Who won the 19:08 Kempton (AW) on 2 July 2026?
The Liffey (IRE) won the 19:08 Kempton (AW) at SP 26.00. Ridden by Luke Morris. Trained by Hayley Burton.
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1m · Flat · Class 4 · Standard To Slow · 10 runners · £6,281 · Thursday, 2 July 2026
Slightly slow — minor pace variance, nothing to read into.
“Travelled in touch with the pace - moved into second a furlong out - driven to the front close home - finished full of running”
AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.
Helm Rock has won here off a lower mark earlier this season and has a clear edge on our figures, making him the natural pick; Zatsgood looks sharper returned to a mile after failing to stay a longer trip last time and is the chief danger, with the consistent Billy Mill also firmly in the reckoning. The Liffey showed good form in Ireland but has a habit of doing only enough when it matters. Helm Rock is our selection.
Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.
Billy Loughnane · George Boughey · 4yo
The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.
v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.
Moderate: middle favoured (IV 1.17).
Today: Renewal (draw 5) and Billy Mill (draw 7) get the bias; Breakdancer (draw 10) is in the least-favoured band.
IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 665 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.
| Pos | No. | Horse | Form | OR | AI | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | J: Luke Morris · T: Hayley Burton · draw 1 5yo · G · btb | 661151 | 85 | 51.2 | 25/1·26.00 SP |
| 2 | 5 | J: Luke Catton(3) · T: Hugo Palmer · draw 9 4yo · G · bvFT V | 19030 | 82 | 50.0 | 7/1·8.00 SP |
| 3 | 4 | J: Billy Loughnane · T: George Boughey · draw 3 4yo · G · cht | 22417 | 82 | 59.1 | 7/4F·2.75 SP |
| 4 | 9 | J: Benoit De La Sayette · T: George Baker · draw 8 7yo · M · ch | 25744 | 73 | 46.2 | 28/1·29.00 SP |
| 5 | 6 | J: Charlie Bell(7) · T: Dr Richard Newland & Jamie Insole · draw 2 8yo · G · bp | 114655 | 79 | 41.4 | 9/1·10.00 SP |
| 6 | 10 | J: Kieren Fox · T: Rod Millman · draw 7 8yo · G · b | 663222 | 70 | 46.8 | 12/1·13.00 SP |
| 7 | 3 | J: Ray Dawson · T: Daniel & Claire Kubler · draw 4 8yo · G · btb | 621326 | 84 | 48.2 | 6/1·7.00 SP |
| 8 | 1 | J: James Doyle · T: Simon & Ed Crisford · draw 10 4yo · G · b | 02325 | 85 | 55.5 | 5/1·6.00 SP |
| 9 | 7 | J: Rossa Ryan · T: Ralph Beckett · draw 5 4yo · F · b | 32205 | 78 | 51.5 | 12/1·13.00 SP |
| PU | 8 | J: Harry Davies · T: Richard Hughes · draw 6 4yo · G · bp | 68300 | 76 | 41.3 | 16/1·17.00 SP |
OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest
The Liffey (IRE) won the 19:08 Kempton (AW) at SP 26.00. Ridden by Luke Morris. Trained by Hayley Burton.
No — the AI top pick (Zatsgood) finished 3.
Top finishers: 1. The Liffey (IRE) (26.00), 2. Vincent Rocks (IRE) (8.00), 3. Zatsgood (GB) (2.75).
The winning time was 1m 40.27s, 2.97s slower than standard.
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