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15:35 Goodwood

Feature

Qatar Nassau Stakes (Group 1)

1m2f · Flat · Class 1 · Good To Firm · 5 runners · £340,260 · Thursday, 30 July 2026

Result

Race report

AI top pick finished 4th
  1. 1st
    Diamond Necklace (IRE)
    Ryan Moore·A P O'Brien
    4/6F·1.67
    SP
  2. 2nd
    Friendly Soul (GB)
    William Buick·John & Thady Gosden·beaten 2.75 lengths
    5/2·3.50
    SP
  3. 3rd
    See The Fire (GB)
    Oisin Murphy·Andrew Balding·beaten 5 lengths
    7/1·8.00
    SP
Race time
2m 4.40s

Race time recorded.

In-running (Diamond Necklace (IRE))

Settled behind the pace early - third from the 1f mark - travelling well just off the front pair with 2f left - moved through to dispute matters before quickening clear a furlong out - driven out in the closing stages to score well

AI top-rated Botagoz (score 82.1) finished 4th.
Settled · 1pt level stake = 14.00 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →

Furlong's verdict

Reading the form…

AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.

Pundit corner

Racing Post · third-party
Pundit pick: See The Fire

See The Fire holds a clear edge over the field on these ratings, sitting five pounds ahead of Friendly Soul and well clear of the remaining trio, which at least gives a solid foundation for selection over this ten-furlong trip at Goodwood. Friendly Soul represents the most obvious threat, while Moments Of Joy and Botagoz cannot be entirely dismissed if the principals disappoint. The form around See The Fire does leave room for doubt, so this is taken on a narrow basis. **See The Fire** is our selection.

Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.

Why the model rates this top

Botagoz

Ray Dawson · Roger Varian · 3yo

Top-rated of 5
score 82.1 · +7.4 clear of next best (74.7)
Scores compare runners within this race only

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

  • Trainer20% weight
    95very strong
    Roger Varian: 8/21 winners last 14d (38%)
  • Form20% weight
    88very strong
    Last 6: 1-1-3-1
  • Freshness10% weight
    85very strong
    34d since last run (fresh)
  • Ratings50% weight
    74strong
    OR 111
MarketBest price 19.00 (BestOdds) · 4th in the market of 5.

v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Draw bias — Goodwood 1m2f

full course data →

Moderate: middle favoured (IV 1.19).

Low (1–2)
IV 0.82
Mid (3–4)
IV 1.19
High (5–5)
IV 1.02

Today: Botagoz (draw 4) and Diamond Necklace (draw 3) get the bias; See The Fire (draw 1) is in the least-favoured band.

IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 104 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.

Runners · sorted by finishing position

PosNo.HorseFormORAISP
14
J: Ryan Moore · T: A P O'Brien · draw 3
3yo · F · b
11111
11371.2
4/6F·1.67
SP
21
5yo · M · b
111P3
11374.7
5/2·3.50
SP
32
J: Oisin Murphy · T: Andrew Balding · draw 1
5yo · M · ch
29116
11468.4
7/1·8.00
SP
43
J: Ray Dawson · T: Roger Varian · draw 4
3yo · F · br
1131
11182.1
14/1·15.00
SP
55
J: Wayne Lordan · T: A P O'Brien · draw 2
3yo · F · ch
25640
9851.2
66/1·67.00
SP

OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest

Frequently asked questions

Who won the 15:35 Goodwood on 30 July 2026?

Diamond Necklace (IRE) won the 15:35 Goodwood at SP 1.67. Ridden by Ryan Moore. Trained by A P O'Brien.

Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 15:35 Goodwood?

No — the AI top pick (Botagoz) finished 4.

What were the placings in the 15:35 Goodwood?

Top finishers: 1. Diamond Necklace (IRE) (1.67), 2. Friendly Soul (GB) (3.50), 3. See The Fire (GB) (8.00).

What was the winning time for the 15:35 Goodwood?

The winning time was 2m 4.40s.

Best price shown is the highest decimal price across bookmakers we track. Odds update every few minutes; settle at SP if unavailable. 18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.org