Who won the 17:00 Newmarket (July) on 4 July 2026?
Ironwill (IRE) won the 17:00 Newmarket (July) at SP 3.00. Ridden by Marco Ghiani. Trained by Stuart Williams.
17:00 Newmarket (July)
Betway Launches Super Sub Handicap
7f · Flat · Class 3 · Good To Firm · 5 runners · £8,100 · Saturday, 4 July 2026
Result
AI top pick was a non-runnerRace report
- 1stIronwill (IRE)Marco Ghiani·Stuart Williams2/1F·3.00SP
- 2ndProud Nation (IRE)Warren Fentiman·Richard & Peter Fahey·beaten 0.1 lengths11/4·3.75SP
- 3rdLightning Polka (GB)Tom Marquand·Ed Walker·beaten 2 lengths9/2·5.50SP
Race time
1m 22.97s+0.17s vs std
On standard — typical pace for the course/distance.
Settled · 1pt level stake = 2.00 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →
Furlong's verdict
Reading the form…
AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.
Other selections
Head-to-head dashboard →Each-way55.1/100 rating
Ironwill
8.50Midnite
Place portion settles at 2.88 · 1/4 odds · 2 places
Top-half AI rating in the EW price sweet spot. Each-way splits stake: half on the win, half on the place portion.
Pundit corner
Racing Post · third-partyPundit pick: Ironwill
This is a competitive handicap that's tricky to be dogmatic about, with lightly raced, largely unexposed form throughout the field. Ironwill gets the nod on the back of two wins in his last five starts, and the manner of his latest effort under this same mark suggests there's more capable to come. Winding Stream, dropping into notably easier company than he has lately faced, poses the biggest threat, while the unbeaten I'll Be Back and the ever-reliable Aqua Bear round out the leading dangers to the selection.
Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.
Why the model rates this top
I'll Be Back
Sam James · K R Burke · 3yo
Top-rated of 7
score 63.7 · +8.5 clear of next best (55.1)
Scores compare runners within this race only
The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.
- Form20% weight100very strongLast 6: 1-1
- Freshness10% weight65strong82d since last run (rusty)
- Ratings50% weight61averageOR 92 — highest combined rating in the field
- Trainer20% weight33weakK R Burke: 4/31 winners last 14d (13%)
MarketBest price 2.28 (Betfair Exchange) · market favourite.
v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.
Draw bias — Newmarket (July) 7f
full course data →No meaningful draw bias at this course and trip.
Low (1–3)
IV 0.91
Mid (4–5)
IV 1.06
High (6–7)
IV 1.05
IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 167 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.
Runners · sorted by finishing position
| Pos | No. | Horse | Form | OR | AI | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | J: Marco Ghiani · T: Stuart Williams · draw 3 3yo · C · gr | 11553 | 85 | 55.1 | 2/1F·3.00 SP |
| 2 | 3 | J: Warren Fentiman(3) · T: Richard & Peter Fahey · draw 2 3yo · C · br | 2135 | 86 | 54.2 | 11/4·3.75 SP |
| 3 | 6 | J: Tom Marquand · T: Ed Walker · draw 4 3yo · F · chhFT H | 17039 | 81 | 46.3 | 9/2·5.50 SP |
| 4 | 5 | J: Jack Callan(3) · T: Kevin Ryan · draw 5 3yo · C · b | 14270 | 83 | 48.6 | 9/1·10.00 SP |
| 5 | 2 | J: Hector Crouch · T: Richard Hughes · draw 7 3yo · C · b | 1269 | 87 | 51.8 | 3/1·4.00 SP |
| — | — | 3yo · C · b | 11 | 92 | 63.7 | — |
| — | — | J: David Egan · T: Ian Williams · draw 6 3yo · G · b | 21403 | 80 | 52.2 | — |
OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest
Frequently asked questions
Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 17:00 Newmarket (July)?
No — the AI top pick (I'll Be Back) was a non-runner or unplaced.
What were the placings in the 17:00 Newmarket (July)?
Top finishers: 1. Ironwill (IRE) (3.00), 2. Proud Nation (IRE) (3.75), 3. Lightning Polka (GB) (5.50).
What was the winning time for the 17:00 Newmarket (July)?
The winning time was 1m 22.97s, on standard time.
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