Who won the 15:15 Newmarket (July) on 4 July 2026?
Sportingsilvermine (IRE) won the 15:15 Newmarket (July) at SP 13.00. Ridden by Marco Ghiani. Trained by James Owen.
15:15 Newmarket (July)
Betway Old Newton Cup Handicap (GBBPlus Race)
1m4f · Flat · Class 2 · Good To Firm · 12 runners · £64,425 · Saturday, 4 July 2026
Result
AI top pick placed 2ndRace report
- 1stSportingsilvermine (IRE)Marco Ghiani·James Owen12/1·13.00SP
- 2ndPaddy The Squire (GB)AI top pick · 68.4Andrew Mullen·Iain Jardine·beaten .5 lengths8/1·9.00SP
- 3rdNight Breeze (IRE)Edward Greatrex·Ian Williams·beaten 1.75 lengths12/1·13.00SP
Race time
2m 26.40s−3.50s vs std
Notably fast — strong race time, solid form line.
Settled · 1pt level stake = 8.00 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →
Furlong's verdict
Reading the form…
AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.
Other selections
Head-to-head dashboard →Each-way68.4/100 rating
Paddy The Squire
9.20Betfair Exchange
Top-half AI rating in the EW price sweet spot. Each-way splits stake: half on the win, half on the place portion.
Pundit corner
Racing Post · third-partyPundit pick: Claymore
Klassleader's punchy handicap success claims plenty of attention and he'll rightly be fancied by many, but there could be better value in Claymore, who franked his smart form from abroad with an equally taking handicap win last time and looks capable of building on that off a workable mark. Klassleader is the most obvious danger on a progressive, lightly-raced profile, while Burdett Road, third on our figures, and the improving Sportingsilvermine - denied a length or so by trouble in running last time - both have claims among the chasing pack. Elsass's upward curve is also worth noting, but Claymore's blend of proven class and fitness makes him our selection.
Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.
Why the model rates this top
Paddy The Squire
Andrew Mullen · Iain Jardine · 6yo
Top-rated of 12
score 68.4 · +0.5 clear of next best (68.0)
Scores compare runners within this race only
The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.
- Freshness10% weight100very strong18d since last run (race-fit window)
- Trainer20% weight73strongIain Jardine: 8/28 winners last 14d (29%)
- Ratings50% weight67strongOR 101 — above field median
- Form20% weight51averageLast 6: 1-1-5-6-3
MarketBest price 9.20 (Betfair Exchange) · 2nd in the market of 12.
v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.
Draw bias — Newmarket (July) 1m4f
full course data →Moderate: middle favoured (IV 1.30).
Low (1–4)
IV 0.91
Mid (5–8)
IV 1.30
High (9–12)
IV 0.82
Today: Paddy The Squire (draw 6) and Klassleader (draw 8) get the bias; Fierce Fortitude (draw 10) is in the least-favoured band.
IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 59 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.
Runners · sorted by finishing position
| Pos | No. | Horse | Form | OR | AI | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 12 | J: Marco Ghiani · T: James Owen · draw 5 5yo · G · br | 000713 | 86 | 57.4 | 12/1·13.00 SP |
| 2 | 3 | J: Andrew Mullen · T: Iain Jardine · draw 6 6yo · G · btp | 11563 | 101 | 68.4 | 8/1·9.00 SP |
| 3 | 7 | J: Edward Greatrex · T: Ian Williams · draw 4 6yo · G · bt | 403412 | 95 | 63.7 | 12/1·13.00 SP |
| 4 | 8 | J: Mason Paetel(5) · T: James Owen · draw 3 4yo · G · bv | 23624 | 90 | 59.1 | 16/1·17.00 SP |
| 5 | 9 | J: Darragh Keenan · T: George Scott · draw 7 4yo · G · chpFT P | 00875 | 90 | 50.7 | 28/1·29.00 SP |
| 6 | 1 | J: Luke Morris · T: James Owen · draw 2 6yo · G · b | 29370 | 103 | 58.7 | 22/1·23.00 SP |
| 7 | 5 | J: Tom Marquand · T: William Haggas · draw 8 4yo · C · b | 72121 | 98 | 65.8 | 6/5F·2.20 SP |
| 8 | 4 | J: Silvestre De Sousa · T: Jane Chapple-Hyam · draw 1 7yo · G · b/br | 277851 | 99 | 68.0 | 15/2·8.50 SP |
| 9 | 2 | J: Callum Hutchinson · T: Andrew Balding · draw 11 5yo · G · ch | P3163 | 102 | 60.7 | 10/1·11.00 SP |
| 10 | 11 | J: Hector Crouch · T: Charlie Johnston · draw 12 4yo · G · b | 12011 | 88 | 60.3 | 14/1·15.00 SP |
| 11 | 10 | J: David Egan · T: Kevin Philippart De Foy · draw 10 4yo · G · b | 21213 | 90 | 65.2 | 12/1·13.00 SP |
| 12 | 6 | J: Daniel Tudhope · T: Ian Williams · draw 9 9yo · G · bt | 131099 | 97 | 56.9 | 50/1·51.00 SP |
OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest
Frequently asked questions
Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 15:15 Newmarket (July)?
No — the AI top pick (Paddy The Squire) finished 2.
What were the placings in the 15:15 Newmarket (July)?
Top finishers: 1. Sportingsilvermine (IRE) (13.00), 2. Paddy The Squire (GB) (9.00), 3. Night Breeze (IRE) (13.00).
What was the winning time for the 15:15 Newmarket (July)?
The winning time was 2m 26.40s, 3.50s faster than standard.
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