Who won the 17:28 Kempton (AW) on 8 July 2026?
Big Bear Hug (GB) won the 17:28 Kempton (AW) at SP 23.00. Ridden by Alfie Redman. Trained by Jim Boyle.
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1m3f · Flat · Class 5 · Standard / Slow · 7 runners · £4,187 · Wednesday, 8 July 2026
Race time recorded.
“restrained towards the back of the pack - pressed for effort passing the final furlong marker and made a swift move through a gap to hit the front close home”
AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.
Top-half AI rating in the EW price sweet spot. Each-way splits stake: half on the win, half on the place portion.
Big Bear Hug tops our figures on the back of a much-improved effort last time out, the runner to beat in this Class 5 contest over today's 11 furlongs. Sonnerie Power, Valentine Boy and Sarangpur all have claims of their own and cannot be ignored in a competitive race. It's a moderate-confidence verdict given how tight the form reads, but Big Bear Hug's clear rating edge makes her our selection.
Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.
Joe Bradnam(3) · David Killahena & Graeme McPherson · 7yo
The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.
v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.
Moderate: middle favoured (IV 1.21).
Today: Valentine Boy (draw 5) and Maywedance (draw 4) get the bias; Sarangpur (draw 7) is in the least-favoured band.
IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 242 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.
| Pos | No. | Horse | Form | OR | AI | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | J: Alfie Redman(3) · T: Jim Boyle · draw 3 7yo · M · b | 08593 | 68 | 46.0 | 22/1·23.00 SP |
| 2 | 3 | J: Toby Moore(3) · T: Richard Hughes · draw 7 4yo · G · br | 83411 | 62 | 46.2 | 8/15F·1.53 SP |
| 3 | 7 | J: James Glennon(5) · T: John O'Shea · draw 4 4yo · F · bp | 740713 | 56 | 38.4 | 22/1·23.00 SP |
| 4 | 2 | J: Jude Fernandes(3) · T: Luke Dace · draw 5 4yo · G · grh | 03148 | 67 | 41.0 | 9/1·10.00 SP |
| 5 | 5 | J: Finlay Bassett(7) · T: John Mackie · draw 6 8yo · G · bv | 056836 | 61 | 34.4 | 18/1·19.00 SP |
| 6 | 4 | J: Joe Bradnam(3) · T: David Killahena & Graeme McPherson · draw 2 7yo · G · ch | 15762 | 64 | 60.3 | 4/1·5.00 SP |
| 7 | 6 | J: Charlie Tucker(5) · T: Tony Carroll · draw 1 5yo · G · b | 553484 | 59 | 48.5 | 12/1·13.00 SP |
OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest
Big Bear Hug (GB) won the 17:28 Kempton (AW) at SP 23.00. Ridden by Alfie Redman. Trained by Jim Boyle.
No — the AI top pick (Sonnerie Power) finished 6.
Top finishers: 1. Big Bear Hug (GB) (23.00), 2. Sarangpur (IRE) (1.53), 3. Maywedance (IRE) (23.00).
The winning time was 2m 32.87s.
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