Who won the 16:33 Curragh on 26 June 2026?
Abraham Lincoln (GB) won the 16:33 Curragh at SP 2.38. Ridden by Ryan Moore. Trained by A P O'Brien.
16:33 Curragh
IrelandKeadeen Hotel Irish European Breeders Fund Maiden
6f · Flat · Good · 12 runners · €14,725 · Friday, 26 June 2026
Result
AI top pick finished 10thRace report
- 1stAbraham Lincoln (GB)Ryan Moore·A P O'Brien11/8F·2.38SP
- 2ndHaffner (USA)Wayne Lordan·A P O'Brien·beaten 1.75 lengths18/1·19.00SP
- 3rdJewel In A Crowd (FR)Dylan Browne McMonagle·Ciaran Murphy·beaten 0.3 lengths40/1·41.00SP
Race time
1m 13.39s+3.19s vs std
Slow — could be soft ground, easy lead, or tactical race.
In-running (Abraham Lincoln (GB))
“Tracked the leaders - pushed along and went to the front 1.5f out - pressed on to go clear 1f out - eased left - stayed on well, comfortable at the line”
AI top-rated Trean (score 27.5) finished 10th.
Settled · 1pt level stake = 1.62 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →
Furlong's verdict
Reading the form…
AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.
Pundit corner
Racing Post · third-partyPundit pick: Abraham Lincoln
Abraham Lincoln is the most compelling newcomer in the field — an expensive colt who cost 2,300,000 euros at auction for a stable with a fine recent record in this race. Trean shaped with plenty of promise on debut, running on strongly to be third at Fairyhouse, and is the obvious rival among those who have raced. Man's Best Friend is the other newcomer from the same powerful yard to respect. Abraham Lincoln is our selection.
Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.
Why the model rates this top
Trean
W J Lee · P Twomey · 2yo
Top-rated of 12
score 27.5 · +1.5 clear of next best (26.0)
Scores compare runners within this race only
The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.
- Freshness10% weight100very strong14d since last run (race-fit window)
- Form20% weight60averageLast 6: 3
- Trainer20% weight28weakP Twomey: 2/18 winners last 14d (11%)
- Ratings50% weight0weakno Racing Post ratings on file
MarketNo market price available yet.
v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.
Draw bias — Curragh 6f
full course data →Moderate: high (outside) favoured (IV 1.12).
Low (1–4)
IV 1.03
Mid (5–8)
IV 0.84
High (9–12)
IV 1.12
Today: Haffner (draw 12) and Man's Best Friend (draw 11) get the bias; Trean (draw 7) is in the least-favoured band.
IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 182 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.
Runners · sorted by finishing position
| Pos | No. | Horse | Form | OR | AI | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | J: Ryan Moore · T: A P O'Brien · draw 8 2yo · C · b | — | — | 24.5 | 11/8F·2.38 SP |
| 2 | 4 | J: Wayne Lordan · T: A P O'Brien · draw 12 2yo · C · b | — | — | 24.5 | 18/1·19.00 SP |
| 3 | 6 | J: Dylan Browne McMonagle · T: Ciaran Murphy · draw 9 2yo · C · b | 5 | — | 19.5 | 40/1·41.00 SP |
| 4 | 7 | J: Jack Cleary(5) · T: A P O'Brien · draw 11 2yo · C · b | — | — | 24.5 | 18/1·19.00 SP |
| 5 | 2 | J: Colin Keane · T: G M Lyons · draw 4 2yo · C · b | — | — | 15.0 | 4/1·5.00 SP |
| 6 | 3 | J: Luke McAteer · T: David Marnane · draw 6 2yo · C · b | 38 | — | 20.8 | 80/1·81.00 SP |
| 7 | 9 | J: Rory Cleary · T: Josh Halley · draw 5 2yo · C · b | — | — | 15.0 | 150/1·151.00 SP |
| 8 | 11 | J: Ronan Whelan · T: Henry De Bromhead · draw 2 2yo · C · b | — | — | 19.0 | 50/1·51.00 SP |
| 9 | 8 | J: Ben Coen · T: J P Murtagh · draw 10 2yo · C · b | — | — | 22.0 | 100/1·101.00 SP |
| 10 | 10 | 2yo · C · bh | 3 | — | 27.5 | 13/8·2.62 SP |
| 11 | 5 | J: Donagh O'Connor · T: P Twomey · draw 3 2yo · C · grtFT T | 3 | — | 26.0 | 18/1·19.00 SP |
| 12 | 12 | J: Robbie Colgan · T: Andrew Kinirons · draw 1 2yo · F · b | 096 | — | 17.9 | 300/1·301.00 SP |
OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest
Frequently asked questions
Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 16:33 Curragh?
No — the AI top pick (Trean) finished 10.
What were the placings in the 16:33 Curragh?
Top finishers: 1. Abraham Lincoln (GB) (2.38), 2. Haffner (USA) (19.00), 3. Jewel In A Crowd (FR) (41.00).
What was the winning time for the 16:33 Curragh?
The winning time was 1m 13.39s, 3.19s slower than standard.
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