15:16 Down Royal

Ireland

Mongey Communications Handicap

1m2½f · Flat · Soft · 10 runners · €5,900 · Saturday, 20 June 2026

Result

Race report

AI top pick was a non-runner

1st
Albatala (IRE)
Gary Carroll·John C McConnell
11/2·6.50
SP
2nd
Cleopatra's Needle (IRE)
Chris Hayes·H Rogers·beaten 12 lengths
4/1·5.00
SP
3rd
Simpson's Paradox (IRE)
Keithen Kennedy·John Andrew Kinsella·beaten 2.25 lengths
14/1·15.00
SP

Race time

2m 21.39s+8.99s vs std

Slow — could be soft ground, easy lead, or tactical race.

Settled · 1pt level stake = 5.50 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →

Furlong's verdict

Reading the form…

AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.

Why the model rates this top

Marians Gal

J M Sheridan · Kevin Michael Smith · 6yo

Top-rated of 10

score 52.0 · +3.9 clear of next best (48.1)

Scores compare runners within this race only

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

Trainer20% weight
100small sample (n=4)
Kevin Michael Smith: 2/4 winners last 14d (50%) — too few recent runs to judge the yard
Freshness10% weight
85very strong
36d since last run (fresh)
Form20% weight
46below average
Last 6: 5-4-3-2-7
Ratings50% weight
29weak
OR 43

MarketNo market price available yet.

v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Draw bias — Down Royal 1m2½f

full course data →

Sample too small to call at this course and trip.

Low (1–6)

IV 0.52

Mid (7–12)

IV 0.98

High (13–17)

IV 1.52

IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 27 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.

Runners · sorted by finishing position

Pos	No.	Horse	Form	Wt	OR	RPR	TS	AI	SP
1	6	Albatala J: Gary Carroll · T: John C McConnell · draw 14 7yo · M · bt	2694	9-01	45	—	—	33.3	11/2·6.50 SP
2	3	Cleopatra's Needle J: Chris Hayes · T: H Rogers · draw 4 8yo · M · chh	65202	9-06	50	—	—	42.5	4/1·5.00 SP
3	5	Simpson's Paradox J: Keithen Kennedy(5) · T: John Andrew Kinsella · draw 11 6yo · G · btb	6708	9-02	46	—	—	24.1	14/1·15.00 SP
4	4	Folk Warrior J: Declan McDonogh · T: J A Nash · draw 6 4yo · G · ch	0005	9-03	47	—	—	38.1	9/1·10.00 SP
5	9	Maker's Mark J: Sadhbh Tormey(7) · T: T G McCourt · draw 3 3yo · F · b	99900	8-13	55	—	—	32.8	66/1·67.00 SP
6	13	Swift Charm J: Gavin Ryan · T: W R Crawford · draw 7 3yo · F · cht	70033	8-09	51	—	—	34.4	7/2·4.50 SP
7	7	Copper Craft J: W J Lee · T: A Oliver · draw 9 4yo · G · chbFT B	34320	9-01	45	—	—	40.1	8/1·9.00 SP
8	16	Talking Tough J: Shay Wallace(7) · T: S M Duffy · draw 15 9yo · G · bv	00060	8-10	40	—	—	41.4	50/1·51.00 SP
9	11	Coul Dore J: Leigh Roche · T: W R Crawford · draw 5 3yo · G · bh	00002	8-11	53	—	—	32.9	100/30F·4.33 SP
10	2	Slaney Swagger J: Rory Cleary · T: Aidan Melia · draw 1 5yo · G · brp	62380	9-11	55	—	—	48.1	9/1·10.00 SP
11	14	Thistle Cross J: Nathan Crosse · T: M M Rice · draw 16 3yo · G · bhFT H	0000	8-07	49	—	—	26.3	50/1·51.00 SP
12	17	Kilgharrahs Love J: Jamie Powell · T: Thomas Cleary · draw 10 4yo · F · chtp	00706	8-10	40	—	—	25.3	28/1·29.00 SP
—	—	Stonyfalls J: Jamie Powell · T: Paul Traynor · draw 8 3yo · F · b	80969	8-09	51	—	—	25.8	—
—	—	Hosanna Power J: Jack Cleary(5) · T: D Broad · draw 17 6yo · G · chp	000079	9-01	45	—	—	26.1	—
—	—	Rising Sky J: Sam Coen(5) · T: Anthony McCann · draw 2 4yo · F · btb	77180	10-02	60	—	—	35.1	—
—	—	Onyeisi J: Robbie Colgan · T: Karl Thornton · draw 12 3yo · G · bb	227074	9-00	56	—	—	34.6	—
—	—	Marians Gal J: J M Sheridan · T: Kevin Michael Smith · draw 13 6yo · M · bp	54327	8-13	43	—	—	52.0	—

OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest

Frequently asked questions

Who won the 15:16 Down Royal on 20 June 2026?

Albatala (IRE) won the 15:16 Down Royal at SP 6.50. Ridden by Gary Carroll. Trained by John C McConnell.

Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 15:16 Down Royal?

No — the AI top pick (Marians Gal) was a non-runner or unplaced.

What were the placings in the 15:16 Down Royal?

Top finishers: 1. Albatala (IRE) (6.50), 2. Cleopatra's Needle (IRE) (5.00), 3. Simpson's Paradox (IRE) (15.00).

What was the winning time for the 15:16 Down Royal?

The winning time was 2m 21.39s, 8.99s slower than standard.

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