18+ • Bet Responsibly • Racing Alpha does not accept betsBeGambleAware.org
RacingAlpha
Next · 3h 42m13:30Southwell (AW)

Unibet Supporting Safer Gambling/EBF 'Confined' Maiden Stakes (GBB race)

6f · Flat · Class 4 · Standard To Slow · 11 runners · £5,940 · Monday, 29 June 2026

Result

Race report

AI top pick was a non-runner
  1. 1st
    Firehorse (IRE)
    Cieren Fallon·S Woods
    11/1·12.00
    SP
  2. 2nd
    Fully Stocked (IRE)
    Neil Callan·Jack Morland·beaten .75 lengths
    18/1·19.00
    SP
  3. 3rd
    Sovereigns High (IRE)
    Hector Crouch·Ralph Beckett·beaten 1.25 lengths
    12/1·13.00
    SP
Race time
1m 15.55s+4.55s vs std

Slow — could be soft ground, easy lead, or tactical race.

In-running (Firehorse (IRE))

Close to the pace - pushed along and moved through 2f out - struck the front in the closing stages - held on

Settled · 1pt level stake = 11.00 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →

Furlong's verdict

Reading the form…

AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.

Pundit corner

Racing Post · third-party
Pundit pick: Primal

Primal was denied a clear run on debut at Nottingham yet still finished with real purpose, and with the benefit of a top stable that knows how to bring on juveniles from that initial experience, he looks the one to improve most noticeably. Tumishi set the highest standard on his debut fourth at the same Nottingham novice, showing signs of rawness that should iron out with a run under his belt, and he is the clear danger. Sovereigns High is the most interesting of the newcomers. Primal is the selection.

Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.

Why the model rates this top

Tumishi

Daniel Muscutt · James Fanshawe · 2yo

Top-rated of 11
score 30.0 · +6.0 clear of next best (24.0)
Scores compare runners within this race only

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

  • Freshness10% weight
    100very strong
    26d since last run (race-fit window)
  • Trainer20% weight
    55average
    James Fanshawe: 5/23 winners last 14d (22%)
  • Form20% weight
    45below average
    Last 6: 4
  • Ratings50% weight
    0weak
    no Racing Post ratings on file
MarketNo market price available yet.

v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Draw bias — Kempton (AW) 6f

full course data →

Strong: low (inside) favoured (IV 1.33).

Low (1–4)
IV 1.33
Mid (5–8)
IV 0.89
High (9–11)
IV 0.74

Today: Tumishi (draw 2) and Kigali (draw 3) get the bias; Cruse On Bye (draw 10) is in the least-favoured band.

IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 251 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.

Runners · sorted by finishing position

PosNo.HorseFormORAISP
13
J: Cieren Fallon · T: S Woods · draw 6
2yo · C · b
24.0
11/1·12.00
SP
24
J: Neil Callan · T: Jack Morland · draw 7
2yo · C · b
15.0
18/1·19.00
SP
38
J: Hector Crouch · T: Ralph Beckett · draw 8
2yo · C · b
22.0
12/1·13.00
SP
47
J: Rob Hornby · T: Andrew Balding · draw 5
2yo · C · ch
6
22.0
2/5F·1.40
SP
51
2yo · C · ch
15.0
13/2·7.50
SP
66
J: Paddy Bradley · T: Charlie Fellowes · draw 11
2yo · G · b
8
13.0
18/1·19.00
SP
75
J: Charles Bishop · T: Ollie Sangster · draw 3
2yo · C · b
6
20.5
12/1·13.00
SP
89
J: Pierre-Louis Jamin · T: Michael Bell · draw 9
2yo · C · b
0
9.5
50/1·51.00
SP
911
J: Pat Cosgrave · T: George Baker · draw 4
2yo · F · b
8
17.0
80/1·81.00
SP
102
2yo · G · ch
15.0
150/1·151.00
SP
10
J: Daniel Muscutt · T: James Fanshawe · draw 2
2yo · C · gr
4
30.0

OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest

Frequently asked questions

Who won the 19:15 Kempton (AW) on 29 June 2026?

Firehorse (IRE) won the 19:15 Kempton (AW) at SP 12.00. Ridden by Cieren Fallon. Trained by S Woods.

Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 19:15 Kempton (AW)?

No — the AI top pick (Tumishi) was a non-runner or unplaced.

What were the placings in the 19:15 Kempton (AW)?

Top finishers: 1. Firehorse (IRE) (12.00), 2. Fully Stocked (IRE) (19.00), 3. Sovereigns High (IRE) (13.00).

What was the winning time for the 19:15 Kempton (AW)?

The winning time was 1m 15.55s, 4.55s slower than standard.

Best price shown is the highest decimal price across bookmakers we track. Odds update every few minutes; settle at SP if unavailable. 18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.org