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RacingAlpha

Unibet/EBF Fillies' Novice Stakes (GBB/GBBPlus Race)

1m3f · Flat · Class 3 · Standard / Slow · 12 runners · £6,480 · Wednesday, 8 July 2026

Result

Race report

AI top pick wonat SP 4/5F·1.80
  1. 1st
    Alshera (IRE)AI top pick · 31.0
    Jack Callan·John & Thady Gosden
    4/5F·1.80
    SP
  2. 2nd
    Kashooda (GB)
    Oisin Murphy·Andrew Balding·beaten 4.5 lengths
    9/4·3.25
    SP
  3. 3rd
    Cracking Beauty (GB)
    Lewis Edmunds·Roger Teal·beaten 0.3 lengths
    125/1·126.00
    SP
Race time
2m 22.42s

Race time recorded.

In-running (Alshera (IRE))

hit the front early and dictated a fast gallop - opened up a six length advantage soon after halfway - that advantage was cut back inside the final furlong but held on with something to spare

Settled · 1pt level stake = 0.80 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →

Furlong's verdict

Reading the form…

AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.

Each-way26.5/100 rating
Kashooda
5.00Betfair Exchange

Top-half AI rating in the EW price sweet spot. Each-way splits stake: half on the win, half on the place portion.

Why the model rates this top

Alshera

Jack Callan(3) · John & Thady Gosden · 4yo

Top-rated of 12
score 31.0 · +3.5 clear of next best (27.5)
Scores compare runners within this race only

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

  • Form20% weight
    100very strong
    Last 6: 1
  • Freshness10% weight
    45below average
    246d since last run (long absence)
  • Trainer20% weight
    33weak
    John & Thady Gosden: 6/48 winners last 14d (13%)
  • Ratings50% weight
    0weak
    no Racing Post ratings on file
MarketBest price 2.02 (Betfair Exchange) · market favourite.

v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Draw bias — Kempton (AW) 1m3f

full course data →

Moderate: middle favoured (IV 1.21).

Low (1–5)
IV 0.99
Mid (6–9)
IV 1.21
High (10–13)
IV 0.83

Today: Alshera (draw 8) and Marianita (draw 9) get the bias; Bintwafaa (draw 11) is in the least-favoured band.

IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 242 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.

Runners · sorted by finishing position

PosNo.HorseFormORAISP
11
4yo · F · b
1
31.0
4/5F·1.80
SP
210
J: Oisin Murphy · T: Andrew Balding · draw 5
3yo · F · b
3
26.5
9/4·3.25
SP
39
J: Lewis Edmunds · T: Roger Teal · draw 3
2yo · F · ro
0
11.5
125/1·126.00
SP
48
3yo · F · ch
5
16.0
40/1·41.00
SP
56
J: David Probert · T: Hughie Morrison · draw 10
3yo · F · b
24.0
50/1·51.00
SP
611
J: Saffie Osborne · T: Tom Ward · draw 12
3yo · F · b
9
17.7
100/1·101.00
SP
75
J: Harry Davies · T: Charlie Johnston · draw 2
5yo · M · b
4
18.0
25/1·26.00
SP
82
J: Pierre-Louis Jamin · T: Jack Jones · draw 1
4yo · F · b
0
7.0
250/1·251.00
SP
913
J: Luke Morris · T: Alan King · draw 13
3yo · F · bh
7
26.5
150/1·151.00
SP
103
4yo · F · bbFT B
15.0
125/1·126.00
SP
1112
J: Rossa Ryan · T: Ralph Beckett · draw 9
3yo · F · b
4
19.5
3/1·4.00
SP
124
J: Robert Dunne · T: Kevin Pickard · draw 4
9yo · M · b
15.0
250/1·251.00
SP
J: NON-RUNNER · T: Roger Varian · draw 11
3yo · F · bh
5
27.5

OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest

Frequently asked questions

Who won the 18:38 Kempton (AW) on 8 July 2026?

Alshera (IRE) won the 18:38 Kempton (AW) at SP 1.80. Ridden by Jack Callan. Trained by John & Thady Gosden.

Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 18:38 Kempton (AW)?

Yes — the AI top-rated horse, Alshera, won the race (AI score 31.0).

What were the placings in the 18:38 Kempton (AW)?

Top finishers: 1. Alshera (IRE) (1.80), 2. Kashooda (GB) (3.25), 3. Cracking Beauty (GB) (126.00).

What was the winning time for the 18:38 Kempton (AW)?

The winning time was 2m 22.42s.

Best price shown is the highest decimal price across bookmakers we track. Odds update every few minutes; settle at SP if unavailable. 18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.org