Who won the 16:40 Nottingham on 2 July 2026?
Beauty Generation (IRE) won the 16:40 Nottingham at SP 8.50. Ridden by Jason Hart. Trained by Ross Burdon.
16:40 Nottingham
Wildwest Beer Festival 4th July Handicap
1m2f · Flat · Class 6 · Good To Firm · 9 runners · £4,187 · Thursday, 2 July 2026
Result
AI top pick placed 2ndRace report
- 1stBeauty Generation (IRE)Jason Hart·Ross Burdon15/2·8.50SP
- 2ndPhantom Shadow (FR)AI top pick · 47.2Cieren Fallon·Harry Charlton·beaten 1 length11/2·6.50SP
- 3rdMohmentous (GB)Daniel Tudhope·Ollie Sangster·beaten 2.25 lengths9/4F·3.25SP
Race time
2m 10.01s+3.41s vs std
Slow — could be soft ground, easy lead, or tactical race.
In-running (Beauty Generation (IRE))
“Tracked the pace prominently - short of room approaching the furlong marker - drifted right on taking command inside final 110 yards - finished strongly”
Settled · 1pt level stake = 5.50 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →
Furlong's verdict
Reading the form…
AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.
Pundit corner
Racing Post · third-partyPundit pick: Mohmentous
Mohmentous has two wins from his last six starts and went down by only 2 lengths at short odds last time off this same mark; the move up to 10f on fast ground plays to his strengths and he rates the most compelling case in the field. Wadacre Geisha was beaten just a short-head at Beverley last time off this mark and must be respected, with Beauty Generation — equipped with first-time cheekpieces — our third preference. Mohmentous is the selection.
Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.
Why the model rates this top
Phantom Shadow
Cieren Fallon · Harry Charlton · 3yo
Top-rated of 9
score 47.2 · +0.2 clear of next best (47.0)
Scores compare runners within this race only
The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.
- Freshness10% weight100very strong15d since last run (race-fit window)
- Form20% weight46below averageLast 6: 4-8-2-3-5
- Trainer20% weight45below averageHarry Charlton: 2/11 winners last 14d (18%)
- Ratings50% weight38below averageOR 57
MarketNo market price available yet.
v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.
Draw bias — Nottingham 1m2f
full course data →No meaningful draw bias at this course and trip.
Low (1–3)
IV 0.91
Mid (4–6)
IV 0.99
High (7–9)
IV 1.11
IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 196 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.
Runners · sorted by finishing position
| Pos | No. | Horse | Form | OR | AI | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | J: Jason Hart · T: Ross Burdon · draw 1 5yo · G · bp | 75345 | 55 | 34.6 | 15/2·8.50 SP |
| 2 | 8 | J: Cieren Fallon · T: Harry Charlton · draw 9 3yo · G · cht | 48235 | 57 | 47.2 | 11/2·6.50 SP |
| 3 | 6 | J: Daniel Tudhope · T: Ollie Sangster · draw 3 3yo · G · b | 047112 | 59 | 47.0 | 9/4F·3.25 SP |
| 4 | 2 | J: William Carson · T: John & Rhys Flint · draw 6 5yo · G · b | 75759 | 59 | 31.8 | 17/2·9.50 SP |
| 5 | 1 | J: Oliver Carmichael(7) · T: Faye Bramley · draw 2 4yo · G · bt | 38926 | 60 | 41.3 | 8/1·9.00 SP |
| 6 | 7 | J: Cian Horgan(5) · T: Edward Bethell · draw 5 3yo · F · bpFT P | 70265 | 57 | 42.4 | 20/1·21.00 SP |
| 7 | 9 | J: Connor Beasley · T: Charlie Johnston · draw 8 3yo · F · b | 985242 | 54 | 41.7 | 100/30·4.33 SP |
| 8 | 3 | J: Finlay Bassett(7) · T: Tony Forbes · draw 7 4yo · G · b | 972758 | 58 | 43.0 | 28/1·29.00 SP |
| 9 | 5 | J: Sam James · T: Gemma Tutty · draw 4 3yo · G · b | 0905 | 59 | 37.3 | 16/1·17.00 SP |
OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest
Frequently asked questions
Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 16:40 Nottingham?
No — the AI top pick (Phantom Shadow) finished 2.
What were the placings in the 16:40 Nottingham?
Top finishers: 1. Beauty Generation (IRE) (8.50), 2. Phantom Shadow (FR) (6.50), 3. Mohmentous (GB) (3.25).
What was the winning time for the 16:40 Nottingham?
The winning time was 2m 10.01s, 3.41s slower than standard.
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