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14:52 Ffos Las

Dandara Golwg Gwendraeth Handicap

6f · Flat · Class 6 · Good · 6 runners · £3,454 · Monday, 29 June 2026

Result

Race report

AI top pick placed 3rd
  1. 1st
    Lieutenant Sir (GB)
    Luke Morris·Archie Watson
    11/1·12.00
    SP
  2. 2nd
    Beelzebub (IRE)
    Myla Coppins·Tony Carroll·beaten 1 length
    8/15F·1.53
    SP
  3. 3rd
    Jackie Brown (IRE)AI top pick · 48.5
    David Egan·Adrian Wintle·beaten .5 lengths
    10/1·11.00
    SP
Race time
1m 11.96s+4.46s vs std

Slow — could be soft ground, easy lead, or tactical race.

In-running (Lieutenant Sir (GB))

Eager to go - contested the pace early - asserted 2f from the start - driven to maintain advantage from 2f out - answered every call - always in control

Settled · 1pt level stake = 10.00 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →

Furlong's verdict

Reading the form…

AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.

Pundit corner

Racing Post · third-party
Pundit pick: Beelzebub

Beelzebub is our selection — he landed a handicap at Windsor just seven days ago off this identical mark with no penalty to carry today, and trainer Tony Carroll has made an immediate impression with him. Tickettothestars showed useful form earlier this season and should prove competitive, while Outer Edge, down in the weights, rates another danger along with In Denial. Beelzebub to follow up.

Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.

Why the model rates this top

Jackie Brown

David Egan · Adrian Wintle · 6yo

Top-rated of 6
score 48.5 · +5.4 clear of next best (43.1)
Scores compare runners within this race only

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

  • Freshness10% weight
    100very strong
    24d since last run (race-fit window)
  • Trainer20% weight
    90very strong
    Adrian Wintle: 5/14 winners last 14d (36%)
  • Ratings50% weight
    30weak
    OR 45
  • Form20% weight
    28weak
    Last 6: 3-3-6-9-5
MarketNo market price available yet.

v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Draw bias — Ffos Las 6f

full course data →

Moderate: middle favoured (IV 1.27).

Low (1–2)
IV 0.81
Mid (3–4)
IV 1.27
High (5–6)
IV 0.97

Today: Jackie Brown (draw 3) and Lieutenant Sir (draw 4) get the bias; Tickettothestars (draw 1) is in the least-favoured band.

IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 40 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.

Runners · sorted by finishing position

PosNo.HorseFormORAISP
15
J: Luke Morris · T: Archie Watson · draw 4
3yo · G · b
7973
5437.2
11/1·12.00
SP
22
J: Myla Coppins(7) · T: Tony Carroll · draw 6
6yo · G · b
644701
5143.1
8/15F·1.53
SP
36
J: David Egan · T: Adrian Wintle · draw 3
6yo · M · b
33695
4548.5
10/1·11.00
SP
41
J: Gina Mangan · T: Christopher Mason · draw 5
5yo · G · bp
48445
5232.9
9/2·5.50
SP
53
J: Billy Loughnane · T: Mark Loughnane · draw 2
3yo · F · b
74630
5532.2
14/1·15.00
SP
64
J: Darragh Keenan · T: Rod Millman · draw 1
3yo · F · b
451426
5538.8
16/1·17.00
SP

OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest

Frequently asked questions

Who won the 14:52 Ffos Las on 29 June 2026?

Lieutenant Sir (GB) won the 14:52 Ffos Las at SP 12.00. Ridden by Luke Morris. Trained by Archie Watson.

Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 14:52 Ffos Las?

No — the AI top pick (Jackie Brown) finished 3.

What were the placings in the 14:52 Ffos Las?

Top finishers: 1. Lieutenant Sir (GB) (12.00), 2. Beelzebub (IRE) (1.53), 3. Jackie Brown (IRE) (11.00).

What was the winning time for the 14:52 Ffos Las?

The winning time was 1m 11.96s, 4.46s slower than standard.

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