Cruden, who has been freakishly consistent without quite winning, looks the biggest danger, while Secret Force and Valley Of Flowers also arrive in form. It's a competitive field of 11 and confidence is only low, but the selection's figures give her the nod.
Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.
Why the model rates this top
Cruden
Rossa Ryan · Dan Horsford · 5yo
Top-rated of 11
score 66.3 · +5.2 clear of next best (61.1)
Scores compare runners within this race only
The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.
- Trainer20% weight100small sample (n=4)Dan Horsford: 2/4 winners last 14d (50%) — too few recent runs to judge the yard
- Freshness10% weight85very strong29d since last run (fresh)
- Form20% weight59averageLast 6: 2-5-2-5-2
- Ratings50% weight52averageOR 78 — above field median
MarketBest price 4.33 (Bet365) · 2nd in the market of 11.
v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.
Draw bias — York 2m½f
full course data →Sample too small to call at this course and trip.
Low (1–4)
IV 1.16
Mid (5–8)
IV 0.57
High (9–11)
IV 1.21
IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 35 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.
Runners · sorted by finishing position
| Pos | No. | Horse | Form | OR | AI | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | J: Rossa Ryan · T: Dan Horsford · draw 3 5yo · G · bp | 25252 | 78 | 66.3 | 3/1F·4.00 SP |
| 2 | 10 | J: Lauren Young(5) · T: Jim Goldie · draw 1 4yo · G · b | 50975 | 63 | 40.9 | 20/1·21.00 SP |
| 3 | 4 | J: Paul Mulrennan · T: Jim Goldie · draw 6 6yo · G · bp | 93816 | 74 | 48.9 | 10/1·11.00 SP |
| 4 | 6 | J: Joanna Mason · T: Samantha & Jacqueline Coward · draw 11 8yo · M · b | 67241 | 71 | 43.5 | 7/1·8.00 SP |
| 5 | 9 | J: Warren Fentiman(3) · T: Brian Ellison · draw 4 4yo · G · ch | 51121 | 65 | 50.6 | 10/1·11.00 SP |
| 6 | 5 | J: Sean Kirrane · T: Tim Easterby · draw 8 4yo · G · b | 812310 | 72 | 52.3 | 6/1·7.00 SP |
| 7 | 2 | J: M. P. Sheehy · T: Adrian Keatley · draw 10 4yo · G · btv | 61431 | 78 | 61.1 | 7/2·4.50 SP |
| 8 | 7 | J: Ben Robinson · T: Brian Ellison · draw 7 5yo · G · btFT T | 60006 | 70 | 38.4 | 12/1·13.00 SP |
| 9 | 1 | J: David Nolan · T: Ivan Furtado · draw 9 6yo · M · ch | 62455 | 82 | 45.1 | 7/1·8.00 SP |
| — | — | J: Cam Hardie · T: Brian Ellison · draw 5 5yo · M · b | 71150 | 62 | 40.1 | — |
| — | — | J: Andrew Mullen · T: Patrick Neville · draw 2 6yo · G · brt | 14341 | 67 | 42.8 | — |
OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest
Frequently asked questions
Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 16:20 York?
Yes — the AI top-rated horse, Cruden, won the race (AI score 66.3).
What were the placings in the 16:20 York?
Top finishers: 1. Cruden (GB) (4.00), 2. Furhaan (GB) (21.00), 3. Trojan Sun (GB) (11.00).
What was the winning time for the 16:20 York?
The winning time was 3m 36.17s.
Best price shown is the highest decimal price across bookmakers we track. Odds update every few minutes; settle at SP if unavailable. 18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.org