Who won the 15:53 Down Royal on 20 June 2026?
Chica Guerrera (IRE) won the 15:53 Down Royal at SP 5.00. Ridden by Ronan Whelan. Trained by Mark Fahey.
← All racecards15:53
Down Royal
IrelandBOYLE Sports Irish EBF Ulster Oaks Fillies Handicap
Saturday, 20 June 2026
1m2½f·Flat·Soft·9 runners·€19,143
Result
AI top pick was a non-runnerRace report
- 1stChica Guerrera (IRE)Ronan Whelan·Mark Fahey4/1·5.00SP
- 2ndApercu (IRE)W J Lee·A Oliver·beaten 6.5 lengths9/1·10.00SP
- 3rdLady Lilac (IRE)Sam Coen·Joseph G Murphy·beaten 1.75 lengths12/1·13.00SP
Race time
2m 19.16s+6.76s vs std
Slow — could be soft ground, easy lead, or tactical race.
Settled · 1pt level stake = 4.00 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →
Furlong's verdict
Reading the form…
AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.
Selections by model
Head-to-head dashboard →v1.061.8/100 rating
Liberation Date
26.00Bet365· informational only
Top-rated, but filter rejects this race
v1.1
No pick
Race outside the segment-edge filter
Each-way58.4/100 rating
Thrifty Of Digby
6.50Bet365
Place portion settles at 2.10 · 1/5 odds · 4 places
Top-half AI rating in the EW price sweet spot. Each-way splits stake: half on the win, half on the place portion.
Racing Alpha pick
Liberation Date
Orla Tynan(7) · Jack Foley · 3yo
61.8/100
+0.7 vs next best (61.1)
The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.
- Freshness10% weight100very strong27d since last run (race-fit window)
- Trainer20% weight83very strongJack Foley: 1/3 winners last 14d (33%)
- Ratings50% weight55averageOR 83
- Form20% weight38below averageLast 6: 5-3-1-9-6
MarketBest price 26.00 (Bet365) — 12th pick of 12 in market. AI is contrarian here.
v1.3 rating · weights and method explained on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.
Runners
| Pos | # | Dr | Horse | Jockey / Trainer | Form | Wt | OR | RPR | TS | AI | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 1 | 5 | 6yo · M · b | 50314 | 10-00 | 92 | — | — | 53.3 | 5/2·3.50 SP | |
| 2 | 2 | 4 | 6yo · M · bb | 75480 | 9-12 | 90 | — | — | 49.8 | 9/1·10.00 SP | |
| 3 | 3 | 11 | 4yo · F · b | 63557 | 9-10 | 88 | — | — | 45.0 | 12/1·13.00 SP | |
| 4 | 4 | 2 | 7yo · M · bp | 14536 | 9-04 | 82 | — | — | 54.1 | 16/1·17.00 SP | |
| 6 | 5 | 9 | 6yo · M · bt | 313472 | 9-03 | 81 | — | — | 48.1 | 12/1·13.00 SP | |
| PU | 7 | 1 | 5yo · M · chp | 30811 | 9-02 | 80 | — | — | 58.4 | 16/1·17.00 SP | |
| 1 | 8 | 10 | 4yo · F · b | 30243 | 9-01 | 79 | — | — | 51.7 | 4/1·5.00 SP | |
| 5 | 9 | 7 | 3yo · F · bt | 0321 | 9-00 | 90 | — | — | 61.1 | 9/4F·3.25 SP | |
| 7 | 10 | 6 | 4yo · F · b | 045 | 8-09 | 73 | — | — | 46.8 | 33/1·34.00 SP | |
| — | — | 12 | 4yo · F · bp | 31318 | 9-03 | 81 | — | — | 57.4 | — | |
| — | — | 8 | 3yo · F · b | 53196 | 8-07 | 83 | — | — | 61.8 | — | |
| — | — | 3 | 3yo · F · ch | 3159 | 8-09 | 85 | — | — | 52.8 | — |
Frequently asked questions
Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 15:53 Down Royal?
No — the AI top pick (Liberation Date) was a non-runner or unplaced.
What were the placings in the 15:53 Down Royal?
Top finishers: 1. Chica Guerrera (IRE) (5.00), 2. Apercu (IRE) (10.00), 3. Lady Lilac (IRE) (13.00).
What was the winning time for the 15:53 Down Royal?
The winning time was 2m 19.16s, 6.76s slower than standard.
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