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18:37 Bellewstown

Ireland

Irish Stallion Farms EBF Maiden

5f · Flat · Good · 8 runners · €12,958 · Friday, 3 July 2026

Result

Race report

AI top pick wonat SP 11/8F·2.38
  1. 1st
    April Mist (IRE)AI top pick · 25.1
    Colin Keane·G M Lyons
    11/8F·2.38
    SP
  2. 2nd
    Bold Commander (IRE)
    Jack Cleary·A P O'Brien·beaten 2.5 lengths
    2/1·3.00
    SP
  3. 3rd
    Tradewinds (IRE)
    Gavin Ryan·Donnacha Aidan O'Brien·beaten 2.25 lengths
    3/1·4.00
    SP
Race time
58.76s+1.76s vs std

Slightly slow — minor pace variance, nothing to read into.

In-running (April Mist (IRE))

Prominent early - led after 1f and controlled the race - challenged 1 1/2f out - asserted 1f out - stayed on well to win comfortably

Settled · 1pt level stake = 1.38 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →

Furlong's verdict

Reading the form…

AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.

Pundit corner

Racing Post · third-party
Pundit pick: April Mist

April Mist put up an encouraging debut run at Naas, finishing runner-up with purpose over today's trip, and she looks set to improve with that experience behind her. Bold Commander is also feared — that debut fifth at The Curragh came in a race where the form has worked out well, and significant improvement is expected from a top yard. Tradewinds is the most experienced runner in the field but has yet to break through after three outings. April Mist is the selection.

Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.

Why the model rates this top

April Mist

Colin Keane · G M Lyons · 2yo

Top-rated of 8
score 25.1 · +0.1 clear of next best (25.0)
Scores compare runners within this race only

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

  • Form20% weight
    78strong
    Last 6: 2
  • Freshness10% weight
    70strong
    9d since last run (quick turnaround)
  • Trainer20% weight
    13weak
    G M Lyons: 1/19 winners last 14d (5%)
  • Ratings50% weight
    0weak
    no Racing Post ratings on file
MarketNo market price available yet.

v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Draw bias — Bellewstown 5f

full course data →

Sample too small to call at this course and trip.

Low (1–3)
IV 1.08
Mid (4–6)
IV 0.77
High (7–8)
IV 1.12

IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 30 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.

Runners · sorted by finishing position

PosNo.HorseFormORAISP
17
J: Colin Keane · T: G M Lyons · draw 3
2yo · F · ch
2
25.1
11/8F·2.38
SP
21
J: Jack Cleary(5) · T: A P O'Brien · draw 4
2yo · C · b
5
25.0
2/1·3.00
SP
34
2yo · C · b
532
22.8
3/1·4.00
SP
42
J: James Ryan · T: Jack W Davison · draw 8
2yo · G · b
77
23.0
40/1·41.00
SP
58
J: Sadhbh Tormey(7) · T: T G McCourt · draw 5
2yo · F · b
15.0
80/1·81.00
SP
65
J: Jamie Powell · T: M D O'Callaghan · draw 2
2yo · C · br
85
13.2
11/1·12.00
SP
73
2yo · G · b
56
14.7
22/1·23.00
SP
86
2yo · F · bhFT H
40
13.0
40/1·41.00
SP

OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest

Frequently asked questions

Who won the 18:37 Bellewstown on 3 July 2026?

April Mist (IRE) won the 18:37 Bellewstown at SP 2.38. Ridden by Colin Keane. Trained by G M Lyons.

Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 18:37 Bellewstown?

Yes — the AI top-rated horse, April Mist, won the race (AI score 25.1).

What were the placings in the 18:37 Bellewstown?

Top finishers: 1. April Mist (IRE) (2.38), 2. Bold Commander (IRE) (3.00), 3. Tradewinds (IRE) (4.00).

What was the winning time for the 18:37 Bellewstown?

The winning time was 58.76s, 1.76s slower than standard.

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