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RacingAlpha

20:30 Fairyhouse

Ireland

Kate O'Sullivan Memorial Handicap

1m4f · Flat · Good · 17 runners · €5,900 · Friday, 12 June 2026

Result

Race report

AI top pick finished 8th
  1. 1st
    Wipeawayyourtears (IRE)
    Gavin Ryan·Michael Butler
    13/2·7.50
    SP
  2. 2nd
    Pebble Island (GB)
    Adam Caffrey·John C McConnell·beaten 1.5 lengths
    16/1·17.00
    SP
  3. 3rd
    Sir Trancealot (IRE)
    Ben Coen·J P Murtagh·beaten 0.2 lengths
    7/1·8.00
    SP
Race time
2m 40.24s+6.64s vs std

Slow — could be soft ground, easy lead, or tactical race.

AI top-rated Tassarolo (score 42.8) finished 8th.
Settled · 1pt level stake = 3.00 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →

Furlong's verdict

Reading the form…

AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.

Why the model rates this top

Tassarolo

Shane Foley · Denis Gerard Hogan · 5yo

Top-rated of 17
score 42.8 · +0.8 clear of next best (42.0)
Scores compare runners within this race only

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

  • Freshness10% weight
    100very strong
    14d since last run (race-fit window)
  • Ratings50% weight
    40below average
    OR 60 — highest combined rating in the field
  • Trainer20% weight
    33weak
    Denis Gerard Hogan: 3/24 winners last 14d (13%)
  • Form20% weight
    31weak
    Last 6: 8-9-3-5-5
MarketNo market price available yet.

v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Draw bias — Fairyhouse 1m4f

full course data →

Sample too small to call at this course and trip.

Low (1–7)
IV 1.30
Mid (8–14)
IV 0.75
High (15–21)
IV 0.91

IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 34 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.

Runners · sorted by finishing position

PosNo.HorseFormORAISP
116
J: Gavin Ryan · T: Michael Butler · draw 14
3yo · F · bp
70623
5437.2
13/2·7.50
SP
29
J: Adam Caffrey · T: John C McConnell · draw 9
4yo · G · btp
90000
5227.4
16/1·17.00
SP
314
J: Ben Coen · T: J P Murtagh · draw 12
3yo · G · bpFT P
077
5834.3
7/1·8.00
SP
41
6yo · G · bp
51203
6040.2
12/1·13.00
SP
513
J: Wesley Joyce(3) · T: L Young · draw 8
4yo · G · b
44674
4541.4
14/1·15.00
SP
67
J: W J Lee · T: Patrick J Flynn · draw 4
4yo · G · b
50708
5429.7
12/1·13.00
SP
715
J: Robert Whearty · T: Gavin Cromwell · draw 19
3yo · F · b
47500
5734.7
28/1·29.00
SP
83
J: Shane Foley · T: Denis Gerard Hogan · draw 3
5yo · G · btp
89355
6042.8
3/1F·4.00
SP
910
J: Joseph Harnett(7) · T: Peter Fahey · draw 1
5yo · G · bb
001541
5042.0
7/2·4.50
SP
1018
J: Orla Tynan(7) · T: Ciaran Murphy · draw 5
3yo · F · b
977
5235.0
33/1·34.00
SP
115
J: Sean Davis · T: Sean Davis · draw 11
6yo · G · b
00059
5940.2
50/1·51.00
SP
124
J: James Ryan · T: John M Burke · draw 21
5yo · M · bpFT P
0878
5930.3
66/1·67.00
SP
132
J: Gary Carroll · T: Denis Gerard Hogan · draw 20
7yo · G · btp
090793
6037.9
17/2·9.50
SP
1412
J: Colin Keane · T: Noel Meade · draw 17
4yo · F · b
60048
4932.2
14/1·15.00
SP
158
J: Robbie Colgan · T: Ms Sheila Lavery · draw 2
5yo · M · bt
46030
5329.0
18/1·19.00
SP
166
J: N G McCullagh · T: P C O'Donnell · draw 15
4yo · G · b
0807
5528.4
66/1·67.00
SP
1717
J: Leigh Roche · T: Jarlath P Fahey · draw 16
3yo · F · b
09177
5231.8
33/1·34.00
SP
——
J: · T: Denis Gerard Hogan · draw 18
3yo · F · b
5068
5434.1—
——
3yo · G · b
08009
5241.5—
——
6yo · M · bpFT P
4880
4326.2—
——
J: Nicola Burns(5) · T: Andrew Kinirons · draw 10
7yo · G · b
05091
5038.0—

OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest

Frequently asked questions

Who won the 20:30 Fairyhouse on 12 June 2026?

Wipeawayyourtears (IRE) won the 20:30 Fairyhouse at SP 7.50. Ridden by Gavin Ryan. Trained by Michael Butler.

Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 20:30 Fairyhouse?

No — the AI top pick (Tassarolo) finished 8.

What were the placings in the 20:30 Fairyhouse?

Top finishers: 1. Wipeawayyourtears (IRE) (7.50), 2. Pebble Island (GB) (17.00), 3. Sir Trancealot (IRE) (8.00).

What was the winning time for the 20:30 Fairyhouse?

The winning time was 2m 40.24s, 6.64s slower than standard.

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