Who won the 20:30 Roscommon on 30 June 2026?
Ashikita (FR) won the 20:30 Roscommon at SP 2.88. Ridden by Ben Coen. Trained by J P Murtagh.
20:30 Roscommon
IrelandLadies Day At Roscommon On Monday, 6th July, 2026 Maiden
1m4f · Flat · Good · 14 runners · €6,479 · Tuesday, 30 June 2026
Result
AI top pick was a non-runnerRace report
- 1stAshikita (FR)Ben Coen·J P Murtagh15/8F·2.88SP
- 2ndCatherine Magennis (IRE)Dylan Browne McMonagle·Joseph G Murphy·beaten 2.5 lengths5/1·6.00SP
- 3rdCoolnagrattan (IRE)Seamie Heffernan·W R Crawford·beaten .75 lengths5/1·6.00SP
Race time
2m 41.61s+7.01s vs std
Slow — could be soft ground, easy lead, or tactical race.
Settled · 1pt level stake = 1.88 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →
Furlong's verdict
Reading the form…
AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.
Pundit corner
Racing Post · third-partyPundit pick: Ashikita
The trainer's decision to retain the five-year-old Ashikita in training looks well judged, as she shaped with promise when reappearing at the Curragh after a lengthy absence and looks suited to today's 12f trip. Steel Cut, equipped with first-time blinkers, is the chief danger, while Cracking Cloud has fair ability and should come into his own at today's distance. Ashikita is the selection.
Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.
Why the model rates this top
Steel Cut
W J Lee · A Oliver · 4yo
Top-rated of 14
score 47.1 · +4.1 clear of next best (43.0)
Scores compare runners within this race only
The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.
- Freshness10% weight70strong10d since last run (quick turnaround)
- Ratings50% weight53averageOR 80 — highest combined rating in the field
- Form20% weight42below averageLast 6: 9-2-5
- Trainer20% weight25weakA Oliver: 2/20 winners last 14d (10%)
MarketNo market price available yet.
v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.
Draw bias — Roscommon 1m4f
full course data →No meaningful draw bias at this course and trip.
Low (1–6)
IV 0.91
Mid (7–11)
IV 0.96
High (12–16)
IV 1.13
IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 64 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.
Runners · sorted by finishing position
| Pos | No. | Horse | Form | OR | AI | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 11 | J: Ben Coen · T: J P Murtagh · draw 5 5yo · M · b | 05 | — | 24.5 | 15/8F·2.88 SP |
| 2 | 13 | J: Dylan Browne McMonagle · T: Joseph G Murphy · draw 9 4yo · F · ch | 7 | — | 9.5 | 5/1·6.00 SP |
| 3 | 2 | J: Seamie Heffernan · T: W R Crawford · draw 2 4yo · G · bht | — | — | 15.0 | 5/1·6.00 SP |
| 4 | 1 | J: Robert Whearty · T: Gavin Cromwell · draw 1 7yo · G · br | 3 | — | 17.5 | 3/1·4.00 SP |
| 5 | 3 | J: Donagh O'Connor · T: Ross O'Sullivan · draw 10 4yo · G · b | 356 | 74 | 39.2 | 10/1·11.00 SP |
| 6 | 16 | J: Ronan Whelan · T: K J Condon · draw 16 4yo · F · chv | 9528 | 68 | 43.0 | 10/1·11.00 SP |
| 7 | 12 | J: Jack Cleary(5) · T: M A Molloy · draw 12 9yo · M · b | 9 | — | 5.7 | 100/1·101.00 SP |
| 8 | 8 | J: James Ryan · T: M A Molloy · draw 15 8yo · G · ch | 66 | — | 8.5 | 28/1·29.00 SP |
| 9 | 4 | J: Shane Foley · T: Mrs John Harrington · draw 8 4yo · C · ch | — | — | 23.5 | 33/1·34.00 SP |
| 10 | 5 | J: Jared Huggan(10) · T: Denis Gerard Hogan · draw 14 4yo · G · cht | 7400 | 71 | 41.3 | 66/1·67.00 SP |
| 11 | 7 | J: Luke McAteer · T: P A Fahy · draw 11 6yo · G · br | 7 | — | 10.0 | 28/1·29.00 SP |
| 12 | 15 | J: Nicola Burns(5) · T: R P Burns · draw 3 8yo · M · b | 5000 | 32 | 23.8 | 80/1·81.00 SP |
| 13 | 9 | J: Chris Hayes · T: Denis Gerard Hogan · draw 6 4yo · G · b/br | 84000 | 71 | 38.5 | 33/1·34.00 SP |
| 14 | 14 | J: Jack Kearney(3) · T: Gerard Keane · draw 13 5yo · M · br | 07 | — | 10.5 | 150/1·151.00 SP |
| — | — | 4yo · G · bbFT B | 925 | 80 | 47.1 | — |
| — | — | J: Leigh Roche · T: Emmet Mullins · draw 4 5yo · G · gr | 00 | — | 8.5 | — |
OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest
Frequently asked questions
Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 20:30 Roscommon?
No — the AI top pick (Steel Cut) was a non-runner or unplaced.
What were the placings in the 20:30 Roscommon?
Top finishers: 1. Ashikita (FR) (2.88), 2. Catherine Magennis (IRE) (6.00), 3. Coolnagrattan (IRE) (6.00).
What was the winning time for the 20:30 Roscommon?
The winning time was 2m 41.61s, 7.01s slower than standard.
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