Who won the 14:30 Nottingham on 2 July 2026?
Ash Tree (IRE) won the 14:30 Nottingham at SP 4.00. Ridden by Cieren Fallon. Trained by Jane Chapple-Hyam.
14:30 Nottingham
EBF Maiden Fillies' Stakes (GBB Race)
6f · Flat · Class 3 · Good To Firm · 6 runners · £7,020 · Thursday, 2 July 2026
Result
AI top pick finished 6thRace report
- 1stAsh Tree (IRE)Cieren Fallon·Jane Chapple-Hyam3/1·4.00SP
- 2ndNicely (IRE)Rowan Scott·Kevin Philippart De Foy·beaten 1.25 lengths9/1·10.00SP
- 3rdGrey Tamam (IRE)Clifford Lee·James Tate·beaten .5 lengths11/2·6.50SP
Race time
1m 13.87s+2.87s vs std
Slightly slow — minor pace variance, nothing to read into.
In-running (Ash Tree (IRE))
“Slow to begin - in touch with the pace - pushed along to make headway around 2f out - led over 1f out - ran on well and always holding the advantage to the line”
AI top-rated Chiwara (score 28.6) finished 6th.
Settled · 1pt level stake = 2.75 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →
Furlong's verdict
Reading the form…
AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.
Pundit corner
Racing Post · third-partyPundit pick: Grey Tamam
Grey Tamam catches the eye among the newcomers as a 140,000-euro Churchill purchase for trainer James Tate, whose yard has been in excellent form, and her dam was a smart performer at this course — the profile is a compelling one. Bearly Blue carries the most relevant form having placed at Goodwood, with Chiwara also shaping well on debut at Ripon, but Grey Tamam is the selection.
Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.
Why the model rates this top
Chiwara
Jason Hart · Richard & Peter Fahey · 2yo
Top-rated of 6
score 28.6 · +0.1 clear of next best (28.5)
Scores compare runners within this race only
The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.
- Freshness10% weight100very strong15d since last run (race-fit window)
- Form20% weight78strongLast 6: 2
- Trainer20% weight15weakRichard & Peter Fahey: 3/51 winners last 14d (6%)
- Ratings50% weight0weakno Racing Post ratings on file
MarketNo market price available yet.
v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.
Draw bias — Nottingham 6f
full course data →No meaningful draw bias at this course and trip.
Low (1–2)
IV 0.90
Mid (3–4)
IV 1.04
High (5–6)
IV 1.08
IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 149 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.
Runners · sorted by finishing position
| Pos | No. | Horse | Form | OR | AI | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | J: Cieren Fallon · T: Jane Chapple-Hyam · draw 6 2yo · F · b | — | — | 28.5 | 3/1·4.00 SP |
| 2 | 6 | J: Rowan Scott · T: Kevin Philippart De Foy · draw 2 2yo · F · ch | — | — | 21.5 | 9/1·10.00 SP |
| 3 | 5 | J: Clifford Lee · T: James Tate · draw 4 2yo · F · gr | — | — | 23.0 | 11/2·6.50 SP |
| 4 | 4 | J: Edward Greatrex · T: Jane Chapple-Hyam · draw 1 2yo · F · b | — | — | 28.5 | 14/1·15.00 SP |
| 5 | 2 | J: Daniel Tudhope · T: Richard Hughes · draw 3 2yo · F · b | 72 | — | 25.9 | 11/4J·3.75 SP |
| 6 | 3 | J: Jason Hart · T: Richard & Peter Fahey · draw 5 2yo · F · b | 2 | — | 28.6 | 11/4J·3.75 SP |
OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest
Frequently asked questions
Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 14:30 Nottingham?
No — the AI top pick (Chiwara) finished 6.
What were the placings in the 14:30 Nottingham?
Top finishers: 1. Ash Tree (IRE) (4.00), 2. Nicely (IRE) (10.00), 3. Grey Tamam (IRE) (6.50).
What was the winning time for the 14:30 Nottingham?
The winning time was 1m 13.87s, 2.87s slower than standard.
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