15:30 Ayr

racingtv.com/freetrial Handicap

1m · Flat · Class 6 · Good To Firm · 9 runners · £3,664 · Monday, 13 July 2026

Result

Race report

AI top pick wonat SP 2/1F·3.00

1st
Runninsonofagun (IRE)AI top pick · 50.9
Jason Hart·Tristan Davidson
2/1F·3.00
SP
2nd
Starliner (IRE)
Connor Beasley·Linda Perratt·beaten 2 lengths
9/2·5.50
SP
3rd
Golden Valour (GB)
Duran Fentiman·R Mike Smith·beaten 0.1 lengths
25/1·26.00
SP

Race time

1m 37.33s

Race time recorded.

In-running (Runninsonofagun (IRE))

“led throughout - driven over 1f out - battled on to the line”

Settled · 1pt level stake = 2.00 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →

Furlong's verdict

Reading the form…

AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.

Other selections

Head-to-head dashboard →

Each-way44.9/100 rating

Braes Of Doune

9.80Betfair Exchange

Top-half AI rating in the EW price sweet spot. Each-way splits stake: half on the win, half on the place portion.

Pundit corner

Racing Post · third-party

Pundit pick: Eagles Dream

Eagles Dream heads these on our figures and boasts the smartest form figure in the race, giving her claims to be the one to beat in what looks a moderate renewal. Gressington, Runninsonofagun and Whiskey Pete all have the ability to trouble her on their day, with none of the field boasting a strong recent scoreline. Confidence is low given how tightly this field is packed on ability, but Eagles Dream's overall figures edge it and she is our selection.

Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.

Why the model rates this top

Runninsonofagun

Jason Hart · Tristan Davidson · 4yo

Top-rated of 9

score 50.9 · +3.3 clear of next best (47.6)

Scores compare runners within this race only

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

Freshness10% weight
100very strong
28d since last run (race-fit window)
Trainer20% weight
73strong
Tristan Davidson: 4/14 winners last 14d (29%)
Ratings50% weight
40below average
OR 60
Form20% weight
32weak
Last 6: 3-0-8-3-5

MarketBest price 3.50 (Coral) · market favourite.

v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Draw bias — Ayr 1m

full course data →

No meaningful draw bias at this course and trip.

Low (1–3)

IV 1.06

Mid (4–6)

IV 0.92

High (7–9)

IV 1.01

IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 140 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.

Runners · sorted by finishing position

Pos	No.	Horse	Form	Wt	OR	RPR	TS	AI	SP
1	4	Runninsonofagun J: Jason Hart · T: Tristan Davidson · draw 5 4yo · G · bbFT B	30835	9-04	60	—	—	50.9	2/1F·3.00 SP
2	3	Starliner J: Connor Beasley · T: Linda Perratt · draw 9 5yo · G · brp	419388	9-07	63	—	—	33.8	9/2·5.50 SP
3	9	Golden Valour J: Duran Fentiman · T: R Mike Smith · draw 4 10yo · G · bp	65785	8-06	48	—	—	32.2	25/1·26.00 SP
4	1	Gressington J: Rhys Elliott(5) · T: Katie Scott · draw 7 5yo · G · grv	060807	9-09	65	—	—	33.3	10/1·11.00 SP
5	5	Thats My Boy Luke J: David Allan · T: Tim Easterby · draw 2 5yo · G · chb	84704	9-02	58	—	—	40.3	4/1·5.00 SP
6	7	Braes Of Doune J: Paul Mulrennan · T: Jim Goldie · draw 8 8yo · G · bp	4256	9-01	57	—	—	44.9	7/1·8.00 SP
7	8	Millbuie J: William Pyle · T: Ewan Whillans · draw 3 5yo · G · bt	486303	8-06	48	—	—	36.4	6/1·7.00 SP
8	2	Eagles Dream J: Shane Gray · T: Tristan Davidson · draw 6 4yo · F · b	34058	9-08	64	—	—	47.6	28/1·29.00 SP
9	6	Whiskey Pete J: Alex Jary(3) · T: Nigel Tinkler · draw 1 5yo · G · chpFT P	56000	9-02	58	—	—	28.8	28/1·29.00 SP

OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest

Frequently asked questions

Who won the 15:30 Ayr on 13 July 2026?

Runninsonofagun (IRE) won the 15:30 Ayr at SP 3.00. Ridden by Jason Hart. Trained by Tristan Davidson.

Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 15:30 Ayr?

Yes — the AI top-rated horse, Runninsonofagun, won the race (AI score 50.9).

What were the placings in the 15:30 Ayr?

Top finishers: 1. Runninsonofagun (IRE) (3.00), 2. Starliner (IRE) (5.50), 3. Golden Valour (GB) (26.00).

What was the winning time for the 15:30 Ayr?

The winning time was 1m 37.33s.

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