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RacingAlpha

20:07 Epsom

Betfred 'Follow Us On X' Handicap (Div 2)

1m4f · Flat · Class 6 · Good · 8 runners · £3,664 · Wednesday, 1 July 2026

Result

Race report

AI top pick finished 5th
  1. 1st
    Naranka (IRE)
    Saffie Osborne·George Baker
    4/1·5.00
    SP
  2. 2nd
    Just Adair (GB)
    Billy Loughnane·Jonjo & A J O'Neill·beaten 2 lengths
    13/8F·2.62
    SP
  3. 3rd
    Ricardo Phillips (GB)
    Nicola Currie·Henry Candy·beaten 2.75 lengths
    11/1·12.00
    SP
Race time
2m 42.17s+6.57s vs std

Slow — could be soft ground, easy lead, or tactical race.

In-running (Naranka (IRE))

Tracked leaders - pressed the pace over 4f out - gained command 2f out - driven to stamp authority inside final furlong - stayed on strongly

AI top-rated Nymphaea (score 47.6) finished 5th.
Settled · 1pt level stake = 2.75 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →

Furlong's verdict

Reading the form…

AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.

Pundit corner

Racing Post · third-party
Pundit pick: Nymphaea

Nymphaea produced a determined effort to take a handicap just six days ago, getting up in the narrowest of finishes and showing the resolve of a horse now acquainted with success; the trip and ground here are within her compass. Just Adair, runner-up in two of his three most recent starts and still on an unchanged mark, and Gearing's Point, who reversed recent form sharply to win a classified contest on her latest outing, are the chief dangers, with Naranka also meriting respect after his best effort in recent starts. Nymphaea is our selection.

Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.

Why the model rates this top

Nymphaea

Marco Ghiani · Jennie Candlish · 4yo

Top-rated of 8
score 47.6 · +0.1 clear of next best (47.5)
Scores compare runners within this race only

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

  • Freshness10% weight
    70strong
    6d since last run (quick turnaround)
  • Form20% weight
    67strong
    Last 6: 9-6-4-3-2-1
  • Trainer20% weight
    48below average
    Jennie Candlish: 4/21 winners last 14d (19%)
  • Ratings50% weight
    35below average
    OR 53
MarketNo market price available yet.

v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Draw bias — Epsom 1m4f

full course data →

Moderate: high (outside) favoured (IV 1.14).

Low (1–3)
IV 0.99
Mid (4–6)
IV 0.87
High (7–9)
IV 1.14

Today: Nymphaea (draw 8) and Just Adair (draw 7) get the bias; Ricardo Phillips (draw 4) is in the least-favoured band.

IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 119 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.

Runners · sorted by finishing position

PosNo.HorseFormORAISP
19
J: Saffie Osborne · T: George Baker · draw 5
3yo · G · ch
55702
4736.2
4/1·5.00
SP
23
4yo · G · cht
11282
5242.7
13/8F·2.62
SP
31
J: Nicola Currie · T: Henry Candy · draw 4
5yo · G · b
52193
5540.1
11/1·12.00
SP
44
J: George Bass · T: Sheena West · draw 1
8yo · M · bp
352581
5247.5
11/2·6.50
SP
52
J: Marco Ghiani · T: Jennie Candlish · draw 8
4yo · F · bp
964321
5347.6
11/4·3.75
SP
67
J: Rose Dawes(5) · T: Camilla Poulton · draw 2
4yo · G · ch
50009
4636.1
125/1·126.00
SP
78
J: Sean D Bowen · T: Jim Boyle · draw 3
3yo · G · b
00476
4829.9
20/1·21.00
SP
86
J: Robert Havlin · T: Richard Phillips · draw 9
8yo · G · bb
99406
4826.4
66/1·67.00
SP
J: · T: Jim & Suzi Best · draw 6
8yo · M · b/br
66736
5029.1

OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest

Frequently asked questions

Who won the 20:07 Epsom on 1 July 2026?

Naranka (IRE) won the 20:07 Epsom at SP 5.00. Ridden by Saffie Osborne. Trained by George Baker.

Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 20:07 Epsom?

No — the AI top pick (Nymphaea) finished 5.

What were the placings in the 20:07 Epsom?

Top finishers: 1. Naranka (IRE) (5.00), 2. Just Adair (GB) (2.62), 3. Ricardo Phillips (GB) (12.00).

What was the winning time for the 20:07 Epsom?

The winning time was 2m 42.17s, 6.57s slower than standard.

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