Who won the 16:05 Nottingham on 2 July 2026?
Empirical (IRE) won the 16:05 Nottingham at SP 2.25. Ridden by Cieren Fallon. Trained by Ed Walker.
16:05 Nottingham
Watch Racing TV Now Handicap
1m½f · Flat · Class 5 · Good To Firm · 8 runners · £4,711 · Thursday, 2 July 2026
Result
AI top pick finished 7thRace report
- 1stEmpirical (IRE)Cieren Fallon·Ed Walker5/4F·2.25SP
- 2ndAlbertini Star (IRE)Clifford Lee·Alan King·beaten 8 lengths16/1·17.00SP
- 3rdMereside Princess (IRE)William Pyle·David & Nicola Barron·beaten 0.3 lengths7/2·4.50SP
Race time
1m 43.37s+3.27s vs std
Slow — could be soft ground, easy lead, or tactical race.
In-running (Empirical (IRE))
“Slow into stride and niggled along early - held up in rear - shifted through to make headway from 2f out - hit the front over 1f out - quickly asserted and drew clear approaching the final 110 yards - comfortable success”
AI top-rated Thornaby Annie (score 64.0) finished 7th.
Settled · 1pt level stake = 3.50 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →
Furlong's verdict
Reading the form…
AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.
Pundit corner
Racing Post · third-partyPundit pick: Empirical
Empirical shaped with promise on his handicap debut here, going down by just 1 1/2 lengths off this same mark, and with the scope to progress further he rates the pick of an open field. Mereside Princess fell just short of a hat-trick by a nose last time and remains dangerously well treated off the same mark, while Thornaby Annie's recent Wetherby success marks her as a live danger. Empirical is the selection.
Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.
Why the model rates this top
Thornaby Annie
Jack Nicholls(5) · Adrian Nicholls · 3yo
Top-rated of 8
score 64.0 · +16.6 clear of next best (47.5)
Scores compare runners within this race only
The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.
- Freshness10% weight100very strong17d since last run (race-fit window)
- Trainer20% weight83small sample (n=6)Adrian Nicholls: 2/6 winners last 14d (33%) — too few recent runs to judge the yard
- Form20% weight73strongLast 6: 4-0-2-2-1
- Ratings50% weight46below averageOR 69 — highest combined rating in the field
MarketNo market price available yet.
v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.
Draw bias — Nottingham 1m½f
full course data →No meaningful draw bias at this course and trip.
Low (1–3)
IV 0.91
Mid (4–6)
IV 0.99
High (7–8)
IV 1.11
IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 196 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.
Runners · sorted by finishing position
| Pos | No. | Horse | Form | OR | AI | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | J: Cieren Fallon · T: Ed Walker · draw 8 3yo · G · grp | 7383 | 66 | 43.1 | 5/4F·2.25 SP |
| 2 | 6 | J: Clifford Lee · T: Alan King · draw 5 3yo · F · bhFT H | 860 | 63 | 38.2 | 16/1·17.00 SP |
| 3 | 7 | J: William Pyle · T: David & Nicola Barron · draw 7 3yo · F · br/grb | 643112 | 62 | 47.5 | 7/2·4.50 SP |
| 4 | 5 | J: Jason Hart · T: Michael Appleby · draw 2 3yo · F · b | 77767 | 64 | 41.1 | 12/1·13.00 SP |
| 5 | 8 | J: Oisin Orr · T: Richard & Peter Fahey · draw 1 3yo · G · chp | 424407 | 62 | 36.4 | 40/1·41.00 SP |
| 6 | 2 | J: Sam James · T: Jessica Macey · draw 4 3yo · G · chp | 04825 | 68 | 40.4 | 11/1·12.00 SP |
| 7 | 1 | J: Jack Nicholls(5) · T: Adrian Nicholls · draw 3 3yo · F · chh | 40221 | 69 | 64.0 | 7/2·4.50 SP |
| 8 | 3 | J: David Allan · T: Tim Easterby · draw 6 3yo · F · br | 17085 | 67 | 42.1 | 16/1·17.00 SP |
OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest
Frequently asked questions
Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 16:05 Nottingham?
No — the AI top pick (Thornaby Annie) finished 7.
What were the placings in the 16:05 Nottingham?
Top finishers: 1. Empirical (IRE) (2.25), 2. Albertini Star (IRE) (17.00), 3. Mereside Princess (IRE) (4.50).
What was the winning time for the 16:05 Nottingham?
The winning time was 1m 43.37s, 3.27s slower than standard.
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