17:40 Down Royal

Ireland

Irish Stallion Farms EBF Fillies Handicap

5f · Flat · Soft · 6 runners · €14,136 · Friday, 19 June 2026

Result

Race report

AI top pick wonat SP 9/4J·3.25

1st
Sarahmae (IRE)AI top pick · 47.6
Chris Hayes·Denis Gerard Hogan
9/4J·3.25
SP
2nd
Shadow Of The Moon (IRE)
Wesley Joyce·John James Feane·beaten 2.25 lengths
9/4J·3.25
SP
3rd
Treasured Royal (IRE)
Rory Mulligan·Gavin Cromwell·beaten 2.5 lengths
7/2·4.50
SP

Race time

1m 3.62s+4.42s vs std

Slow — could be soft ground, easy lead, or tactical race.

Settled · 1pt level stake = 2.25 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →

Furlong's verdict

Reading the form…

AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.

Why the model rates this top

Sarahmae

Chris Hayes · Denis Gerard Hogan · 4yo

Top-rated of 6

score 47.6 · +2.4 clear of next best (45.2)

Scores compare runners within this race only

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

Freshness10% weight
70strong
5d since last run (quick turnaround)
Ratings50% weight
56average
OR 84 — highest combined rating in the field
Form20% weight
38below average
Last 6: 8-0-6-0-1
Trainer20% weight
25weak
Denis Gerard Hogan: 2/20 winners last 14d (10%)

MarketNo market price available yet.

v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Draw bias — Down Royal 5f

full course data →

Sample too small to call at this course and trip.

Low (1–3)

IV 0.58

Mid (4–5)

IV 1.33

High (6–7)

IV 1.13

IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 30 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.

Runners · sorted by finishing position

Pos	No.	Horse	Form	Wt	OR	RPR	TS	AI	SP
1	1	Sarahmae J: Chris Hayes · T: Denis Gerard Hogan · draw 3 4yo · F · b	80601	10-00	84	—	—	47.6	9/4J·3.25 SP
2	3	Shadow Of The Moon J: Wesley Joyce(3) · T: John James Feane · draw 2 4yo · F · gr	02180	9-04	74	—	—	41.3	9/4J·3.25 SP
3	5	Treasured Royal J: Rory Mulligan(5) · T: Gavin Cromwell · draw 5 3yo · F · bh	00345	8-12	74	—	—	41.5	7/2·4.50 SP
4	6	Two And Two J: Conor Cusack(7) · T: Daniel McLoughlin · draw 4 3yo · F · b	8150	8-09	71	—	—	45.2	12/1·13.00 SP
5	2	Daneh Of Dandy J: Donagh O'Connor · T: P Twomey · draw 7 3yo · F · b	15850	9-07	83	—	—	42.3	6/1·7.00 SP
6	4	Mary Shoelaces J: Jessica O'Gorman(7) · T: Eddie & Patrick Harty · draw 1 5yo · M · brb	14910	9-02	72	—	—	40.6	9/1·10.00 SP
—	—	Bel Espoir J: Shay Wallace(7) · T: James M Barcoe · draw 6 4yo · F · b	00900	8-07	63	—	—	28.2	—

OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest

Frequently asked questions

Who won the 17:40 Down Royal on 19 June 2026?

Sarahmae (IRE) won the 17:40 Down Royal at SP 3.25. Ridden by Chris Hayes. Trained by Denis Gerard Hogan.

Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 17:40 Down Royal?

Yes — the AI top-rated horse, Sarahmae, won the race (AI score 47.6).

What were the placings in the 17:40 Down Royal?

Top finishers: 1. Sarahmae (IRE) (3.25), 2. Shadow Of The Moon (IRE) (3.25), 3. Treasured Royal (IRE) (4.50).

What was the winning time for the 17:40 Down Royal?

The winning time was 1m 3.62s, 4.42s slower than standard.

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