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Next · 9h 23m19:08Worcester

19:18 Chepstow

DragonBet Welsh Racing Festival 9th-11th October Handicap

1m · Flat · Class 6 · Good To Firm · 7 runners · £4,187 · Friday, 3 July 2026

Result

Race report

AI top pick placed 3rd
  1. 1st
    Violet Goldsmith (GB)
    Callum Hutchinson·Eve Johnson Houghton
    8/1·9.00
    SP
  2. 2nd
    Buckland Belle (GB)
    Jason Watson·Ollie Sangster·beaten 1 length
    5/4F·2.25
    SP
  3. 3rd
    Lady Of Clover (IRE)AI top pick · 46.6
    Oisin Murphy·George Scott·beaten 3.25 lengths
    7/2·4.50
    SP
Race time
1m 33.88s+2.38s vs std

Slightly slow — minor pace variance, nothing to read into.

In-running (Violet Goldsmith (GB))

Tracked the leaders - pushed along well over 2f out and made ground - ridden forward to second 1f out - struck the front 110yds out - kept on

Settled · 1pt level stake = 3.50 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →

Furlong's verdict

Reading the form…

AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.

Pundit corner

Racing Post · third-party
Pundit pick: Buckland Belle

Buckland Belle leads our ratings and is in solid recent form, having won three starts back and placed on both outings since at the same mark she carries today; she handles this trip and going and is the clear standard-bearer here. Lady Of Clover, who won last month, and Alice's Influence, successful this season and placed last time at the same mark, are the main dangers, while Ernie McCrew needs to improve on recent runs. Buckland Belle is our selection.

Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.

Why the model rates this top

Lady Of Clover

Oisin Murphy · George Scott · 3yo

Top-rated of 7
score 46.6 · +6.6 clear of next best (40.1)
Scores compare runners within this race only

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

  • Freshness10% weight
    100very strong
    23d since last run (race-fit window)
  • Form20% weight
    57average
    Last 6: 7-3-6-3-1-4
  • Trainer20% weight
    38below average
    George Scott: 2/13 winners last 14d (15%)
  • Ratings50% weight
    35below average
    OR 53
MarketNo market price available yet.

v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Draw bias — Chepstow 1m

full course data →

No meaningful draw bias at this course and trip.

Low (1–3)
IV 1.06
Mid (4–6)
IV 0.95
High (7–8)
IV 0.98

IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 108 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.

Runners · sorted by finishing position

PosNo.HorseFormORAISP
14
3yo · F · b
78702
5336.4
8/1·9.00
SP
23
J: Jason Watson · T: Ollie Sangster · draw 2
3yo · F · b
855132
5339.3
5/4F·2.25
SP
35
J: Oisin Murphy · T: George Scott · draw 5
3yo · F · b
736314
5346.6
7/2·4.50
SP
46
J: Mason Paetel(5) · T: David Evans · draw 8
3yo · F · bv
412343
5236.8
3/1·4.00
SP
52
3yo · F · chtp
63844
5439.2
14/1·15.00
SP
68
J: Harry Vigors(5) · T: Archie Watson · draw 3
3yo · F · bb
653278
4940.1
50/1·51.00
SP
71
J: Donagh Murphy(7) · T: J S Moore · draw 4
3yo · G · ch
646
5437.7
20/1·21.00
SP
J: NON-RUNNER · T: Brian Meehan · draw 7
3yo · F · b
009
4926.9

OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest

Frequently asked questions

Who won the 19:18 Chepstow on 3 July 2026?

Violet Goldsmith (GB) won the 19:18 Chepstow at SP 9.00. Ridden by Callum Hutchinson. Trained by Eve Johnson Houghton.

Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 19:18 Chepstow?

No — the AI top pick (Lady Of Clover) finished 3.

What were the placings in the 19:18 Chepstow?

Top finishers: 1. Violet Goldsmith (GB) (9.00), 2. Buckland Belle (GB) (2.25), 3. Lady Of Clover (IRE) (4.50).

What was the winning time for the 19:18 Chepstow?

The winning time was 1m 33.88s, 2.38s slower than standard.

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