Who won the 16:25 Newmarket (July) on 4 July 2026?
Royal Zabeel (IRE) won the 16:25 Newmarket (July) at SP 4.33. Ridden by Jason Watson. Trained by Michael Appleby.
16:25 Newmarket (July)
Betway Best Odds Guaranteed Handicap
7f · Flat · Class 2 · Good To Firm · 10 runners · £23,553 · Saturday, 4 July 2026
Result
AI top pick placed 3rdRace report
- 1stRoyal Zabeel (IRE)Jason Watson·Michael Appleby100/30J·4.33SP
- 2ndGoldmoyne (IRE)Mason Paetel·James Owen·beaten 1.25 lengths10/1·11.00SP
- 3rdCrown Board (IRE)AI top pick · 65.8Silvestre De Sousa·Jane Chapple-Hyam·beaten 1 length5/1·6.00SP
Race time
1m 22.17s−0.63s vs std
Faster than standard — genuine race tempo.
Settled · 1pt level stake = 5.00 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →
Furlong's verdict
Reading the form…
AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.
Other selections
Head-to-head dashboard →Each-way65.8/100 rating
Crown Board
13.00Bet365
Place portion settles at 3.40 · 1/5 odds · 3 places
Top-half AI rating in the EW price sweet spot. Each-way splits stake: half on the win, half on the place portion.
Pundit corner
Racing Post · third-partyPundit pick: Royal Zabeel
This looks a red-hot, high-class handicap with several runners fresh from a testing spell at the top level. Royal Zabeel earns the vote on pure class, with a course-and-distance victory last summer and a fair effort back over today's trip in a big field last time out, giving hope that a repeat could see him prominent at the finish. It is far from a formality, though: Akkadian Thunder is the most consistent alternative from a workable mark, Silver Ghost can progress from a close-up effort over this course last time, and Goldmoyne, in good form and only narrowly touched off last time, also commands plenty of respect.
Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.
Why the model rates this top
Crown Board
Silvestre De Sousa · Jane Chapple-Hyam · 6yo
Top-rated of 10
score 65.8 · +3.3 clear of next best (62.5)
Scores compare runners within this race only
The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.
- Trainer20% weight95very strongJane Chapple-Hyam: 5/13 winners last 14d (38%)
- Ratings50% weight69strongOR 104 — above field median
- Freshness10% weight65strong126d since last run (rusty)
- Form20% weight28weakLast 6: 4-1-4-8-0
MarketBest price 13.00 (Bet365) · 8th in the market of 10.
v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.
Draw bias — Newmarket (July) 7f
full course data →No meaningful draw bias at this course and trip.
Low (1–4)
IV 0.91
Mid (5–7)
IV 1.06
High (8–10)
IV 1.05
IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 167 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.
Runners · sorted by finishing position
| Pos | No. | Horse | Form | OR | AI | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | J: Jason Watson · T: Michael Appleby · draw 7 5yo · G · b | 10450 | 101 | 54.9 | 100/30J·4.33 SP |
| 2 | 9 | J: Mason Paetel(5) · T: James Owen · draw 4 6yo · G · bp | 139542 | 88 | 59.4 | 10/1·11.00 SP |
| 3 | 2 | J: Silvestre De Sousa · T: Jane Chapple-Hyam · draw 10 6yo · G · b | 41480 | 104 | 65.8 | 5/1·6.00 SP |
| 4 | 5 | J: Luke Morris · T: James Owen · draw 9 4yo · G · b/br | 06597 | 94 | 52.9 | 8/1·9.00 SP |
| 5 | 8 | J: Jack Callan(3) · T: Charles Hills · draw 6 6yo · G · gr | 46288 | 91 | 48.8 | 12/1·13.00 SP |
| 6 | 7 | J: Daniel Tudhope · T: David O'Meara · draw 1 6yo · G · ch | 02635 | 91 | 55.9 | 8/1·9.00 SP |
| 7 | 1 | J: Tom Marquand · T: George Scott · draw 5 5yo · G · b | 21150 | 107 | 62.5 | 14/1·15.00 SP |
| 8 | 10 | J: Callum Hutchinson · T: Andrew Balding · draw 2 4yo · C · b | 23327 | 86 | 54.9 | 10/1·11.00 SP |
| 9 | 4 | J: William Carver · T: Jamie Osborne · draw 8 4yo · G · bh | 32000 | 98 | 52.0 | 125/1·126.00 SP |
| 10 | 6 | J: David Egan · T: Emma Lavelle · draw 3 4yo · F · gr | 06632 | 93 | 49.2 | 100/30J·4.33 SP |
OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest
Frequently asked questions
Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 16:25 Newmarket (July)?
No — the AI top pick (Crown Board) finished 3.
What were the placings in the 16:25 Newmarket (July)?
Top finishers: 1. Royal Zabeel (IRE) (4.33), 2. Goldmoyne (IRE) (11.00), 3. Crown Board (IRE) (6.00).
What was the winning time for the 16:25 Newmarket (July)?
The winning time was 1m 22.17s, 0.63s faster than standard.
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