18+ • Bet Responsibly • Racing Alpha does not accept betsBeGambleAware.org
RacingAlpha

19:20 Fairyhouse

Ireland

GAIN The Advantage Series Handicap

1m½f · Flat · Good · 14 runners · €8,835 · Wednesday, 1 July 2026

Result

Race report

AI top pick was a non-runner
  1. 1st
    Kirkland Sioux (IRE)
    Dylan Browne McMonagle·Joseph Patrick O'Brien
    6/1·7.00
    SP
  2. 2nd
    Kc Bear (IRE)
    Colin Keane·Noel Meade·beaten 3.25 lengths
    5/1·6.00
    SP
  3. 3rd
    Jp's Express (IRE)
    Wesley Joyce·Michael Mulvany·beaten .75 lengths
    33/1·34.00
    SP
Race time
1m 51.26s+2.26s vs std

Slightly slow — minor pace variance, nothing to read into.

In-running (Kirkland Sioux (IRE))

Chased the leader, 2nd halfway - disputed over 2f out - took charge over 1f out - asserted well

Settled · 1pt level stake = 6.00 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →

Furlong's verdict

Reading the form…

AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.

Pundit corner

Racing Post · third-party
Pundit pick: Only One Scobie

Only One Scobie made a strong impression two runs ago, winning easily on a mark well below today's, and his latest third is best read charitably — he hit the front too early when dropped in distance. Kc Bear met interference in running here last time when still in contention and could reverse that form with a cleaner passage; Make The Tide could also improve for the switch to handicap company. Only One Scobie is our selection.

Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.

Why the model rates this top

Avec Grand Plaisir

Ronan Whelan · Jarlath P Fahey · 3yo

Top-rated of 14
score 51.4 · +0.1 clear of next best (51.2)
Scores compare runners within this race only

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

  • Freshness10% weight
    100very strong
    17d since last run (race-fit window)
  • Trainer20% weight
    63small sample (n=8)
    Jarlath P Fahey: 2/8 winners last 14d (25%) — too few recent runs to judge the yard
  • Ratings50% weight
    43below average
    OR 65
  • Form20% weight
    36below average
    Last 6: 0-7-5-3
MarketNo market price available yet.

v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Draw bias — Fairyhouse 1m½f

full course data →

Sample too small to call at this course and trip.

Low (1–5)
IV 1.30
Mid (6–10)
IV 0.75
High (11–15)
IV 0.91

IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 34 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.

Runners · sorted by finishing position

PosNo.HorseFormORAISP
19
3yo · F · b
0757
6442.4
6/1·7.00
SP
28
J: Colin Keane · T: Noel Meade · draw 4
3yo · G · b
83124
6451.2
5/1·6.00
SP
37
J: Wesley Joyce(3) · T: Michael Mulvany · draw 6
3yo · G · b
56600
6438.6
33/1·34.00
SP
42
J: Shane Foley · T: Mrs John Harrington · draw 2
3yo · F · grp
90216
6746.2
4/1F·5.00
SP
511
3yo · G · b
053175
6245.2
15/2·8.50
SP
66
J: Adam Caffrey · T: Noel Meade · draw 9
3yo · F · bbFT B
86459
6543.1
11/1·12.00
SP
75
J: Donagh O'Connor · T: Ross O'Sullivan · draw 1
3yo · G · bt
00441
6537.0
28/1·29.00
SP
814
J: Robert Whearty · T: Paul W Flynn · draw 11
3yo · G · bt
814900
5729.5
22/1·23.00
SP
912
J: W J Lee · T: W McCreery · draw 14
3yo · F · b
866
6134.0
12/1·13.00
SP
1013
J: Gary Carroll · T: Henry De Bromhead · draw 3
3yo · F · b
7778
6036.1
10/1·11.00
SP
1115
J: Wayne Lordan · T: M C Grassick · draw 5
3yo · F · bp
60858
5029.6
14/1·15.00
SP
1210
J: Ben Coen · T: Jack Foley · draw 15
3yo · C · ch
809
6242.6
22/1·23.00
SP
131
J: Luke McAteer · T: Paul W Flynn · draw 7
3yo · G · b
060013
7142.2
9/1·10.00
SP
143
3yo · G · br
500
6639.0
8/1·9.00
SP
J: Ronan Whelan · T: Jarlath P Fahey · draw 12
3yo · G · b
0753
6551.4

OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest

Frequently asked questions

Who won the 19:20 Fairyhouse on 1 July 2026?

Kirkland Sioux (IRE) won the 19:20 Fairyhouse at SP 7.00. Ridden by Dylan Browne McMonagle. Trained by Joseph Patrick O'Brien.

Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 19:20 Fairyhouse?

No — the AI top pick (Avec Grand Plaisir) was a non-runner or unplaced.

What were the placings in the 19:20 Fairyhouse?

Top finishers: 1. Kirkland Sioux (IRE) (7.00), 2. Kc Bear (IRE) (6.00), 3. Jp's Express (IRE) (34.00).

What was the winning time for the 19:20 Fairyhouse?

The winning time was 1m 51.26s, 2.26s slower than standard.

Best price shown is the highest decimal price across bookmakers we track. Odds update every few minutes; settle at SP if unavailable. 18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.org