Who won the 19:13 Kempton (AW) on 8 July 2026?
Baileys Khelstar (FR) won the 19:13 Kempton (AW) at SP 4.00. Ridden by Oisin Murphy. Trained by Charlie Johnston.
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2m · Flat · Class 4 · Standard / Slow · 9 runners · £6,281 · Wednesday, 8 July 2026
Race time recorded.
“settled towards the back of the field - angled to the middle of the track and closed fast from the final furlong marker to seize the front in the final 110yds”
AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.
Top-half AI rating in the EW price sweet spot. Each-way splits stake: half on the win, half on the place portion.
Baileys Khelstar edges out the bare top-rated Caprelo on our figures thanks to a more progressive profile and a fitness edge, form factors that count for plenty in as tightly-knit a field as this. Caprelo, Barenboim and Gooloogong are the chief dangers, each carrying solid recent figures of their own over this Class 4 test. It's a moderate-confidence verdict given how close the form ties on paper, but the balance of that improving profile makes Baileys Khelstar our selection.
Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.
Oisin Murphy · Charlie Johnston · 6yo
The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.
v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.
Strong: low (inside) favoured (IV 1.35).
Today: Baileys Khelstar (draw 2) and Caprelo (draw 3) get the bias; Gooloogong (draw 4) is in the least-favoured band.
IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 69 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.
| Pos | No. | Horse | Form | OR | AI | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | J: Oisin Murphy · T: Charlie Johnston · draw 2 6yo · G · b | 024221 | 81 | 57.7 | 3/1·4.00 SP |
| 2 | 4 | J: Lewis Edmunds · T: Gary & Josh Moore · draw 5 5yo · M · b | 11152 | 75 | 48.3 | 11/4·3.75 SP |
| 3 | 3 | J: Pierre-Louis Jamin · T: Tom Dascombe · draw 7 8yo · G · bp | 126989 | 76 | 39.4 | 66/1·67.00 SP |
| 4 | 5 | J: Jack Mitchell · T: Ross Burdon · draw 1 4yo · G · b | 11025 | 75 | 52.2 | 13/2·7.50 SP |
| 5 | 1 | J: Tom Marquand · T: Hughie Morrison · draw 3 5yo · G · bb | 31024 | 81 | 56.1 | 11/2·6.50 SP |
| 6 | 6 | J: Rossa Ryan · T: George Baker · draw 4 6yo · G · ch | 71314 | 75 | 54.1 | 5/2F·3.50 SP |
| 7 | 8 | J: Luke Morris · T: Alan King · draw 9 5yo · G · bp | 34824 | 69 | 50.6 | 66/1·67.00 SP |
| 8 | 9 | J: Gina Mangan · T: Denis Gerard Hogan · draw 8 4yo · F · ch | 45254 | 64 | 37.0 | 40/1·41.00 SP |
| 9 | 7 | J: Oliver Carmichael(7) · T: Daisy Hitchins · draw 6 6yo · M · br | 5224 | 72 | 40.5 | 50/1·51.00 SP |
OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest
Baileys Khelstar (FR) won the 19:13 Kempton (AW) at SP 4.00. Ridden by Oisin Murphy. Trained by Charlie Johnston.
Yes — the AI top-rated horse, Baileys Khelstar, won the race (AI score 57.7).
Top finishers: 1. Baileys Khelstar (FR) (4.00), 2. Nunc Est Bibendum (IRE) (3.75), 3. Barenboim (GB) (67.00).
The winning time was 3m 35.07s.
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