Who won the 14:45 Curragh on 27 June 2026?
Meriden (GB) won the 14:45 Curragh at SP 4.50. Ridden by Chris Hayes. Trained by Denis Gerard Hogan.
Neville Homes Summer Fillies Handicap (Premier Handicap)
7f · Flat · Good To Firm · 11 runners · €58,900 · Saturday, 27 June 2026
Result
AI top pick finished 10thRace report
- 1stMeriden (GB)Chris Hayes·Denis Gerard Hogan7/2J·4.50SP
- 2ndMallavelly (IRE)Gary Carroll·G M Lyons·beaten 3 lengths12/1·13.00SP
- 3rdAviatrice (IRE)Luke McAteer·David Marnane·beaten 0.3 lengths7/2J·4.50SP
Race time
1m 25.18s+2.08s vs std
Slightly slow — minor pace variance, nothing to read into.
In-running (Meriden (GB))
“Tracked leaders, 5th at halfway - moved up to challenge 2f out - hit the front 1f out - drifted left - drew clear towards the finish”
AI top-rated Rion Rubette (score 62.7) finished 10th.
Settled · 1pt level stake = 9.00 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →
Furlong's verdict
Reading the form…
AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.
Pundit corner
Racing Post · third-partyPundit pick: Meriden
Meriden has won three of her last six outings in a sustained winning surge, and while the handicapper has raised her sharply, she is related to a Listed performer and may not be finished improving; today's ground and trip suit. Aviatrice has a clear excuse for her Cork run and is well-treated on her all-weather form, feared alongside Mallavelly, who has sound credentials on a better surface and had excuses on both starts this season. Nancy J's step back up to her preferred distance is the key angle for her. Meriden is our selection.
Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.
Why the model rates this top
Rion Rubette
Paddy Harnett(5) · Michael Butler · 4yo
Top-rated of 11
score 62.7 · +0.0 clear of next best (62.7)
Scores compare runners within this race only
The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.
- Freshness10% weight100very strong15d since last run (race-fit window)
- Form20% weight67strongLast 6: 4-7-8-1-1
- Ratings50% weight59averageOR 88
- Trainer20% weight50no sampleMichael Butler — no runners last 14 days — too few recent runs to judge the yard
MarketNo market price available yet.
v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.
Draw bias — Curragh 7f
full course data →No meaningful draw bias at this course and trip.
Low (1–4)
IV 0.96
Mid (5–8)
IV 0.99
High (9–12)
IV 1.04
IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 211 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.
Runners · sorted by finishing position
| Pos | No. | Horse | Form | OR | AI | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 11 | J: Chris Hayes · T: Denis Gerard Hogan · draw 4 3yo · F · b | 606111 | 86 | 62.7 | 7/2J·4.50 SP |
| 2 | 9 | J: Gary Carroll · T: G M Lyons · draw 11 5yo · M · bt | 16307 | 83 | 46.4 | 12/1·13.00 SP |
| 3 | 3 | J: Luke McAteer · T: David Marnane · draw 6 4yo · F · b | 21130 | 88 | 52.2 | 7/2J·4.50 SP |
| 4 | 7 | J: Ben Coen · T: J P Murtagh · draw 10 4yo · F · b | 55830 | 85 | 50.1 | 14/1·15.00 SP |
| 5 | 10 | J: Wayne Lordan · T: M C Grassick · draw 5 4yo · F · chb | 02179 | 77 | 51.5 | 7/1·8.00 SP |
| 6 | 2 | 4yo · F · b | 60180 | 90 | 45.3 | 11/1·12.00 SP |
| 7 | 8 | J: Andrew Slattery · T: Andrew Slattery · draw 1 4yo · F · ch | 54117 | 84 | 52.4 | 12/1·13.00 SP |
| 8 | 5 | J: Shane Foley · T: Mrs John Harrington · draw 8 4yo · F · chp | 13170 | 86 | 52.9 | 28/1·29.00 SP |
| 9 | 6 | J: Dylan Browne McMonagle · T: Joseph Patrick O'Brien · draw 12 4yo · F · gr | 32262 | 85 | 59.6 | 9/2·5.50 SP |
| 10 | 4 | J: Paddy Harnett(5) · T: Michael Butler · draw 2 4yo · F · b | 47811 | 88 | 62.7 | 9/1·10.00 SP |
| 11 | 12 | J: Rory Cleary · T: Ms Claire O'Connell · draw 7 3yo · F · b | P3645 | 85 | 45.1 | 40/1·41.00 SP |
| — | — | J: Colin Keane · T: D K Weld · draw 3 4yo · F · bpFT P | 1377 | 97 | 55.3 | — |
OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest
Frequently asked questions
Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 14:45 Curragh?
No — the AI top pick (Rion Rubette) finished 10.
What were the placings in the 14:45 Curragh?
Top finishers: 1. Meriden (GB) (4.50), 2. Mallavelly (IRE) (13.00), 3. Aviatrice (IRE) (4.50).
What was the winning time for the 14:45 Curragh?
The winning time was 1m 25.18s, 2.08s slower than standard.
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