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Next · 15m17:20Lingfield (AW)

18:45 Chepstow

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5f · Flat · Class 6 · Good To Firm · 8 runners · £3,454 · Friday, 3 July 2026

Result

Race report

AI top pick wonat SP 6/4F·2.50
  1. 1st
    Darkened Edge (GB)AI top pick · 54.1
    Gina Mangan·Christopher Mason
    6/4F·2.50
    SP
  2. 2nd
    Banana (GB)
    Kieran O'Neill·Scott Dixon·beaten 1.75 lengths
    5/2·3.50
    SP
  3. 3rd
    River Edge (GB)
    Ashley Lewis·Christopher Mason·beaten 1.25 lengths
    17/2·9.50
    SP
Race time
58.66s+2.06s vs std

Slightly slow — minor pace variance, nothing to read into.

In-running (Darkened Edge (GB))

Close to the pace - pressed along over 2f out - took the lead approaching 1f out - ran on strongly

Settled · 1pt level stake = 1.50 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →

Furlong's verdict

Reading the form…

AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.

Pundit corner

Racing Post · third-party
Pundit pick: Banana

Banana returns to a surface that has suited her and is our top-rated runner, arriving with new headgear after a forgivable effort on softer ground at Bath last time; this sharper surface should be more to her taste. Rogue Rebellion is second on our ratings but needs to find form again after a run of poor efforts, while Darkened Edge, in form this season, is a solid danger on course-and-distance form. River Edge returns after an extremely lengthy absence and has fitness questions to answer. Banana is our selection.

Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.

Why the model rates this top

Darkened Edge

Gina Mangan · Christopher Mason · 6yo

Top-rated of 8
score 54.1 · +6.0 clear of next best (48.1)
Scores compare runners within this race only

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

  • Freshness10% weight
    100very strong
    20d since last run (race-fit window)
  • Trainer20% weight
    95small sample (n=8)
    Christopher Mason: 3/8 winners last 14d (38%) — too few recent runs to judge the yard
  • Form20% weight
    42below average
    Last 6: 2-5-8-3-4
  • Ratings50% weight
    33weak
    OR 50 — highest combined rating in the field
MarketNo market price available yet.

v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Draw bias — Chepstow 5f

full course data →

No meaningful draw bias at this course and trip.

Low (1–3)
IV 1.00
Mid (4–6)
IV 0.90
High (7–8)
IV 1.08

IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 106 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.

Runners · sorted by finishing position

PosNo.HorseFormORAISP
14
J: Gina Mangan · T: Christopher Mason · draw 6
6yo · M · br
25834
5054.1
6/4F·2.50
SP
22
J: Kieran O'Neill · T: Scott Dixon · draw 2
7yo · M · btp
50420
5030.5
5/2·3.50
SP
35
5yo · G · grh
452
4648.1
17/2·9.50
SP
48
J: Rob Hornby · T: Ronald Harris · draw 3
3yo · C · b
262993
5031.0
12/1·13.00
SP
57
6yo · G · b
07095
4537.7
6/1·7.00
SP
61
J: Oliver Searle(5) · T: Rod Millman · draw 4
8yo · M · ch
64766
4228.5
16/1·17.00
SP
73
J: Myla Coppins(7) · T: Tony Carroll · draw 5
6yo · G · chp
536583
4940.9
12/1·13.00
SP
86
J: Harry Vigors(5) · T: Tony Carroll · draw 1
5yo · G · ch
85660
4232.8
33/1·34.00
SP

OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest

Frequently asked questions

Who won the 18:45 Chepstow on 3 July 2026?

Darkened Edge (GB) won the 18:45 Chepstow at SP 2.50. Ridden by Gina Mangan. Trained by Christopher Mason.

Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 18:45 Chepstow?

Yes — the AI top-rated horse, Darkened Edge, won the race (AI score 54.1).

What were the placings in the 18:45 Chepstow?

Top finishers: 1. Darkened Edge (GB) (2.50), 2. Banana (GB) (3.50), 3. River Edge (GB) (9.50).

What was the winning time for the 18:45 Chepstow?

The winning time was 58.66s, 2.06s slower than standard.

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