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Next · 4h 41m14:30Lingfield (AW)

15:07 Salisbury

Juddmonte EBF Restricted Novice Stakes (GBB Race)

6f · Flat · Class 2 · Good To Firm · 11 runners · £15,462 · Tuesday, 30 June 2026

Result

Race report

AI top pick finished 5th
  1. 1st
    Treasurer (IRE)
    David Egan·Charlie Fellowes
    3/1·4.00
    SP
  2. 2nd
    Harry Knows (IRE)
    Finley Marsh·Richard Hughes·beaten 1.25 lengths
    85/40F·3.12
    SP
  3. 3rd
    Flying Pirate (IRE)
    Charles Bishop·Eve Johnson Houghton·beaten .5 lengths
    9/4·3.25
    SP
Race time
1m 15.87s+3.97s vs std

Slow — could be soft ground, easy lead, or tactical race.

In-running (Treasurer (IRE))

“Handy in second throughout - driven 2f out - moved up to lead a furlong out - ran on well from there”

AI top-rated Poppy Foxy (score 56.7) finished 5th.
Settled · 1pt level stake = 16.00 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →

Furlong's verdict

Reading the form…

AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.

Pundit corner

Racing Post · third-party
Pundit pick: Flying Pirate

Flying Pirate has the right profile here, having shown good resolution to land a novice over course and distance on debut despite clear inexperience, with Eve Johnson Houghton's yard boasting an excellent record at this venue. Metamouse is the chief danger after a convincing success at Chester last time, while Harry Knows was beaten only a head here in a similar contest and could make things awkward under different terms. Treasurer also showed ability before being stretched in a Group 2 at Ascot and should fare better back in this company. Flying Pirate is our selection.

Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.

Why the model rates this top

Poppy Foxy

Jack Doughty · Charlie Clover · 2yo

Top-rated of 11
score 56.7 · +1.9 clear of next best (54.7)
Scores compare runners within this race only

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

  • Freshness10% weight
    100very strong
    17d since last run (race-fit window)
  • Form20% weight
    73strong
    Last 6: 6-1
  • Trainer20% weight
    50average
    Charlie Clover: 2/10 winners last 14d (20%)
  • Ratings50% weight
    44below average
    OR 66
MarketNo market price available yet.

v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Draw bias — Salisbury 6f

full course data →

Moderate: high (outside) favoured (IV 1.14).

Low (1–4)
IV 0.97
Mid (5–8)
IV 0.88
High (9–11)
IV 1.14

Today: Keep Grating (draw 9) and Martha Brown (draw 11) get the bias; Harry Knows (draw 7) is in the least-favoured band.

IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 93 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.

Runners · sorted by finishing position

PosNo.HorseFormORAISP
16
Treasurer
J: David Egan · T: Charlie Fellowes · draw 3
2yo · C · b
40
—15.5
3/1·4.00
SP
23
Harry Knows
J: Finley Marsh · T: Richard Hughes · draw 7
2yo · G · b
242
8554.7
85/40F·3.12
SP
31
Flying Pirate
J: Charles Bishop · T: Eve Johnson Houghton · draw 4
2yo · C · ch
1
—34.0
9/4·3.25
SP
42
Metamouse
J: Hector Crouch · T: David Loughnane · draw 8
2yo · C · b
41
7952.7
6/1·7.00
SP
510
Poppy Foxy
J: Jack Doughty · T: Charlie Clover · draw 1
2yo · F · b
61
6656.7
16/1·17.00
SP
67
Keep Grating
J: Sean Levey · T: Richard Hannon · draw 9
2yo · C · b
——17.5
16/1·17.00
SP
74
Herbert Hall
J: Joe Leavy · T: Brian Meehan · draw 10
2yo · C · b
9
—11.2
80/1·81.00
SP
85
Ten Of Clubs
J: Georgia Dobie · T: Jamie Osborne · draw 5
2yo · G · b
8
—15.5
250/1·251.00
SP
98
Ten Year Stretch
J: William Carver · T: Jamie Osborne · draw 2
2yo · G · b
7
—16.5
80/1·81.00
SP
109
Calendar Boy
J: Callum Hutchinson · T: Eve Johnson Houghton · draw 6
2yo · C · b
——19.0
22/1·23.00
SP
1111
Martha Brown
J: Ben Ffrench Davis · T: Kathy Turner · draw 11
2yo · F · b
93
—16.9
200/1·201.00
SP

OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest

Frequently asked questions

Who won the 15:07 Salisbury on 30 June 2026?

Treasurer (IRE) won the 15:07 Salisbury at SP 4.00. Ridden by David Egan. Trained by Charlie Fellowes.

Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 15:07 Salisbury?

No — the AI top pick (Poppy Foxy) finished 5.

What were the placings in the 15:07 Salisbury?

Top finishers: 1. Treasurer (IRE) (4.00), 2. Harry Knows (IRE) (3.12), 3. Flying Pirate (IRE) (3.25).

What was the winning time for the 15:07 Salisbury?

The winning time was 1m 15.87s, 3.97s slower than standard.

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