Who won the 15:30 Nottingham on 2 July 2026?
Emma's Letter (GB) won the 15:30 Nottingham at SP 11.00. Ridden by Jason Hart. Trained by Ed Dunlop.
15:30 Nottingham
Construction Day 14th October Handicap
1m2f · Flat · Class 5 · Good To Firm · 6 runners · £4,711 · Thursday, 2 July 2026
Result
AI top pick finished 5thRace report
- 1stEmma's Letter (GB)Jason Hart·Ed Dunlop10/1·11.00SP
- 2ndLiveinthelight (GB)Clifford Lee·Ollie Sangster·beaten 0.3 lengths11/2·6.50SP
- 3rdAl Maslool (GB)Cieren Fallon·William Haggas·beaten 1.5 lengths4/5F·1.80SP
Race time
2m 9.89s+3.29s vs std
Slow — could be soft ground, easy lead, or tactical race.
In-running (Emma's Letter (GB))
“Tracked the leader in second early - travelling strongly - sent to the front around 2f out - continued under pressure inside the final furlong - kept on well to hold off a late challenge”
AI top-rated Red Rifle (score 52.9) finished 5th.
Settled · 1pt level stake = 11.00 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →
Furlong's verdict
Reading the form…
AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.
Pundit corner
Racing Post · third-partyPundit pick: Al Maslool
Al Maslool produced improved form when runner-up at Lingfield on his latest start, and with first-time cheekpieces appearing to have played a role, he has the profile to go one better for a powerful yard on his handicap bow at 10f. Liveinthelight is the clear danger having opened her account at Ffos Las with resolve, though she carries a 3lb higher mark on quicker ground today; Ceinture d'Orion and Red Rifle also hold claims. Al Maslool is our selection.
Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.
Why the model rates this top
Red Rifle
Oliver Stammers · Grant Tuer · 3yo
Top-rated of 6
score 52.9 · +4.1 clear of next best (48.8)
Scores compare runners within this race only
The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.
- Freshness10% weight100very strong20d since last run (race-fit window)
- Trainer20% weight58averageGrant Tuer: 3/13 winners last 14d (23%)
- Form20% weight47below averageLast 6: 6-5-0-1-4
- Ratings50% weight44below averageOR 66
MarketNo market price available yet.
v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.
Draw bias — Nottingham 1m2f
full course data →No meaningful draw bias at this course and trip.
Low (1–3)
IV 0.91
Mid (4–5)
IV 0.99
High (6–7)
IV 1.11
IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 196 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.
Runners · sorted by finishing position
| Pos | No. | Horse | Form | OR | AI | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | J: Jason Hart · T: Ed Dunlop · draw 6 3yo · F · bb | 22439 | 65 | 48.7 | 10/1·11.00 SP |
| 2 | 2 | J: Clifford Lee · T: Ollie Sangster · draw 4 3yo · F · ch | 0591 | 66 | 46.1 | 11/2·6.50 SP |
| 3 | 1 | J: Cieren Fallon · T: William Haggas · draw 2 3yo · G · grp | 537502 | 67 | 48.8 | 4/5F·1.80 SP |
| 4 | 4 | J: Daniel Tudhope · T: David O'Meara · draw 5 3yo · F · ch | 463 | 66 | 47.3 | 7/2·4.50 SP |
| 5 | 3 | J: Oliver Stammers · T: Grant Tuer · draw 1 3yo · G · ch | 65014 | 66 | 52.9 | 11/1·12.00 SP |
| 6 | 6 | J: Sean D Bowen · T: Richard Phillips · draw 7 3yo · G · ch | 468 | 62 | 31.0 | 33/1·34.00 SP |
| — | — | J: Jack Callan(3) · T: Charlie Johnston · draw 3 3yo · F · b | 113298 | 62 | 43.6 | — |
OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest
Frequently asked questions
Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 15:30 Nottingham?
No — the AI top pick (Red Rifle) finished 5.
What were the placings in the 15:30 Nottingham?
Top finishers: 1. Emma's Letter (GB) (11.00), 2. Liveinthelight (GB) (6.50), 3. Al Maslool (GB) (1.80).
What was the winning time for the 15:30 Nottingham?
The winning time was 2m 9.89s, 3.29s slower than standard.
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