19:48 Kempton (AW)

Unibet Supporting Safer Gambling Handicap

1m · Flat · Class 6 · Standard / Slow · 13 runners · £3,140 · Wednesday, 8 July 2026

Result

Race report

AI top pick placed 2nd

1st
Roi De Coeur (IRE)
Marco Ghiani·Marco Botti
7/1·8.00
SP
2nd
Fallacious Promise (GB)AI top pick · 56.3
Luke Morris·John Butler·beaten .75 lengths
6/5F·2.20
SP
3rd
Thisonesforyou (GB)
Georgia Dobie·Clive Cox·beaten 3 lengths
12/1·13.00
SP

Race time

1m 41.12s

Race time recorded.

In-running (Roi De Coeur (IRE))

“close up early - reeled in the front-runner passing the 2f marker to hit the front before the final furlong - had to fight off a prolonged bid from a rival but had the finish covered”

Settled · 1pt level stake = 1.20 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →

Furlong's verdict

Reading the form…

AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.

Other selections

Head-to-head dashboard →

Each-way50.6/100 rating

Blue Celestial

10.00Betfair Exchange

Top-half AI rating in the EW price sweet spot. Each-way splits stake: half on the win, half on the place portion.

Pundit corner

Racing Post · third-party

Pundit pick: Thestral

Thestral gets the vote in this Class 6 contest at Kempton (AW), not the highest figure on our book but the one with the most improving profile, having been runner-up two starts back before a solid 3rd last time out. Roi De Coeur, Roccobear and Torbados are the principal dangers, all within a handful of pounds on our figures, but Thestral's upward curve and proven form over today's trip and ground edge it. Expect a competitive finish in this large field, with our selection just about the pick on profile alone.

Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.

Why the model rates this top

Fallacious Promise

Luke Morris · John Butler · 3yo

Top-rated of 13

score 56.3 · +5.7 clear of next best (50.6)

Scores compare runners within this race only

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

Trainer20% weight
83very strong
John Butler: 6/18 winners last 14d (33%)
Form20% weight
76strong
Last 6: 9-2-2-3-1
Freshness10% weight
70strong
2d since last run (quick turnaround)
Ratings50% weight
35below average
OR 53

MarketBest price 2.64 (Betfair Exchange) · market favourite.

v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Draw bias — Kempton (AW) 1m

full course data →

Moderate: middle favoured (IV 1.17).

Low (1–5)

IV 1.05

Mid (6–10)

IV 1.17

High (11–14)

IV 0.80

Today: Fallacious Promise (draw 9) and Thestral (draw 10) get the bias; Blue Celestial (draw 12) is in the least-favoured band.

IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 665 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.

Runners · sorted by finishing position

Pos	No.	Horse	Form	Wt	OR	RPR	TS	AI	SP
1	1	Roi De Coeur J: Marco Ghiani · T: Marco Botti · draw 5 3yo · G · b	765	9-09	65	—	—	40.5	7/1·8.00 SP
2	14	Fallacious Promise J: Luke Morris · T: John Butler · draw 9 3yo · G · b	92231	9-03	53	—	—	56.3	6/5F·2.20 SP
3	4	Thisonesforyou J: Georgia Dobie · T: Clive Cox · draw 2 3yo · G · b	68159	9-07	63	—	—	43.5	12/1·13.00 SP
4	9	Torbados J: Jason Watson · T: Charles Hills · draw 7 3yo · G · bb	03605	9-05	61	—	—	43.2	9/1·10.00 SP
5	7	Roccobear J: Jack Callan(3) · T: J. R. Jenkins · draw 6 3yo · G · bpFT P	82563	9-06	62	—	—	37.6	33/1·34.00 SP
6	12	Blue Celestial J: Saffie Osborne · T: James Tate · draw 12 3yo · F · b	473243	9-03	59	—	—	50.6	6/1·7.00 SP
7	3	Tales Old As Time J: Alistair Rawlinson · T: Edward Smyth-Osbourne · draw 14 3yo · G · b	380	9-07	63	—	—	28.2	33/1·34.00 SP
8	13	Betty Lemon J: Rose Dawes(5) · T: Hughie Morrison · draw 11 3yo · F · gr	47041	9-01	57	—	—	45.6	22/1·23.00 SP
9	8	Sports Day J: Tom Marquand · T: Michael Bell · draw 3 3yo · G · ch	73260	9-06	62	—	—	46.6	9/1·10.00 SP
10	2	Thestral J: Oisin Murphy · T: Hugo Palmer · draw 10 3yo · G · bpFT P	18023	9-09	65	—	—	48.9	28/1·29.00 SP
11	5	Music Academy J: Rossa Ryan · T: Ralph Beckett · draw 8 3yo · F · bvFT V	9376	9-07	63	—	—	42.0	14/1·15.00 SP
12	10	Ten Cuidado J: Tyler Heard · T: Mark Usher · draw 4 2yo · G · b	0470	9-04	60	—	—	27.2	125/1·126.00 SP
13	6	Katalyst J: Pierre-Louis Jamin · T: William Muir & Chris Grassick · draw 1 3yo · F · bb	65640	9-06	62	—	—	33.4	20/1·21.00 SP
—	—	Positive Thoughts J: Oisin Murphy · T: John & Sean Quinn · draw 13 3yo · F · bp	24695	9-04	60	—	—	33.9	—

OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest

Frequently asked questions

Who won the 19:48 Kempton (AW) on 8 July 2026?

Roi De Coeur (IRE) won the 19:48 Kempton (AW) at SP 8.00. Ridden by Marco Ghiani. Trained by Marco Botti.

Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 19:48 Kempton (AW)?

No — the AI top pick (Fallacious Promise) finished 2.

What were the placings in the 19:48 Kempton (AW)?

Top finishers: 1. Roi De Coeur (IRE) (8.00), 2. Fallacious Promise (GB) (2.20), 3. Thisonesforyou (GB) (13.00).

What was the winning time for the 19:48 Kempton (AW)?

The winning time was 1m 41.12s.

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