Who won the 20:45 Kempton (AW) on 29 June 2026?
Break Point (GB) won the 20:45 Kempton (AW) at SP 7.50. Ridden by Jude Fernandes. Trained by Luke Dace.
← All racecards20:45
Kempton (AW)
Great BritainTom Farrell Memorial Handicap
Monday, 29 June 2026
2m·Flat·Class 6·Standard To Slow·7 runners·£3,140
Result
AI top pick placed 3rdRace report
- 1stBreak Point (GB)Jude Fernandes·Luke Dace13/2·7.50SP
- 2ndBalgowan (IRE)George Downing·Seamus Mullins·beaten 0.3 lengths7/4F·2.75SP
- 3rdSneaky Blinder (FR)AI top pick · 53.9Rob Hornby·Robert Stephens·beaten 0.3 lengths10/1·11.00SP
Race time
3m 35.52s+9.82s vs std
Slow — could be soft ground, easy lead, or tactical race.
In-running (Break Point (GB))
“Tracked leaders - struck the front 4f out - drifted left under pressure inside final furlong - held on gamely”
Settled · 1pt level stake = 10.00 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →
Furlong's verdict
Reading the form…
AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.
Selections by model
Head-to-head dashboard →v1.053.9/100 rating
Sneaky Blinder
12.00Bet365· informational only
Top-rated, but filter rejects this race
v1.1
No pick
Race outside the segment-edge filter
Each-way53.9/100 rating
Sneaky Blinder
12.00Bet365
Place portion settles at 3.20 · 1/5 odds · 3 places
Top-half AI rating in the EW price sweet spot. Each-way splits stake: half on the win, half on the place portion.
Racing Alpha pick
Sneaky Blinder
Rob Hornby · Robert Stephens · 5yo
53.9/100
+12.1 vs next best (41.8)
The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.
- Trainer20% weight100very strongRobert Stephens: 1/2 winners last 14d (50%)
- Freshness10% weight85very strong49d since last run (fresh)
- Ratings50% weight38below averageOR 57
- Form20% weight32weakLast 6: 2-7-1-9-5-7
MarketBest price 12.00 (Bet365) — 6th pick of 7 in market. AI is contrarian here.
v1.3 rating · weights and method explained on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.
Runners
| Pos | # | Dr | Horse | Jockey / Trainer | Form | Wt | OR | RPR | TS | AI | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 1 | 5 | 4yo · G · bb | 92276 | 9-09 | 58 | — | — | 41.8 | 9/2·5.50 SP | |
| 3 | 2 | 3 | 5yo · G · bp | 271957 | 9-08 | 57 | — | — | 53.9 | 10/1·11.00 SP | |
| 2 | 3 | 7 | 7yo · G · chp | 74312 | 9-07 | 56 | — | — | 41.5 | 7/4F·2.75 SP | |
| 7 | 4 | 2 | 5yo · G · bp | 20109 | 9-06 | 55 | — | — | 36.8 | 11/1·12.00 SP | |
| 1 | 5 | 4 | 6yo · G · b | 02365 | 8-11 | 46 | — | — | 31.4 | 13/2·7.50 SP | |
| 6 | 6 | 6 | 4yo · F · b | 38437 | 8-10 | 45 | — | — | 32.1 | 9/2·5.50 SP | |
| 4 | 7 | 1 | 5yo · G · grtp | 7339U4 | 8-10 | 45 | — | — | 27.8 | 17/2·9.50 SP |
Frequently asked questions
Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 20:45 Kempton (AW)?
No — the AI top pick (Sneaky Blinder) finished 3.
What were the placings in the 20:45 Kempton (AW)?
Top finishers: 1. Break Point (GB) (7.50), 2. Balgowan (IRE) (2.75), 3. Sneaky Blinder (FR) (11.00).
What was the winning time for the 20:45 Kempton (AW)?
The winning time was 3m 35.52s, 9.82s slower than standard.
Racing Post verdict
Third-partyA two-mile Flat test on the all-weather draws a mixed field of Flat and hurdles types, and the race may go to the most adaptable at the trip. Nelson Gate is an unknown quantity as a Flat stayer but looks relatively unexposed at the distance, and first-time blinkers should help him focus; his mark looks workable on course form and he gets the verdict. Balgowan ran to his level last time on the same official rating he carries today and is the chief danger, while Our Papa Smurf and Break Point also hold realistic claims. Nelson Gate is the selection.
Racing Post pick: Nelson Gate
Editorial verdict from Racing Post via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha.
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