Who won the 16:00 Ayr on 13 July 2026?
Imperial Guard (IRE) won the 16:00 Ayr at SP 9.00. Ridden by Connor Beasley. Trained by Michael Dods.
16:00 Ayr
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7f · Flat · Class 6 · Good To Firm · 9 runners · £3,664 · Monday, 13 July 2026
Result
AI top pick finished 4thRace report
- 1stImperial Guard (IRE)Connor Beasley·Michael Dods8/1·9.00SP
- 2ndRamon Di Loria (IRE)Greg Fairley·Ewan Whillans·beaten 2.25 lengths10/1·11.00SP
- 3rdTap Dancer (GB)Paul Mulrennan·Jim Goldie·beaten 1.25 lengths13/2·7.50SP
Race time
1m 27.46s
Race time recorded.
In-running (Imperial Guard (IRE))
“settled in the pack - made headway 2f out - driven to the front final furlong and stayed on strongly”
AI top-rated Jkr Cobbler (score 50.6) finished 4th.
Settled · 1pt level stake = 1.50 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →
Furlong's verdict
Reading the form…
AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.
Other selections
Head-to-head dashboard →Each-way42.6/100 rating
War Memorial
9.00Betfair Exchange
Top-half AI rating in the EW price sweet spot. Each-way splits stake: half on the win, half on the place portion.
Pundit corner
Racing Post · third-partyPundit pick: Imperial Guard
Imperial Guard boasts the standout figure in this field and rates the one to beat, even though his bare form figures look modest on paper — the underlying level marks him out clearly above these rivals. Tap Dancer and Ramon Di Loria both have claims on a faster level than their recent finishes suggest, while Jkr Cobbler arrives with a recent win and could improve again. Imperial Guard's overall superiority makes him our selection with real confidence, with only his moderate official rating as a mild reservation.
Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.
Why the model rates this top
Jkr Cobbler
Jack Nicholls(5) · Iain Jardine · 7yo
Top-rated of 9
score 50.6 · +7.9 clear of next best (42.6)
Scores compare runners within this race only
The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.
- Trainer20% weight70strongIain Jardine: 9/32 winners last 14d (28%)
- Freshness10% weight70strong8d since last run (quick turnaround)
- Form20% weight58averageLast 6: 4-5-7-3-4-1
- Ratings50% weight36below averageOR 54
MarketBest price 2.88 (Ladbrokes) · market favourite.
v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.
Draw bias — Ayr 7f
full course data →No meaningful draw bias at this course and trip.
Low (1–3)
IV 1.06
Mid (4–6)
IV 0.92
High (7–9)
IV 1.01
IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 140 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.
Runners · sorted by finishing position
| Pos | No. | Horse | Form | OR | AI | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | J: Connor Beasley · T: Michael Dods · draw 8 5yo · G · b | 96885 | 60 | 32.5 | 8/1·9.00 SP |
| 2 | 4 | J: Greg Fairley · T: Ewan Whillans · draw 1 8yo · G · ch | 563633 | 56 | 41.6 | 10/1·11.00 SP |
| 3 | 5 | J: Paul Mulrennan · T: Jim Goldie · draw 5 4yo · F · b | 87467 | 56 | 36.6 | 13/2·7.50 SP |
| 4 | 2 | J: Jack Nicholls(5) · T: Iain Jardine · draw 2 7yo · G · b | 457341 | 54 | 50.6 | 6/4F·2.50 SP |
| 5 | 6 | J: Jake Dickson(7) · T: Gary Rutherford · draw 3 5yo · M · b | 356335 | 53 | 33.2 | 13/2·7.50 SP |
| 6 | 7 | J: Andrew Mullen · T: Linda Perratt · draw 6 8yo · G · b | 50324 | 50 | 33.6 | 12/1·13.00 SP |
| 7 | 9 | J: Sean Kirrane · T: Alan Brown · draw 7 4yo · G · b | 80079 | 48 | 27.3 | 33/1·34.00 SP |
| 8 | 8 | J: Jason Hart · T: Gary Rutherford · draw 9 4yo · F · b | 87504 | 50 | 31.4 | 14/1·15.00 SP |
| 9 | 3 | J: Conor Whiteley(5) · T: Lawrence Mullaney · draw 4 5yo · G · b | 721731 | 57 | 42.6 | 7/1·8.00 SP |
OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest
Frequently asked questions
Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 16:00 Ayr?
No — the AI top pick (Jkr Cobbler) finished 4.
What were the placings in the 16:00 Ayr?
Top finishers: 1. Imperial Guard (IRE) (9.00), 2. Ramon Di Loria (IRE) (11.00), 3. Tap Dancer (GB) (7.50).
What was the winning time for the 16:00 Ayr?
The winning time was 1m 27.46s.
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