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19:00 Roscommon

Ireland

Conor Cassidy Car Sales Handicap

1m2½f · Flat · Good · 10 runners · €8,835 · Tuesday, 30 June 2026

Result

Race report

AI top pick finished 5th
  1. 1st
    Nermal (IRE)
    Ben Coen·Andrew Slattery
    5/2F·3.50
    SP
  2. 2nd
    Vantage Code (IRE)
    Leigh Roche·Emmet Mullins·beaten 2.5 lengths
    5/1·6.00
    SP
  3. 3rd
    Ella's Gold (IRE)
    Wesley Joyce·Matthew J Smith·beaten .5 lengths
    5/1·6.00
    SP
Race time
2m 14.31s+3.41s vs std

Slow — could be soft ground, easy lead, or tactical race.

In-running (Nermal (IRE))

Went left leaving the stalls - tracking in 3rd at halfway - switched 2f out - challenged strongly - forged ahead 1f out - ran on well

AI top-rated Rapide Vega (score 50.0) finished 5th.
Settled · 1pt level stake = 5.50 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →

Furlong's verdict

Reading the form…

AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.

Pundit corner

Racing Post · third-party
Pundit pick: Adel

Adel landed a handicap at this course last time over a longer trip in a manner suggesting today's drop back in distance holds no fears; despite running off a 6lb higher mark, he leads our ratings and is the one to beat. Nermal, making his handicap debut after a string of placed efforts, is the chief danger, and Ella's Gold — back to her best on latest evidence — and Rapide Vega, now in first-time cheekpieces, add further complications. Adel is our selection.

Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.

Why the model rates this top

Rapide Vega

Shane Foley · Mrs John Harrington · 3yo

Top-rated of 10
score 50.0 · +0.3 clear of next best (49.7)
Scores compare runners within this race only

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

  • Freshness10% weight
    100very strong
    18d since last run (race-fit window)
  • Ratings50% weight
    47below average
    OR 70
  • Trainer20% weight
    43below average
    Mrs John Harrington: 6/36 winners last 14d (17%)
  • Form20% weight
    41below average
    Last 6: 0-4-5-8-2
MarketNo market price available yet.

v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Draw bias — Roscommon 1m2½f

full course data →

No meaningful draw bias at this course and trip.

Low (1–4)
IV 0.91
Mid (5–7)
IV 0.96
High (8–10)
IV 1.13

IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 64 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.

Runners · sorted by finishing position

PosNo.HorseFormORAISP
14
J: Ben Coen · T: Andrew Slattery · draw 3
3yo · G · b
5223
7249.7
5/2F·3.50
SP
27
J: Leigh Roche · T: Emmet Mullins · draw 9
3yo · G · b
66707
6833.6
5/1·6.00
SP
310
J: Wesley Joyce(3) · T: Matthew J Smith · draw 5
3yo · F · ch
02202
6140.7
5/1·6.00
SP
41
3yo · G · b
012
8045.6
8/1·9.00
SP
55
J: Shane Foley · T: Mrs John Harrington · draw 6
3yo · G · bpFT P
04582
7050.0
11/2·6.50
SP
63
3yo · G · ch
25667
7339.0
18/1·19.00
SP
79
J: Jack Cleary(5) · T: Gerard O'Leary · draw 8
3yo · G · b
05189
6435.6
33/1·34.00
SP
86
J: Declan McDonogh · T: J S Bolger · draw 2
3yo · F · ch
98467
6836.9
40/1·41.00
SP
98
3yo · G · chbFT B
0886
6539.8
22/1·23.00
SP
102
J: Jamie Powell · T: M D O'Callaghan · draw 10
3yo · G · b
67871
7642.4
9/2·5.50
SP

OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest

Frequently asked questions

Who won the 19:00 Roscommon on 30 June 2026?

Nermal (IRE) won the 19:00 Roscommon at SP 3.50. Ridden by Ben Coen. Trained by Andrew Slattery.

Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 19:00 Roscommon?

No — the AI top pick (Rapide Vega) finished 5.

What were the placings in the 19:00 Roscommon?

Top finishers: 1. Nermal (IRE) (3.50), 2. Vantage Code (IRE) (6.00), 3. Ella's Gold (IRE) (6.00).

What was the winning time for the 19:00 Roscommon?

The winning time was 2m 14.31s, 3.41s slower than standard.

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