18+ • Bet Responsibly • Racing Alpha does not accept betsBeGambleAware.org
RacingAlpha
Next · 15m16:47Downpatrick
← All racecards
16:20

York

Great Britain

John Smith's Stayers' Handicap (GBBPlus Race)

Saturday, 11 July 2026

2m½f·Flat·Class 4·Good To Firm·9 runners·£12,885
Result

Race report

AI top pick wonat SP 3/1F·4.00
  1. 1st
    Cruden (GB)AI top pick · 66.3
    Rossa Ryan·Dan Horsford
    3/1F·4.00
    SP
  2. 2nd
    Furhaan (GB)
    Lauren Young·Jim Goldie·beaten 3.75 lengths
    20/1·21.00
    SP
  3. 3rd
    Trojan Sun (GB)
    Paul Mulrennan·Jim Goldie·beaten 0.3 lengths
    10/1·11.00
    SP
Race time
3m 36.17s

Race time recorded.

In-running (Cruden (GB))

Handy in the pack - made ground over 3f out - close to the pacesetters - came under a drive to move to the head of affairs over 1f out - driven out and kept finding more to pull well clear in the final 110yds

Settled · 1pt level stake = 3.00 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →

Furlong's verdict

Reading the form…

AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.

Selections by model

Head-to-head dashboard →
v1.066.3/100 rating
Cruden
4.33Bet365· informational only

Top-rated, but filter rejects this race

v1.1
No pick

Race outside the segment-edge filter

Each-way52.3/100 rating
Treasure Islands
10.00SmarketsSBK

Top-half AI rating in the EW price sweet spot. Each-way splits stake: half on the win, half on the place portion.

Racing Alpha pick

Cruden

Rossa Ryan · Dan Horsford · 5yo

66.3/100
+5.2 vs next best (61.1)

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

  • Trainer20% weight
    100very strong
    Dan Horsford: 2/4 winners last 14d (50%)
  • Freshness10% weight
    85very strong
    29d since last run (fresh)
  • Form20% weight
    59average
    Last 6: 2-5-2-5-2
  • Ratings50% weight
    52average
    OR 78 — above field median
MarketBest price 4.33 (Bet365) — 2nd favourite. AI sees slight value vs consensus.

v1.3 rating · weights and method explained on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Runners

Pos#DrHorseJockey / TrainerFormWtORRPRTSAISP
919
6yo · M · ch
62455
9-118245.1
7/1·8.00
SP
7210
4yo · G · btv
61431
9-077861.1
7/2·4.50
SP
133
5yo · G · bp
25252
9-077866.3
3/1F·4.00
SP
346
6yo · G · bp
93816
9-037448.9
10/1·11.00
SP
658
4yo · G · b
812310
9-017252.3
6/1·7.00
SP
4611
8yo · M · b
67241
9-007143.5
7/1·8.00
SP
877
5yo · G · btFT T
60006
8-137038.4
12/1·13.00
SP
594
4yo · G · ch
51121
8-086550.6
10/1·11.00
SP
2101
4yo · G · b
50975
8-066340.9
20/1·21.00
SP
5
5yo · M · b
71150
8-056240.1
2
6yo · G · brt
14341
8-106742.8

Frequently asked questions

Who won the 16:20 York on 11 July 2026?

Cruden (GB) won the 16:20 York at SP 4.00. Ridden by Rossa Ryan. Trained by Dan Horsford.

Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 16:20 York?

Yes — the AI top-rated horse, Cruden, won the race (AI score 66.3).

What were the placings in the 16:20 York?

Top finishers: 1. Cruden (GB) (4.00), 2. Furhaan (GB) (21.00), 3. Trojan Sun (GB) (11.00).

What was the winning time for the 16:20 York?

The winning time was 3m 36.17s.

Racing Post verdict

Third-party

Rock N Roll Pinkie is our selection and tops our figures for this Class 4 over 16f at York, with the trip and today's ground already proven. Cruden, who has been freakishly consistent without quite winning, looks the biggest danger, while Secret Force and Valley Of Flowers also arrive in form. It's a competitive field of 11 and confidence is only low, but the selection's figures give her the nod.

Racing Post pick: Rock N Roll Pinkie

Editorial verdict from Racing Post via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha.

Best price shown is the highest decimal price across bookmakers we track. Odds update every few minutes; settle at SP if unavailable. 18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.org