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RacingAlpha

18:27 Limerick

Ireland

Greenmount Suite @ Limerick Handicap

1m · Flat · Soft · 10 runners · €5,900 · Friday, 19 June 2026

Result

Race report

AI top pick placed 2nd
  1. 1st
    Carvalhal (IRE)
    Nicola Burns·R P Burns
    7/2·4.50
    SP
  2. 2nd
    Starting Monday (IRE)AI top pick · 55.0
    Darragh O'Sullivan·Gillian Scott·beaten 2 lengths
    11/2·6.50
    SP
  3. 3rd
    Saith Seren (GB)
    Ben Coen·Andrew Lee·beaten .5 lengths
    4/1·5.00
    SP
Race time
1m 53.90s+14.00s vs std

Markedly slow — strong soft ground or a deeply tactical race.

Settled · 1pt level stake = 5.50 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →

Furlong's verdict

Reading the form…

AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.

Why the model rates this top

Starting Monday

Darragh O'Sullivan(7) · Gillian Scott · 9yo

Top-rated of 10
score 55.0 · +5.5 clear of next best (49.6)
Scores compare runners within this race only

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

  • Trainer20% weight
    100small sample (n=2)
    Gillian Scott: 1/2 winners last 14d (50%) — too few recent runs to judge the yard
  • Freshness10% weight
    85very strong
    31d since last run (fresh)
  • Form20% weight
    43below average
    Last 6: 0-4-0-1-5
  • Ratings50% weight
    36below average
    OR 54
MarketNo market price available yet.

v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Draw bias — Limerick 1m

full course data →

Strong: low (inside) favoured (IV 1.24).

Low (1–7)
IV 1.24
Mid (8–13)
IV 0.63
High (14–19)
IV 1.09

Today: Bella Colombia (draw 4) and Limbocall (draw 3) get the bias; Starting Monday (draw 12) is in the least-favoured band.

IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 56 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.

Runners · sorted by finishing position

PosNo.HorseFormORAISP
18
J: Nicola Burns(5) · T: R P Burns · draw 19
5yo · G · b
69002
5029.3
7/2·4.50
SP
25
9yo · G · chp
04015
5455.0
11/2·6.50
SP
312
J: Ben Coen · T: Andrew Lee · draw 10
5yo · M · bh
94555
4730.2
4/1·5.00
SP
415
4yo · F · ch
00080
4431.7
66/1·67.00
SP
519
J: Keithen Kennedy(5) · T: Gillian Scott · draw 17
7yo · G · bb
53997
5749.6
10/1·11.00
SP
610
J: Adam Caffrey · T: Adrian McGuinness · draw 1
5yo · M · bp
200500
4733.0
25/1·26.00
SP
72
4yo · G · b
070
5828.8
33/1·34.00
SP
817
J: Declan McDonogh · T: Laura Hourigan · draw 8
9yo · G · bp
083385
5230.7
16/1·17.00
SP
99
J: Luke McAteer · T: Oliver McKiernan · draw 7
4yo · F · bt
78099
5027.9
14/1·15.00
SP
1016
J: Rory Cleary · T: C P Donoghue · draw 6
7yo · G · bt
5044
4027.2
100/30F·4.33
SP
1118
4yo · F · btp
00994
5528.9
14/1·15.00
SP
124
J: Jamie Powell · T: M D O'Callaghan · draw 3
4yo · G · b
4370
5435.2
10/1·11.00
SP
1314
J: Robbie Colgan · T: A J Martin · draw 2
4yo · G · b
000
4519.5
66/1·67.00
SP
J: J M Sheridan · T: Denis Gerard Hogan · draw 9
4yo · G · b
000080
5631.1
5yo · M · b
00000
5225.8
J: James Ryan · T: T G McCourt · draw 13
4yo · G · br
50009
5332.0
J: Declan McDonogh · T: W McCreery · draw 4
5yo · M · b
267135
6041.9
5yo · G · chtp
33546
4632.7
J: Seamie Heffernan · T: J G Coogan · draw 18
4yo · F · grtFT T
976
4727.4

OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest

Frequently asked questions

Who won the 18:27 Limerick on 19 June 2026?

Carvalhal (IRE) won the 18:27 Limerick at SP 4.50. Ridden by Nicola Burns. Trained by R P Burns.

Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 18:27 Limerick?

No — the AI top pick (Starting Monday) finished 2.

What were the placings in the 18:27 Limerick?

Top finishers: 1. Carvalhal (IRE) (4.50), 2. Starting Monday (IRE) (6.50), 3. Saith Seren (GB) (5.00).

What was the winning time for the 18:27 Limerick?

The winning time was 1m 53.90s, 14.00s slower than standard.

Best price shown is the highest decimal price across bookmakers we track. Odds update every few minutes; settle at SP if unavailable. 18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.org