Who won the 14:30 Ayr on 13 July 2026?
Curious Rover (IRE) won the 14:30 Ayr at SP 4.00. Ridden by Jason Hart. Trained by Katie Scott.
14:30 Ayr
25% Off Lunch At Western House Hotel Handicap
5f · Flat · Class 5 · Good To Firm · 11 runners · £4,187 · Monday, 13 July 2026
Result
AI top pick finished 9thRace report
- 1stCurious Rover (IRE)Jason Hart·Katie Scott3/1·4.00SP
- 2ndWoohoo (IRE)Paul Mulrennan·Jim Goldie·beaten 1.25 lengths2/1F·3.00SP
- 3rdHi Lord (GB)Barry McHugh·Gary Harrison·beaten .75 lengths12/1·13.00SP
Race time
56.60s
Race time recorded.
In-running (Curious Rover (IRE))
“led throughout - driven 1f out - battled on to the line”
AI top-rated Our Absent Friends (score 47.9) finished 9th.
Settled · 1pt level stake = 12.00 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →
Furlong's verdict
Reading the form…
AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.
Other selections
Head-to-head dashboard →Each-way46.8/100 rating
King's Crown
12.50Betfair Exchange
Top-half AI rating in the EW price sweet spot. Each-way splits stake: half on the win, half on the place portion.
Pundit corner
Racing Post · third-partyPundit pick: King's Crown
King's Crown gets the vote not as the highest-rated in the field but on a progressive profile and a clear fitness edge over more exposed rivals, with recent figures trending the right way. Curious Rover sits on top of our figures and is the most obvious danger on bare form, while Lion's House and Brazen Idol both have the scope to feature if translating useful recent efforts into a bigger performance. It's a tightly-matched sprint and confidence here is low, but that upward trajectory and readiness make King's Crown our selection.
Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.
Why the model rates this top
Our Absent Friends
Shane Gray · Tristan Davidson · 8yo
Top-rated of 11
score 47.9 · +1.1 clear of next best (46.8)
Scores compare runners within this race only
The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.
- Freshness10% weight70strong8d since last run (quick turnaround)
- Trainer20% weight68strongTristan Davidson: 3/11 winners last 14d (27%)
- Ratings50% weight42below averageOR 63
- Form20% weight32weakLast 6: 4-2-0-6-3-7
MarketBest price 18.50 (Betfair Exchange) · 7th in the market of 11.
v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.
Draw bias — Ayr 5f
full course data →Moderate: low (inside) favoured (IV 1.24).
Low (1–4)
IV 1.24
Mid (5–8)
IV 0.98
High (9–11)
IV 0.75
Today: Wee Mary (draw 3) and Jm Jhingree (draw 2) get the bias; King's Crown (draw 10) is in the least-favoured band.
IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 122 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.
Runners · sorted by finishing position
| Pos | No. | Horse | Form | OR | AI | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | J: Jason Hart · T: Katie Scott · draw 4 5yo · G · b | 74447 | 71 | 38.8 | 3/1·4.00 SP |
| 2 | 4 | J: Paul Mulrennan · T: Jim Goldie · draw 5 5yo · M · b | 149272 | 70 | 46.5 | 2/1F·3.00 SP |
| 3 | 7 | J: Barry McHugh · T: Gary Harrison · draw 9 4yo · G · b | 05137 | 66 | 39.5 | 12/1·13.00 SP |
| 4 | 5 | J: Connor Beasley · T: Linda Perratt · draw 11 5yo · G · b | 502040 | 67 | 37.0 | 11/1·12.00 SP |
| 5 | 3 | J: Sean D Bowen · T: John Ryan · draw 1 7yo · G · b | 27728 | 71 | 37.5 | 10/1·11.00 SP |
| 6 | 10 | J: David Allan · T: R Mike Smith · draw 8 3yo · F · chh | 44489 | 62 | 40.2 | 33/1·34.00 SP |
| 7 | 11 | J: Lauren Young(5) · T: Jim Goldie · draw 3 4yo · F · bh | 421624 | 55 | 42.7 | 15/2·8.50 SP |
| 8 | 6 | J: William Pyle · T: Ewan Whillans · draw 2 4yo · G · bp | 508671 | 66 | 39.8 | 20/1·21.00 SP |
| 9 | 9 | J: Shane Gray · T: Tristan Davidson · draw 6 8yo · G · ch | 420637 | 63 | 47.9 | 12/1·13.00 SP |
| 10 | 1 | J: Sean Kirrane · T: Michael Dods · draw 10 6yo · G · btp | 566534 | 72 | 46.8 | 9/1·10.00 SP |
| 11 | 8 | J: Rhys Elliott(5) · T: Jim Goldie · draw 7 4yo · G · b | 7918 | 66 | 40.3 | 40/1·41.00 SP |
OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest
Frequently asked questions
Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 14:30 Ayr?
No — the AI top pick (Our Absent Friends) finished 9.
What were the placings in the 14:30 Ayr?
Top finishers: 1. Curious Rover (IRE) (4.00), 2. Woohoo (IRE) (3.00), 3. Hi Lord (GB) (13.00).
What was the winning time for the 14:30 Ayr?
The winning time was 56.60s.
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