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RacingAlpha

Sky Sports Racing Sky 415 Novice Stakes (GBB Race) (Div 1)

7f · Flat · Class 3 · Standard · 10 runners · £6,480 · Monday, 6 July 2026

Result

Race report

AI top pick wonat SP 6/5F·2.20
  1. 1st
    Perfect Nation (IRE)AI top pick · 32.1
    Billy Loughnane·George Boughey
    6/5F·2.20
    SP
  2. 2nd
    Drum Bay (GB)
    Rossa Ryan·Ralph Beckett·beaten 2.75 lengths
    3/1·4.00
    SP
  3. 3rd
    Cavalier (IRE)
    Sean Levey·Richard Hannon·beaten 0.3 lengths
    2/1·3.00
    SP
Race time
1m 25.66s+3.66s vs std

Slow — could be soft ground, easy lead, or tactical race.

In-running (Perfect Nation (IRE))

in front from the start - driven to press on over 1f out - opened a healthy advantage inside the final furlong - margin narrowed near the line but held on gamely to prevail

Settled · 1pt level stake = 1.20 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →

Furlong's verdict

Reading the form…

AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.

Each-way25.5/100 rating
Drum Bay
5.70Betfair Exchange

Top-half AI rating in the EW price sweet spot. Each-way splits stake: half on the win, half on the place portion.

Why the model rates this top

Perfect Nation

Billy Loughnane · George Boughey · 2yo

Top-rated of 10
score 32.1 · +2.6 clear of next best (29.5)
Scores compare runners within this race only

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

  • Freshness10% weight
    100very strong
    14d since last run (race-fit window)
  • Form20% weight
    78strong
    Last 6: 2
  • Trainer20% weight
    33weak
    George Boughey: 4/31 winners last 14d (13%)
  • Ratings50% weight
    0weak
    no Racing Post ratings on file
MarketBest price 1.81 (Betfair Exchange) · market favourite.

v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Draw bias — Lingfield (AW) 7f

full course data →

Moderate: high (outside) favoured (IV 1.15).

Low (1–4)
IV 0.77
Mid (5–7)
IV 1.11
High (8–10)
IV 1.15

Today: Harbour Prince (draw 10) and There Goes My Hero (draw 9) get the bias; Mino (draw 1) is in the least-favoured band.

IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 408 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.

Runners · sorted by finishing position

PosNo.HorseFormORAISP
17
J: Billy Loughnane · T: George Boughey · draw 6
2yo · C · b
2
32.1
6/5F·2.20
SP
23
J: Rossa Ryan · T: Ralph Beckett · draw 3
2yo · C · ch
25.5
3/1·4.00
SP
32
J: Sean Levey · T: Richard Hannon · draw 8
2yo · C · b
6
21.0
2/1·3.00
SP
46
2yo · C · b
22.5
50/1·51.00
SP
58
J: Pat Dobbs · T: Richard Hannon · draw 2
2yo · C · ch
22.0
28/1·29.00
SP
65
J: Hector Crouch · T: Marco Botti · draw 1
2yo · C · b
26.5
16/1·17.00
SP
74
J: Jack Mitchell · T: James Horton · draw 10
2yo · C · b
29.5
20/1·21.00
SP
810
2yo · F · b
04
18.5
150/1·151.00
SP
91
J: Joey Haynes · T: Chelsea Banham · draw 7
2yo · C · b
6
12.5
250/1·251.00
SP
109
J: Josephine Gordon · T: Keiran Burke · draw 9
2yo · C · ch
22.0
100/1·101.00
SP

OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest

Frequently asked questions

Who won the 14:45 Lingfield (AW) on 6 July 2026?

Perfect Nation (IRE) won the 14:45 Lingfield (AW) at SP 2.20. Ridden by Billy Loughnane. Trained by George Boughey.

Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 14:45 Lingfield (AW)?

Yes — the AI top-rated horse, Perfect Nation, won the race (AI score 32.1).

What were the placings in the 14:45 Lingfield (AW)?

Top finishers: 1. Perfect Nation (IRE) (2.20), 2. Drum Bay (GB) (4.00), 3. Cavalier (IRE) (3.00).

What was the winning time for the 14:45 Lingfield (AW)?

The winning time was 1m 25.66s, 3.66s slower than standard.

Best price shown is the highest decimal price across bookmakers we track. Odds update every few minutes; settle at SP if unavailable. 18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.org