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15:15

Newmarket (July)

Great Britain

Betway Old Newton Cup Handicap (GBBPlus Race)

Saturday, 4 July 2026

1m4f·Flat·Class 2·Good To Firm·12 runners·£64,425
Result

Race report

AI top pick placed 2nd
  1. 1st
    Sportingsilvermine (IRE)
    Marco Ghiani·James Owen
    12/1·13.00
    SP
  2. 2nd
    Paddy The Squire (GB)AI top pick · 68.4
    Andrew Mullen·Iain Jardine·beaten .5 lengths
    8/1·9.00
    SP
  3. 3rd
    Night Breeze (IRE)
    Edward Greatrex·Ian Williams·beaten 1.75 lengths
    12/1·13.00
    SP
Race time
2m 26.40s−3.50s vs std

Notably fast — strong race time, solid form line.

Settled · 1pt level stake = 8.00 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →

Furlong's verdict

Reading the form…

AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.

Selections by model

Head-to-head dashboard →
v1.068.4/100 rating
Paddy The Squire
9.20Betfair Exchange· informational only

Top-rated, but filter rejects this race

v1.1
No pick

Race outside the segment-edge filter

Each-way68.4/100 rating
Paddy The Squire
9.20Betfair Exchange

Top-half AI rating in the EW price sweet spot. Each-way splits stake: half on the win, half on the place portion.

Racing Alpha pick

Paddy The Squire

Andrew Mullen · Iain Jardine · 6yo

68.4/100
+0.5 vs next best (68.0)

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

  • Freshness10% weight
    100very strong
    18d since last run (race-fit window)
  • Trainer20% weight
    73strong
    Iain Jardine: 8/28 winners last 14d (29%)
  • Ratings50% weight
    67strong
    OR 101 — above field median
  • Form20% weight
    51average
    Last 6: 1-1-5-6-3
MarketBest price 9.20 (Betfair Exchange) — 2nd favourite. AI sees slight value vs consensus.

v1.3 rating · weights and method explained on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Runners

Pos#DrHorseJockey / TrainerFormWtORRPRTSAISP
612
6yo · G · b
29370
9-1210358.7
22/1·23.00
SP
9211
5yo · G · ch
P3163
9-1110260.7
10/1·11.00
SP
236
6yo · G · btp
11563
9-1010168.4
8/1·9.00
SP
841
7yo · G · b/br
277851
9-089968.0
15/2·8.50
SP
758
4yo · C · b
72121
9-079865.8
6/5F·2.20
SP
1269
9yo · G · bt
131099
9-069756.9
50/1·51.00
SP
374
6yo · G · bt
403412
9-049563.7
12/1·13.00
SP
483
4yo · G · bv
23624
8-139059.1
16/1·17.00
SP
597
4yo · G · chpFT P
00875
8-139050.7
28/1·29.00
SP
111010
4yo · G · b
21213
8-139065.2
12/1·13.00
SP
101112
4yo · G · b
12011
8-118860.3
14/1·15.00
SP
1125
5yo · G · br
000713
8-098657.4
12/1·13.00
SP

Frequently asked questions

Who won the 15:15 Newmarket (July) on 4 July 2026?

Sportingsilvermine (IRE) won the 15:15 Newmarket (July) at SP 13.00. Ridden by Marco Ghiani. Trained by James Owen.

Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 15:15 Newmarket (July)?

No — the AI top pick (Paddy The Squire) finished 2.

What were the placings in the 15:15 Newmarket (July)?

Top finishers: 1. Sportingsilvermine (IRE) (13.00), 2. Paddy The Squire (GB) (9.00), 3. Night Breeze (IRE) (13.00).

What was the winning time for the 15:15 Newmarket (July)?

The winning time was 2m 26.40s, 3.50s faster than standard.

Racing Post verdict

Third-party

Klassleader's punchy handicap success claims plenty of attention and he'll rightly be fancied by many, but there could be better value in Claymore, who franked his smart form from abroad with an equally taking handicap win last time and looks capable of building on that off a workable mark. Klassleader is the most obvious danger on a progressive, lightly-raced profile, while Burdett Road, third on our figures, and the improving Sportingsilvermine - denied a length or so by trouble in running last time - both have claims among the chasing pack. Elsass's upward curve is also worth noting, but Claymore's blend of proven class and fitness makes him our selection.

Racing Post pick: Claymore

Editorial verdict from Racing Post via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha.

Best price shown is the highest decimal price across bookmakers we track. Odds update every few minutes; settle at SP if unavailable. 18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.org