18+ • Bet Responsibly • Racing Alpha does not accept betsBeGambleAware.org
RacingAlpha

13:40 Curragh

IrelandFeature

Dubai Duty Free Rockingham Handicap (Premier Handicap)

5f · Flat · Good · 16 runners · €58,900 · Sunday, 28 June 2026

Result

Race report

AI top pick finished 6th
  1. 1st
    Genesis (IRE)
    Wesley Joyce·Michael Mulvany
    25/1·26.00
    SP
  2. 2nd
    Sarahmae (IRE)
    J M Sheridan·Denis Gerard Hogan·beaten 0.3 lengths
    16/1·17.00
    SP
  3. 3rd
    Dark Ace (IRE)
    Adam Caffrey·Adrian McGuinness·beaten .5 lengths
    9/2·5.50
    SP
Race time
57.94s+1.04s vs std

Slightly slow — minor pace variance, nothing to read into.

In-running (Genesis (IRE))

Chased leader in 2nd up the centre - went to the front 2f out - ridden and clear 1f out - veered right inside final furlong - held on as advantage narrowed

AI top-rated Toca Madera (score 61.2) finished 6th.
Settled · 1pt level stake = 3.33 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →

Furlong's verdict

Reading the form…

AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.

Pundit corner

Racing Post · third-party
Pundit pick: Toca Madera

Toca Madera landed a 5f handicap in emphatic style last time, producing a sharp turn of foot from the front to win by 3½ lengths off a mark 11lb lower; despite the rise in class and weights, he rates well clear on our figures and the conditions suit. Likedbymike arrives off career-best form in Listed company and is the chief concern, with Erosandpsyche — who shaped well in that same sphere — another danger alongside Kerdos, a former Group performer capable of a bounce-back on any ground. Toca Madera is our selection.

Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.

Why the model rates this top

Toca Madera

Daniel Tudhope · David O'Meara · 5yo

Top-rated of 16
score 61.2 · +1.2 clear of next best (60.0)
Scores compare runners within this race only

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

  • Freshness10% weight
    100very strong
    22d since last run (race-fit window)
  • Ratings50% weight
    65average
    OR 97 — highest combined rating in the field
  • Form20% weight
    52average
    Last 6: 9-7-0-3-1
  • Trainer20% weight
    43below average
    David O'Meara: 10/59 winners last 14d (17%)
MarketNo market price available yet.

v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Draw bias — Curragh 5f

full course data →

Moderate: high (outside) favoured (IV 1.12).

Low (1–6)
IV 1.03
Mid (7–12)
IV 0.84
High (13–17)
IV 1.12

Today: Dark Ace (draw 13) and Kerdos (draw 17) get the bias; Toca Madera (draw 8) is in the least-favoured band.

IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 182 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.

Runners · sorted by finishing position

PosNo.HorseFormORAISP
116
J: Wesley Joyce(3) · T: Michael Mulvany · draw 10
5yo · G · chtpFT TP
01403
7643.8
25/1·26.00
SP
28
J: J M Sheridan · T: Denis Gerard Hogan · draw 11
4yo · F · b
806011
9160.0
16/1·17.00
SP
39
J: Adam Caffrey · T: Adrian McGuinness · draw 13
4yo · G · b
43113
8957.2
9/2·5.50
SP
413
J: Luke McAteer · T: Patrick J McKenna · draw 14
6yo · G · grp
205179
7842.5
33/1·34.00
SP
512
J: Leigh Roche · T: Padraig Roche · draw 7
5yo · M · bpFT P
30964
7939.9
15/2·8.50
SP
62
J: Daniel Tudhope · T: David O'Meara · draw 8
5yo · G · b
97031
9761.2
100/30F·4.33
SP
711
5yo · G · btp
54509
8439.7
9/1·10.00
SP
84
8yo · G · bv
90033
9549.0
20/1·21.00
SP
93
J: Colin Keane · T: M J Byrne · draw 4
4yo · F · b
62242
9655.1
11/2·6.50
SP
1017
J: Shay Wallace(7) · T: Martin Hassett · draw 16
8yo · G · bt
96706
7637.9
40/1·41.00
SP
117
J: Jack Kearney(3) · T: Stephen Thorne · draw 17
6yo · G · bp
29686
9257.0
12/1·13.00
SP
1210
4yo · G · ch
17214
8949.4
8/1·9.00
SP
1315
J: Jamie Powell · T: John James Feane · draw 5
4yo · F · gr
21802
7641.6
25/1·26.00
SP
145
J: W J Lee · T: W McCreery · draw 6
8yo · G · b
53215
9453.8
14/1·15.00
SP
156
4yo · F · b/brt
54207
9246.4
28/1·29.00
SP
1614
J: Rory Cleary · T: Tracey Collins · draw 1
5yo · G · ch
13156
7744.0
33/1·34.00
SP
J: Wayne Lordan · T: M C Grassick · draw 15
4yo · F · bp
07022
9752.1

OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest

Frequently asked questions

Who won the 13:40 Curragh on 28 June 2026?

Genesis (IRE) won the 13:40 Curragh at SP 26.00. Ridden by Wesley Joyce. Trained by Michael Mulvany.

Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 13:40 Curragh?

No — the AI top pick (Toca Madera) finished 6.

What were the placings in the 13:40 Curragh?

Top finishers: 1. Genesis (IRE) (26.00), 2. Sarahmae (IRE) (17.00), 3. Dark Ace (IRE) (5.50).

What was the winning time for the 13:40 Curragh?

The winning time was 57.94s, 1.04s slower than standard.

Best price shown is the highest decimal price across bookmakers we track. Odds update every few minutes; settle at SP if unavailable. 18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.org