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18:15 Chepstow

Fairplay Daily Price Boosts Novice Stakes (GBB Race)

7f · Flat · Class 4 · Good To Firm · 7 runners · £5,400 · Friday, 3 July 2026

Result

Race report

AI top pick placed 3rd
  1. 1st
    Name The Day (GB)
    Callum Hutchinson·Eve Johnson Houghton
    20/1·21.00
    SP
  2. 2nd
    Vastern (GB)
    Oisin Murphy·Adam Kirby·beaten 2.75 lengths
    8/1·9.00
    SP
  3. 3rd
    Fractional (GB)AI top pick · 55.4
    Tom Marquand·William Haggas·beaten 1 length
    1/3F·1.33
    SP
Race time
1m 23.30s+3.70s vs std

Slow — could be soft ground, easy lead, or tactical race.

In-running (Name The Day (GB))

Tracked the leaders - driven to the front over 2f out - quickened clear inside the final furlong - eased near the line

Settled · 1pt level stake = 0.33 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →

Furlong's verdict

Reading the form…

AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.

Pundit corner

Racing Post · third-party
Pundit pick: Fractional

Fractional has shown ability in novice company without quite delivering but a runner-up effort at Nottingham last time suggests she retains her form; our figures rate her well clear of these rivals, and as a daughter of Frankel there should be more improvement to come in this weaker contest. Deadline can improve on his Doncaster debut, while The Golden Snitch and Name The Day each hold some appeal. Fractional is our selection.

Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.

Why the model rates this top

Fractional

Tom Marquand · William Haggas · 3yo

Top-rated of 7
score 55.4 · +18.9 clear of next best (36.5)
Scores compare runners within this race only

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

  • Freshness10% weight
    100very strong
    22d since last run (race-fit window)
  • Form20% weight
    55average
    Last 6: 5-3-5-2
  • Ratings50% weight
    53average
    OR 79 — highest combined rating in the field
  • Trainer20% weight
    40below average
    William Haggas: 7/44 winners last 14d (16%)
MarketNo market price available yet.

v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Draw bias — Chepstow 7f

full course data →

No meaningful draw bias at this course and trip.

Low (1–3)
IV 1.06
Mid (4–5)
IV 0.95
High (6–7)
IV 0.98

IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 108 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.

Runners · sorted by finishing position

PosNo.HorseFormORAISP
17
3yo · F · ch
49
17.8
20/1·21.00
SP
25
J: Oisin Murphy · T: Adam Kirby · draw 7
3yo · G · b
21.5
8/1·9.00
SP
36
J: Tom Marquand · T: William Haggas · draw 5
3yo · F · bhFT H
5352
7955.4
1/3F·1.33
SP
44
3yo · G · ch
407
7536.5
22/1·23.00
SP
52
3yo · G · bl
25.0
150/1·151.00
SP
61
J: Rob Hornby · T: Warren Greatrex · draw 1
3yo · G · ch
6
14.0
9/2·5.50
SP
73
J: J F Egan · T: Daisy Hitchins · draw 4
3yo · G · b
15.0
125/1·126.00
SP

OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest

Frequently asked questions

Who won the 18:15 Chepstow on 3 July 2026?

Name The Day (GB) won the 18:15 Chepstow at SP 21.00. Ridden by Callum Hutchinson. Trained by Eve Johnson Houghton.

Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 18:15 Chepstow?

No — the AI top pick (Fractional) finished 3.

What were the placings in the 18:15 Chepstow?

Top finishers: 1. Name The Day (GB) (21.00), 2. Vastern (GB) (9.00), 3. Fractional (GB) (1.33).

What was the winning time for the 18:15 Chepstow?

The winning time was 1m 23.30s, 3.70s slower than standard.

Best price shown is the highest decimal price across bookmakers we track. Odds update every few minutes; settle at SP if unavailable. 18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.org