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18:08 Salisbury

Tony Brown Novice Stakes (GBB Race)

7f · Flat · Class 4 · Good To Firm · 5 runners · £5,400 · Saturday, 11 July 2026

Result

Race report

AI top pick placed 2nd
  1. 1st
    Odogwu (IRE)
    Finley Marsh·Roger Varian
    8/11F·1.73
    SP
  2. 2nd
    Vanilla Skies (GB)AI top pick · 39.0
    Darragh Keenan·William Haggas·beaten 4 lengths
    3/1·4.00
    SP
  3. 3rd
    Turtle Creek (GB)
    Georgia Dobie·Clive Cox·beaten 4.5 lengths
    25/1·26.00
    SP
Race time
1m 27.98s

Race time recorded.

In-running (Odogwu (IRE))

“Led throughout - asked for effort 2f out - kept finding more and untroubled to the line”

Settled · 1pt level stake = 3.00 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →

Furlong's verdict

Reading the form…

AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.

Why the model rates this top

Vanilla Skies

Darragh Keenan · William Haggas · 3yo

Top-rated of 6
score 39.0 · +10.0 clear of next best (29.0)
Scores compare runners within this race only

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

  • Form20% weight
    100very strong
    Last 6: 1
  • Freshness10% weight
    100very strong
    16d since last run (race-fit window)
  • Trainer20% weight
    45below average
    William Haggas: 10/57 winners last 14d (18%)
  • Ratings50% weight
    0weak
    no Racing Post ratings on file
MarketBest price 2.75 (Bet365) · 2nd in the market of 6.

v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Draw bias — Salisbury 7f

full course data →

Moderate: middle favoured (IV 1.16).

Low (1–2)
IV 0.89
Mid (3–4)
IV 1.16
High (5–6)
IV 0.98

Today: Vanilla Skies (draw 4) and March Of Time (draw 3) get the bias; Turtle Creek (draw 1) is in the least-favoured band.

IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 90 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.

Runners · sorted by finishing position

PosNo.HorseFormORAISP
12
Odogwu
J: Finley Marsh · T: Roger Varian · draw 5
3yo · C · ch
5
—21.5
8/11F·1.73
SP
21
Vanilla Skies
J: Darragh Keenan · T: William Haggas · draw 4
3yo · F · bb
1
—39.0
3/1·4.00
SP
36
Turtle Creek
J: Georgia Dobie · T: Clive Cox · draw 1
3yo · F · b
——25.5
25/1·26.00
SP
44
March Of Time
J: Hector Crouch · T: Clive Cox · draw 3
3yo · F · b
3
—29.0
4/1·5.00
SP
53
Call Alert
J: Jack Gilligan · T: William Muir & Chris Grassick · draw 6
3yo · F · b
0
—8.5
66/1·67.00
SP
——
Thairish
J: George Bass · T: Jack Channon · draw 2
3yo · F · b
——21.0—

OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest

Frequently asked questions

Who won the 18:08 Salisbury on 11 July 2026?

Odogwu (IRE) won the 18:08 Salisbury at SP 1.73. Ridden by Finley Marsh. Trained by Roger Varian.

Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 18:08 Salisbury?

No — the AI top pick (Vanilla Skies) finished 2.

What were the placings in the 18:08 Salisbury?

Top finishers: 1. Odogwu (IRE) (1.73), 2. Vanilla Skies (GB) (4.00), 3. Turtle Creek (GB) (26.00).

What was the winning time for the 18:08 Salisbury?

The winning time was 1m 27.98s.

Best price shown is the highest decimal price across bookmakers we track. Odds update every few minutes; settle at SP if unavailable. 18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.org