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RacingAlpha

16:30 Curragh

Ireland

Reserve Ladies Derby Handicap

1m2f · Flat · Good To Firm · 13 runners · €17,670 · Saturday, 27 June 2026

Result

Race report

AI top pick finished 8th
  1. 1st
    Fixation (IRE)
    Miss Georgie Benson·J P Murtagh
    2/1F·3.00
    SP
  2. 2nd
    Genoah (IRE)
    Siobhan Rutledge·M D O'Callaghan·beaten 4 lengths
    9/1·10.00
    SP
  3. 3rd
    Cooley's Mist (IRE)
    Orla Tynan·H Rogers·beaten .5 lengths
    5/1·6.00
    SP
Race time
2m 4.34s+1.14s vs std

Slightly slow — minor pace variance, nothing to read into.

In-running (Fixation (IRE))

Settled behind leaders, 5th at halfway - progress when switched left over 2f out - led 1f out - kept on strongly to pull clear in closing stages

AI top-rated Clear Quartz (score 69.8) finished 8th.
Settled · 1pt level stake = 14.00 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →

Furlong's verdict

Reading the form…

AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.

Pundit corner

Racing Post · third-party
Pundit pick: Senna's Girl

Senna's Girl was left with too much to reel in last time yet was beaten only 1.25 lengths, confirming her stamina; today's 10f is unexplored territory that should suit, and she wears first-time tongue-tie and cheekpieces. Clear Quartz, back from a break and performing off today's mark last time, is the main danger alongside Great Mover, who was well placed in a strongly-run race and handles this ground. Senna's Girl is our selection.

Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.

Why the model rates this top

Clear Quartz

Miss N Fahey(7) · Mark Fahey · 9yo

Top-rated of 13
score 69.8 · +12.6 clear of next best (57.2)
Scores compare runners within this race only

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

  • Trainer20% weight
    100small sample (n=5)
    Mark Fahey: 2/5 winners last 14d (40%) — too few recent runs to judge the yard
  • Freshness10% weight
    100very strong
    16d since last run (race-fit window)
  • Ratings50% weight
    58average
    OR 87 — above field median
  • Form20% weight
    54average
    Last 6: 0-1-3-8-2
MarketNo market price available yet.

v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Draw bias — Curragh 1m2f

full course data →

Moderate: middle favoured (IV 1.13).

Low (1–5)
IV 1.10
Mid (6–9)
IV 1.13
High (10–13)
IV 0.78

Today: Clear Quartz (draw 6) and Touch The Moon (draw 8) get the bias; Fixation (draw 13) is in the least-favoured band.

IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 126 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.

Runners · sorted by finishing position

PosNo.HorseFormORAISP
15
4yo · G · chpFT P
61227
8157.2
2/1F·3.00
SP
27
5yo · G · btpFT TP
41190
7741.8
9/1·10.00
SP
313
J: Orla Tynan(7) · T: H Rogers · draw 9
4yo · G · b
74783
6237.2
5/1·6.00
SP
41
J: Ms K M Ryan(7) · T: William Durkan · draw 8
5yo · G · b
30382
9147.8
10/1·11.00
SP
56
J: Jessica Maye(7) · T: J P Murtagh · draw 5
5yo · M · b
00048
8150.6
12/1·13.00
SP
610
4yo · F · b
056632
7644.6
7/1·8.00
SP
74
4yo · F · bp
31318
8156.9
11/2·6.50
SP
82
J: Miss N Fahey(7) · T: Mark Fahey · draw 6
9yo · G · gr
01382
8769.8
14/1·15.00
SP
912
4yo · F · cht
29806
6634.9
16/1·17.00
SP
108
6yo · G · b/br
122598
7742.3
20/1·21.00
SP
119
4yo · G · btpFT TP
21089
7643.5
50/1·51.00
SP
123
J: Nicola Burns(5) · T: Ciaran Murphy · draw 11
5yo · G · grvFT V
74567
8347.8
50/1·51.00
SP
11
4yo · F · chtp
04305
7356.4

OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest

Frequently asked questions

Who won the 16:30 Curragh on 27 June 2026?

Fixation (IRE) won the 16:30 Curragh at SP 3.00. Ridden by Miss Georgie Benson. Trained by J P Murtagh.

Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 16:30 Curragh?

No — the AI top pick (Clear Quartz) finished 8.

What were the placings in the 16:30 Curragh?

Top finishers: 1. Fixation (IRE) (3.00), 2. Genoah (IRE) (10.00), 3. Cooley's Mist (IRE) (6.00).

What was the winning time for the 16:30 Curragh?

The winning time was 2m 4.34s, 1.14s slower than standard.

Best price shown is the highest decimal price across bookmakers we track. Odds update every few minutes; settle at SP if unavailable. 18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.org