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RacingAlpha

19:25 Down Royal

Ireland

BOYLE Sports Median Auction Maiden (IRE Incentive Race)

7f · Flat · Soft · 11 runners · €9,424 · Friday, 19 June 2026

Result

Race report

AI top pick placed 3rd
  1. 1st
    Noble Agenda (IRE)
    Rory Mulligan·Ciaran Murphy
    12/1·13.00
    SP
  2. 2nd
    Kraar (IRE)
    Chris Hayes·Donnacha Aidan O'Brien·beaten .5 lengths
    6/1·7.00
    SP
  3. 3rd
    Joga Bonito (GB)AI top pick · 27.4
    Donagh O'Connor·P Twomey·beaten 0.1 lengths
    EvensF·2.00
    SP
Race time
1m 33.07s+6.97s vs std

Slow — could be soft ground, easy lead, or tactical race.

Settled · 1pt level stake = 1.00 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →

Furlong's verdict

Reading the form…

AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.

Why the model rates this top

Joga Bonito

Donagh O'Connor · P Twomey · 2yo

Top-rated of 11
score 27.4 · +2.9 clear of next best (24.5)
Scores compare runners within this race only

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

  • Freshness10% weight
    100very strong
    22d since last run (race-fit window)
  • Form20% weight
    67strong
    Last 6: 4-2
  • Trainer20% weight
    20weak
    P Twomey: 1/13 winners last 14d (8%)
  • Ratings50% weight
    0weak
    no Racing Post ratings on file
MarketNo market price available yet.

v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Draw bias — Down Royal 7f

full course data →

Sample too small to call at this course and trip.

Low (1–6)
IV 0.82
Mid (7–12)
IV 1.36
High (13–17)
IV 0.87

IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 37 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.

Runners · sorted by finishing position

PosNo.HorseFormORAISP
18
J: Rory Mulligan(5) · T: Ciaran Murphy · draw 10
2yo · C · b
21.5
12/1·13.00
SP
27
2yo · C · b
7
17.0
6/1·7.00
SP
36
J: Donagh O'Connor · T: P Twomey · draw 8
2yo · C · gr
42
27.4
EvensF·2.00
SP
417
2yo · G · b
0
7.0
80/1·81.00
SP
512
J: Wesley Joyce(3) · T: Jack W Davison · draw 5
2yo · C · ch
04
13.0
4/1·5.00
SP
63
2yo · C · b
24.5
5/1·6.00
SP
710
J: Jack Kearney(3) · T: Patrick Magee · draw 15
2yo · F · b
8
12.0
28/1·29.00
SP
89
J: Jimmy Dalton(7) · T: Andrew Slattery · draw 7
2yo · C · b
20.0
28/1·29.00
SP
914
J: Sean Davis · T: Jarlath P Fahey · draw 17
2yo · F · ch
15.0
33/1·34.00
SP
1011
J: Gary Halpin · T: Daniel McLoughlin · draw 3
2yo · G · b
20.5
40/1·41.00
SP
115
2yo · C · b
80
13.2
150/1·151.00
SP
1216
J: Leigh Roche · T: Andrew Slattery · draw 6
2yo · F · b
6
16.0
33/1·34.00
SP
1313
2yo · F · bpFT P
07
10.5
80/1·81.00
SP
2yo · C · b
15.0
2yo · C · b
21.5
J: · T: J P Murtagh · draw 11
2yo · F · b
7
17.0
J: Leigh Roche · T: William Durkan · draw 16
2yo · C · b
8
10.5

OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest

Frequently asked questions

Who won the 19:25 Down Royal on 19 June 2026?

Noble Agenda (IRE) won the 19:25 Down Royal at SP 13.00. Ridden by Rory Mulligan. Trained by Ciaran Murphy.

Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 19:25 Down Royal?

No — the AI top pick (Joga Bonito) finished 3.

What were the placings in the 19:25 Down Royal?

Top finishers: 1. Noble Agenda (IRE) (13.00), 2. Kraar (IRE) (7.00), 3. Joga Bonito (GB) (2.00).

What was the winning time for the 19:25 Down Royal?

The winning time was 1m 33.07s, 6.97s slower than standard.

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